Informal-Overhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

673

Trades

16,321

lifetime

Volume

$143.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-02 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 56% $-84

Other

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 1154 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776661800	19	$848	892	0	+892	open	—	04-20 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	46	$796	950	0	+950	open	—	04-27 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	60	$750	792	0	+792	Up	+$42	05-08 11:04
btc updown 5m 1776760500	7	$727	765	0	+765	open	—	04-21 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	8	$722	1,352	0	+1,352	Up	$-46	05-09 01:54
btc updown 5m 1776406500	7	$679	718	0	+718	open	—	04-17 06:20
btc updown 5m 1782971700	5	$652	435	435	+0	open	—	07-02 05:57
btc updown 5m 1776737700	13	$636	828	0	+828	open	—	04-21 02:20
btc updown 5m 1776550200	4	$631	649	0	+649	open	—	04-18 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	24	$602	466	400	+66	Down	+$216	05-06 07:05
btc updown 5m 1776708600	16	$577	634	0	+634	open	—	04-20 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	28	$575	671	285	+385	Down	$-16	05-11 00:19
btc updown 5m 1776675600	14	$561	656	0	+656	open	—	04-20 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	8	$556	1,118	0	+1,118	Down	+$3	05-09 02:14
cs2 sparta inox 2026 06 17	9	$526	387	286	+101	open	—	06-17 14:27
btc updown 5m 1776312900	24	$518	721	0	+721	open	—	04-16 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	17	$516	656	328	+328	Up	$-156	05-05 08:09
fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	5	$507	367	267	+100	open	—	06-18 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$506	741	0	+741	Down	$-136	05-09 03:05
btc updown 5m 1776341700	33	$501	752	0	+752	open	—	04-16 12:20
btc updown 5m 1776324000	26	$459	927	0	+927	open	—	04-16 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	65	$445	1,110	1,000	+110	open	—	05-03 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	14	$442	562	190	+372	Down	+$243	05-05 06:44
cs2 ill ruby1 2026 06 16	23	$436	433	433	+0	open	—	06-16 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	26	$416	399	214	+185	open	—	05-16 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	18	$407	449	200	+249	Down	+$8	05-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	44	$388	388	206	+181	Up	+$5	05-11 03:24
btc updown 5m 1776825900	3	$377	397	0	+397	open	—	04-22 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	34	$363	450	225	+225	open	—	05-16 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	6	$361	652	0	+652	Down	$-35	05-10 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 06:08:08	btc updown 5m 1782972300	Up	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0xc4270b…
07-02 06:08:08	btc updown 5m 1782972300	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x7d5ad0…
07-02 06:08:07	btc updown 5m 1782972300	Up	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x344085…
07-02 06:08:07	btc updown 5m 1782972300	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x127a90…
07-02 06:05:40	btc updown 5m 1782972300	Up	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x30004e…
07-02 06:05:40	btc updown 5m 1782972300	Up	BUY	18	75¢	$13	0x068ca5…
07-02 06:05:38	btc updown 5m 1782972300	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xeacc3c…
07-02 06:05:38	btc updown 5m 1782972300	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x03ff55…
07-02 06:03:53	btc updown 5m 1782972000	Down	SELL	13	88¢	$11	0x701bb1…
07-02 06:03:46	btc updown 5m 1782972000	Down	SELL	26	82¢	$21	0xfcf1c3…
07-02 06:01:52	btc updown 5m 1782972000	Down	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x7c8b46…
07-02 06:01:52	btc updown 5m 1782972000	Down	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x6e8ab5…
07-02 06:01:50	btc updown 5m 1782972000	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xedc8d4…
07-02 06:01:49	btc updown 5m 1782972000	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xf7b0f1…
07-02 05:57:14	btc updown 5m 1782971700	Down	SELL	435	78¢	$339	0xc332ed…
07-02 05:56:19	btc updown 5m 1782971700	Down	BUY	43	72¢	$31	0xd45823…
07-02 05:56:19	btc updown 5m 1782971700	Down	BUY	337	72¢	$242	0xcbc1a7…
07-02 05:56:19	btc updown 5m 1782971700	Down	BUY	45	72¢	$33	0x6d736c…
07-02 05:56:16	btc updown 5m 1782971700	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x92f132…
07-02 05:54:38	bitcoin above 58k on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd3def8…
07-02 05:53:46	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xd42dfd…
07-02 05:53:25	bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xe0cc99…
07-02 03:36:46	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x88feee…
07-02 03:34:28	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x92d153…
07-02 03:34:26	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x20beb6…
07-02 03:28:58	bitcoin above 58k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4ff5b0…
07-02 03:28:13	bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x5fdde9…
07-02 02:54:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7cb54a…
07-02 02:54:56	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x46d57a…
07-02 02:54:49	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x963708…
07-02 02:51:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa65fda…
07-02 02:51:25	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe86341…
07-02 02:51:25	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x520112…
07-02 02:47:22	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xd0843b…
07-02 02:47:11	will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x4c75f1…
07-02 02:46:55	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xed3262…
07-02 02:20:34	will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x75d855…
07-02 02:20:32	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4ccee0…
07-02 02:20:32	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x0d673b…
