Upset-Edger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$163

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-21 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

77% — —

Other

13% — —

Sports

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	9	$32	370	36	+334	open	—	04-27 19:46
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	3	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	04-28 20:04
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$21	860	110	+750	open	—	04-29 22:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	5	$14	17	10	+7	open	—	04-28 18:39
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	4	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	04-29 17:25
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-20 02:05
DeepSeek V4 released by April 28?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 23:24
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-18 14:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 17:55
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-19 13:45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 14:01
deepseek v4 released by april 24	3	$3	97	0	+97	open	—	04-24 05:19
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-29 16:00
DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 02:47
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	2	$3	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 15:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	2	$3	16	16	+0	open	—	04-25 13:28
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-22 02:33
James Comey arrested by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 18:35
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-21 18:47
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	2	$2	120	120	+0	open	—	04-24 05:18
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-21 22:38
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 17:42
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-23 15:34
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-25 13:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 13:44
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?	2	$1	15	15	+0	open	—	04-25 13:33
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	04-24 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$0	0	1	-1	Up	+$0	05-09 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$0	0	1	-1	Up	+$0	05-08 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 18:47:20	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x16ee23…
05-21 15:12:26	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x700f6a…
05-20 02:05:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x6c1f92…
05-09 04:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xe49afa…
05-08 20:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x2c1ce3…
05-01 13:51:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xa11a99…
04-29 22:54:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xc5df7b…
04-29 18:35:38	James Comey arrested by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x465c34…
04-29 17:25:28	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xf7d376…
04-29 16:08:12	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x50e56d…
04-29 16:00:58	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x8e0b71…
04-29 15:59:54	James Comey arrested by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xba5af4…
04-29 15:27:18	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x704487…
04-29 07:12:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xfa7a85…
04-29 01:24:40	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd20d8d…
04-28 20:04:52	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3b58c0…
04-28 20:04:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x32ec35…
04-28 20:01:30	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x3f9437…
04-28 18:39:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x82901f…
04-27 22:05:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4acd40…
04-27 19:46:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	334	0¢	$1	0x8089f2…
04-27 18:10:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xaf44ba…
04-27 18:01:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x482063…
04-26 19:21:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x5c8c64…
04-26 19:20:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x707dd0…
04-25 13:44:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xfaf7b5…
04-25 13:33:48	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x3e2e81…
04-25 13:33:08	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x078c56…
04-25 13:28:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x8e529a…
04-25 00:21:48	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x6232f7…
04-24 19:20:38	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x70ed64…
04-24 18:41:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x36ddaf…
04-24 18:36:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xcc8155…
04-24 14:56:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xc90c81…
04-24 14:08:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x8e5607…
04-24 14:01:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x8edac3…
04-24 11:23:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xfbe9c3…
04-24 05:19:32	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf51afd…
04-24 05:18:48	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	No	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0x12b2d6…
04-24 05:06:24	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	No	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0xc8ca6e…
04-24 04:56:16	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x80bad7…
04-24 04:01:28	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xaa213e…
04-24 03:57:52	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6dd9ef…
04-24 02:47:42	DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x55a7c6…
04-23 23:37:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf98214…
04-23 23:24:24	DeepSeek V4 released by April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xd3c0ad…
04-23 21:54:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x94c2f9…
04-23 21:37:06	DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc29688…
04-23 21:36:52	DeepSeek V4 released by April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb36f13…
04-23 21:10:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x47dc54…
04-23 20:43:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xedefbf…
04-23 20:12:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xed05a0…
04-23 18:27:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xb2bfcf…
04-23 17:09:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	49	15¢	$7	0x1c89cd…
04-23 15:34:08	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb6e15c…
04-23 15:08:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc96d49…
04-23 15:06:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	94	8¢	$8	0xe6cbd3…
04-23 05:11:22	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7559ba…
04-23 00:15:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5304bc…
04-22 22:51:12	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x18d2db…
04-22 21:11:30	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc689da…
04-22 02:33:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xc66eb3…
04-21 22:38:20	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xccd88a…
04-21 19:38:02	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd432e0…
04-21 19:07:14	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6b9120…
04-21 17:55:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb28c44…
04-21 01:10:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xcead07…
04-19 13:45:38	Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox	Detroit Tigers	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x49ccc9…
04-18 18:00:58	Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox	Detroit Tigers	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x423dd1…
04-18 14:15:50	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x6ee2f3…
04-17 17:42:48	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0e310f…
04-17 17:42:18	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Knicks	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x41f869…
04-16 20:41:24	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Knicks	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x400dbe…