Evil-Mincemeat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$179

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 05-23 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 0% $-2

Politics

13% — —

Other

13% — —

Sports

10% 0% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775176200	6	$45	38	37	+1	open	—	04-03 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$19	21	21	+0	open	—	05-20 06:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	04-07 21:38
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$10	12	0	+12	Sean Strickland	$-10	05-05 22:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	04-07 20:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$6	15	15	+0	open	—	04-08 23:22
btc updown 5m 1775177100	2	$6	267	0	+267	open	—	04-03 00:50
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$6	19	0	+19	No	$-6	04-15 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-23 09:52
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	04-03 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-20 02:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	05-08 02:35
btc updown 5m 1775594700	3	$5	24	7	+17	open	—	04-07 20:49
btc updown 5m 1775690700	4	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	04-08 23:29
btc updown 5m 1775178300	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-03 01:09
btc updown 5m 1776246300	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-15 09:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$3	106	48	+59	open	—	04-14 09:13
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 ags kylian mbappe	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 22:43
btc updown 5m 1776157500	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-14 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 23:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-08 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 22:57
btc updown 5m 1775178600	2	$1	3	3	+0	open	—	04-03 01:11
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 23:17
btc updown 5m 1776036300	1	$1	122	0	+122	open	—	04-12 23:29
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-29 22:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	04-14 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-08 02:37
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	$-1	05-05 22:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 09:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x709137…
05-20 06:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x309142…
05-20 06:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x99edef…
05-20 06:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x1fcb79…
05-20 06:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7aa067…
05-20 02:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x935bc9…
05-08 02:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0d12b9…
05-08 02:35:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x015d8b…
05-08 02:35:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xa32fe2…
05-05 23:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x22b37f…
05-05 22:21:08	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4dc5d8…
05-05 22:20:52	Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x354602…
05-05 22:19:42	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1a36e4…
05-05 10:27:22	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9ddcc7…
05-03 19:43:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x62c79e…
04-29 23:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xc67809…
04-29 23:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x89d3fd…
04-29 23:06:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xaa0b88…
04-29 23:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0xe60ab5…
04-29 23:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x40ae5d…
04-29 22:59:46	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7138c2…
04-29 22:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaf732c…
04-29 22:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc02a30…
04-15 22:46:24	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcce85a…
04-15 22:43:18	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 ags kylian mbappe	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9e8a4c…
04-15 14:37:30	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 ags kylian mbappe	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xde0ae4…
04-15 14:35:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xf882c5…
04-15 09:47:36	btc updown 5m 1776246300	Down	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xd7f8a1…
04-15 09:46:32	btc updown 5m 1776246300	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc2b785…
04-14 09:13:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x153e2b…
04-14 09:12:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x8e33f6…
04-14 09:09:31	btc updown 5m 1776157500	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe3711e…
04-14 09:06:47	btc updown 5m 1776157500	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x248ba9…
04-12 23:29:37	btc updown 5m 1776036300	Down	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x07cd27…
04-10 01:28:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xaba785…
04-08 23:29:17	btc updown 5m 1775690700	Down	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xbfe63f…
04-08 23:28:29	btc updown 5m 1775690700	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdcc8ea…
04-08 23:27:15	btc updown 5m 1775690700	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xde0060…
04-08 23:26:11	btc updown 5m 1775690700	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x93ef63…
04-08 23:23:15	btc updown 5m 1775690400	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfab23d…
04-08 23:22:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xd4ac7e…
04-08 10:41:51	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf9a353…
04-07 23:17:57	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x2e41de…
04-07 21:39:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x75d062…
04-07 21:38:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	11	51¢	$5	0x415c04…
04-07 20:55:11	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc96a6b…
04-07 20:49:11	btc updown 5m 1775594700	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2d9583…
04-07 20:48:15	btc updown 5m 1775594700	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xf9157f…
04-07 20:47:43	btc updown 5m 1775594700	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xce2fb2…
04-07 20:46:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0xaf301e…
04-03 01:11:15	btc updown 5m 1775178600	Up	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0x4a2264…
04-03 01:10:49	btc updown 5m 1775178600	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0e8af0…
04-03 01:09:21	btc updown 5m 1775178300	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x731dc8…
04-03 01:09:01	btc updown 5m 1775178300	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1936bb…
04-03 00:54:47	btc updown 5m 1775177400	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc31ddf…
04-03 00:52:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x2f2214…
04-03 00:50:27	btc updown 5m 1775177100	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf7143d…
04-03 00:48:33	btc updown 5m 1775177100	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x6ca740…
04-03 00:45:13	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc2d037…
04-03 00:37:49	btc updown 5m 1775176500	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe74a1c…
04-03 00:34:59	btc updown 5m 1775176200	Up	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0xffa16a…
04-03 00:34:13	btc updown 5m 1775176200	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x20f447…
04-03 00:33:51	btc updown 5m 1775176200	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf2d7c0…
04-03 00:31:59	btc updown 5m 1775176200	Up	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0x1f1e07…
04-03 00:31:33	btc updown 5m 1775176200	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0b9a8b…
04-03 00:30:57	btc updown 5m 1775176200	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1ff512…
04-03 00:30:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2f3eb6…
03-26 04:09:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf9a3a8…
03-26 04:06:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0b09ed…