07-02 02:20:10	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x96f697…
07-02 02:20:10	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0d0e6c…
07-02 02:20:08	will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xfc037f…
07-01 12:08:04	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 12pt5	Under	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x1db11d…
07-01 12:07:23	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x8ccf17…
07-01 12:07:13	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 11pt5	Over	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x9839ab…
07-01 12:06:53	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xeecd3f…
07-01 12:05:02	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x2bf4b8…
07-01 11:58:47	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x686889…
07-01 11:51:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	No	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xe95e9c…
07-01 11:49:28	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1b5c5e…
07-01 11:49:26	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd38858…
07-01 11:49:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x8a8b4c…
07-01 11:49:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x891ca3…
07-01 11:49:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x221dfb…
07-01 11:49:25	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x38f61a…
07-01 06:36:10	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 11pt5	Over	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xc948c1…
07-01 06:36:08	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 12pt5	Under	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc9a610…
07-01 06:28:31	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x34d9e0…
06-29 09:50:53	btc updown 5m 1782726600	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x600d4b…
06-29 09:50:38	btc updown 5m 1782726600	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x650dcf…
06-29 03:28:08	btc updown 5m 1782703800	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf97918…
06-29 03:28:02	btc updown 5m 1782703800	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe1b133…
06-29 03:27:55	btc updown 5m 1782703800	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcfe4b7…
06-29 03:27:49	btc updown 5m 1782703800	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaaf129…
06-29 03:26:32	btc updown 5m 1782703500	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xc260f4…
06-29 03:25:55	btc updown 5m 1782703500	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1716b0…
06-29 03:25:37	btc updown 5m 1782703500	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xbaef85…
06-29 03:25:28	btc updown 5m 1782703500	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x1d9aeb…
06-29 03:21:40	btc updown 5m 1782703200	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xc0c072…
06-29 03:21:29	btc updown 5m 1782703200	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xec7ebc…
06-29 03:18:11	btc updown 5m 1782702900	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb6453f…
06-29 03:18:01	btc updown 5m 1782702900	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc112b7…
06-29 03:17:49	btc updown 5m 1782702900	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9ed83c…
06-29 03:17:35	btc updown 5m 1782702900	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3d8c22…
06-29 03:17:23	btc updown 5m 1782702900	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xe76eed…
06-29 03:16:34	btc updown 5m 1782702900	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x74d99f…
06-29 03:16:32	btc updown 5m 1782702900	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xd4ff08…
06-29 03:16:31	btc updown 5m 1782702900	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x1ed567…
06-29 03:16:13	btc updown 5m 1782702900	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xae03f9…
06-29 03:16:08	btc updown 5m 1782702900	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc82ed7…
06-29 03:15:55	btc updown 5m 1782702900	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdb5a6b…
06-29 03:14:10	btc updown 5m 1782702900	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdb76e8…
06-29 03:13:34	btc updown 5m 1782702600	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x2282d9…
06-29 03:13:23	btc updown 5m 1782702600	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x64f3de…
06-29 03:13:02	btc updown 5m 1782702600	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xed8941…
06-29 02:41:10	btc updown 5m 1782700800	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x10c7ac…
06-29 02:23:05	btc updown 5m 1782699900	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8670a0…
06-29 02:15:04	btc updown 5m 1782699300	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x582532…
06-29 02:13:04	btc updown 5m 1782699000	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x61678a…
06-29 01:34:05	btc updown 5m 1782696600	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xa1ea2f…
06-29 01:31:11	btc updown 5m 1782696600	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x61b790…
06-29 01:24:37	btc updown 5m 1782696300	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x882c16…
06-29 01:18:46	btc updown 5m 1782696000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf6c67b…
06-29 01:15:58	btc updown 5m 1782695700	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3960a2…
06-29 01:13:19	btc updown 5m 1782695400	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x4de8f0…
06-29 01:12:40	btc updown 5m 1782695400	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb64cf8…
06-29 01:10:31	btc updown 5m 1782695400	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xedb350…
06-27 08:28:59	btc updown 5m 1782548700	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe01ecf…
06-24 09:57:41	btc updown 5m 1782294900	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x88a0ee…
06-24 08:43:37	btc updown 5m 1782290700	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa8183d…