Reflecting-Distribution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-01 18:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 100% +$0

Politics

7% — —

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	03-11 14:23
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 17	1	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	03-17 14:25
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-12 12:52
ethereum above 2400 on april 11	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-11 14:14
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-10 09:25
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	2	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-09 14:30
bitcoin above 76k on april 8	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-08 10:05
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-07 10:25
will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-04 15:18
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-03 15:00
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-01 04:04
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-31 07:47
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-30 12:00
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-29 11:07
bitcoin above 60k on march 28	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-28 05:42
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$34	35	0	+35	open	—	03-27 13:57
bitcoin above 76k on march 26	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	03-26 00:49
ethereum above 1900 on march 25	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	03-25 08:18
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	03-24 09:29
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	03-23 09:45
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 22	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	03-22 16:36
bitcoin above 68k on march 21	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	03-21 13:37
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	03-20 09:15
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	03-19 13:00
will bitcoin reach 81k on march 18	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	03-18 18:24
will iran strike israel on march 8	1	$34	35	0	+35	open	—	03-08 10:02
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-04 10:24
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$31	63	32	+31	open	—	03-11 09:54
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	16	$30	3,724	3,724	+0	open	—	03-11 10:31
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	03-17 08:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 18:50:22	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa33e96…
06-30 12:14:07	bitcoin above 64k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xabe6b7…
06-28 08:56:16	ethereum above 1700 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5702b6…
06-26 06:28:07	bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1a4760…
06-23 10:50:20	ethereum above 1800 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb966fe…
06-21 11:24:16	bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80b627…
06-19 10:07:31	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf76ec5…
06-14 11:00:55	ethereum above 1100 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xf3d318…
06-12 13:38:04	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x605a89…
06-11 01:20:54	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6aeb9…
06-07 12:12:33	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3d19b5…
06-04 11:06:36	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x76b6ee…
05-28 06:41:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x62a373…
05-26 14:20:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x898c9d…
05-23 12:05:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8b8e3d…
05-21 12:27:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x688548…
05-19 15:44:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa97802…
05-14 09:32:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbfc4ad…
05-13 13:23:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x418b0e…
05-10 12:39:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xcf0acf…
05-03 10:26:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x668215…
04-27 10:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb3a071…
04-24 10:40:38	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x654fb8…
04-23 13:10:54	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72ea76…
04-22 13:12:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a09d7…
04-21 13:39:34	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb148a2…
04-19 13:43:40	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9d8cbd…
04-18 14:53:32	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7faaef…
04-15 09:41:52	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x29cb56…
04-14 13:15:27	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc19017…
04-13 09:40:25	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c5be0…
04-13 01:32:09	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdc23c…
04-12 12:52:41	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb53305…
04-11 14:14:07	ethereum above 2400 on april 11	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2b87cd…
04-10 09:25:29	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x421126…
04-09 14:30:43	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x65e9d8…
04-09 14:26:21	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0fb96…
04-08 10:05:35	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe288f2…
04-07 10:25:39	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd25ef5…
04-04 15:18:15	will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xee49c5…
04-03 15:00:31	bitcoin above 64k on april 3	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x63f497…
04-01 04:04:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd627c4…
03-31 07:47:29	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7d5515…
03-30 12:00:36	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x304948…
03-29 11:07:00	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9be6f3…
03-28 05:42:05	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xde6717…
03-27 13:57:59	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0xe01a40…
03-26 00:49:21	bitcoin above 76k on march 26	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xea4a49…
03-25 08:18:17	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd0c404…
03-24 09:29:57	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x676ce3…
03-23 09:45:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd077cd…
03-22 16:36:09	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 22	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xda67de…
03-21 13:37:27	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x1ae6cd…
03-20 09:15:23	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xecfbc3…
03-19 13:00:23	bitcoin above 74k on march 19	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xbe0de3…
03-18 18:24:55	will bitcoin reach 81k on march 18	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xda2144…
03-17 14:25:55	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 17	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x6e1a0b…
03-17 08:33:15	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x88147f…
03-16 13:32:37	will bitcoin reach 81k on march 16	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x108409…
03-16 01:13:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 16	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x31e928…
03-11 14:23:21	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xdaad33…
03-11 10:31:31	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,579	0¢	$6	0x68ac0a…
03-11 09:54:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x45d8b0…
03-11 09:17:37	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	122	0¢	$0	0x8c3b43…
03-11 09:17:33	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xbfa2bd…
03-11 09:17:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x819b35…
03-11 09:17:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0f315c…
03-11 09:17:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x1dff92…
03-11 09:16:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xbc0e4c…
03-11 09:16:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x9eac8c…
03-11 09:16:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xe06d96…
03-11 09:16:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xf31537…
03-11 09:16:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	499	0¢	$2	0xf74336…
03-11 09:16:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x3b0a74…
03-11 09:16:37	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xc3573f…
03-11 09:16:29	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	842	0¢	$3	0xdadc8f…
03-11 08:13:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x15b381…
03-11 07:58:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x1e301c…
03-08 10:02:09	will iran strike israel on march 8	Yes	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x1054a3…
03-07 15:59:21	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x0bb629…
03-04 10:24:37	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x36dadc…
03-04 08:32:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	2,145	0¢	$9	0x29ce77…
03-04 05:13:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	2,145	0¢	$9	0xe40f26…