Svelte-Ephemeris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

Trades

273

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-18 09:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 44% $-12

Politics

10% — —

Sports

4% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers	2	$48	50	49	+1	open	—	04-27 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$35	89	43	+46	open	—	04-30 00:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$29	254	16	+238	open	—	04-27 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$28	25	25	+0	open	—	04-29 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	3	$26	42	19	+23	open	—	04-30 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$26	33	27	+5	open	—	04-30 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	04-30 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	3	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-30 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 00:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$23	19	19	+0	open	—	04-22 21:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-23 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	04-29 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$21	24	24	+0	open	—	04-30 11:39
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	04-27 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$18	206	9	+197	open	—	04-30 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	04-30 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$16	18	18	+0	open	—	04-30 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$15	22	14	+8	open	—	04-30 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$15	535	0	+535	open	—	04-30 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$15	111	0	+111	open	—	04-30 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$15	648	0	+648	open	—	04-30 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$15	155	0	+155	open	—	04-30 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	04-30 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	04-30 00:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 09:46:38	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf0062d…
05-09 01:54:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x02f086…
05-07 07:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xdb4129…
05-07 07:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x729a69…
05-07 07:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xed9e1c…
05-07 07:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3183ba…
05-07 07:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xb8bb51…
05-07 07:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9f1eaa…
05-07 07:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb179f9…
05-07 07:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x44e681…
05-07 07:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x064552…
05-07 06:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xc089cf…
05-07 06:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x524cb0…
05-07 06:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe2a4c5…
05-07 00:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x83bcb7…
05-07 00:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1295f0…
05-07 00:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x83cf92…
05-07 00:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x819158…
05-05 04:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x7d4b85…
05-05 04:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6707f6…
05-05 04:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1ae05c…
05-05 04:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2e16c0…
05-05 04:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x6c7264…
05-05 04:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3339df…
05-05 01:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x0b9f22…
05-05 01:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x086c11…
05-05 01:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe3fda5…
05-05 01:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x51c0ca…
05-05 01:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc8bb0c…
05-05 01:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4d11fb…
05-05 01:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2976c1…
05-05 01:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x40dd07…
05-05 01:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x21ddaa…
05-05 01:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9fb89a…
05-04 23:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xb73f7a…
05-04 23:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6b3603…
05-04 23:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x9adbfb…
05-04 23:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x054891…
05-04 23:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x1beadb…
05-04 23:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x76aa7f…
05-04 22:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xf1000b…
05-04 22:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x318d6a…
05-04 22:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xf119f4…
05-04 22:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe0f18e…
05-04 22:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf563a9…
05-04 22:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x2f0114…
05-04 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2fa592…
05-04 22:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x0f94f2…
05-04 22:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd3b221…
05-04 22:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeed5ba…
05-04 22:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8477eb…
05-04 22:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xe84340…
05-04 22:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1be4e7…
05-04 22:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x260419…
05-04 22:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3cb4a2…
05-04 22:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x0b0c62…
05-04 22:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdde461…
05-04 22:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0eef87…
05-04 22:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xefcd06…
05-04 22:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbe4708…
05-04 22:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x459bbf…
05-04 21:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x12eea8…
05-04 21:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xddafff…
05-04 21:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xccc9e4…
05-04 21:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2c6e2f…
05-04 21:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe8d441…
05-04 21:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1eeacb…
05-04 21:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x025f94…
05-04 21:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x339866…
05-04 21:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x9fb02e…
05-04 21:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x111f54…
05-03 00:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcf6dac…
05-03 00:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1df69c…
05-03 00:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xd868db…
05-03 00:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x485acc…
05-03 00:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7afb7b…
05-03 00:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xe23b09…
05-03 00:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x33524d…
05-02 11:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x7cca24…
05-02 11:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc26cbb…
05-02 11:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x951c2e…
05-02 11:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xc813d9…
05-02 11:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x375eac…
05-02 11:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x17ca15…
05-02 11:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xede13d…
05-02 10:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x67ec7f…
05-02 10:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7a0c7b…
05-02 10:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5e36f4…
05-02 10:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$1	0x663018…
05-02 10:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x899d93…
05-02 00:46:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x24f835…
05-01 00:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xfdfd7c…
05-01 00:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x552842…
05-01 00:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3123cf…
04-30 23:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe12388…
04-30 23:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x047030…
04-30 23:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8ac6a1…
04-30 23:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x702243…
04-30 23:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x43615b…
04-30 23:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8c114f…