Alienated-Carload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$396

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-08 04:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 87% +$49

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$20	24	+24	open	—	05-04 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	05-04 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$7	8	+8	Down	+$1	05-04 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-06 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-08 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-07 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Up	$-6	05-08 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Up	+$1	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Up	+$1	05-08 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-08 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-06 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$6	9	+9	Down	+$3	05-06 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-07 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-07 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Up	+$1	05-08 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Up	+$1	05-06 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-06 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-06 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-06 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-08 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-07 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-06 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-08 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-07 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-06 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-07 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-07 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-06 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-06 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-04 17:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 04:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x455dea…
05-08 03:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa5cb01…
05-08 03:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x7505a2…
05-08 02:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x3b98e2…
05-08 02:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6667dd…
05-08 01:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xc98a0b…
05-08 01:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x5c5434…
05-08 01:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa5a4d9…
05-08 01:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xf99624…
05-08 01:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xf35fc0…
05-07 22:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xa5c0dd…
05-07 16:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xaf8a61…
05-07 14:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x19d17a…
05-07 14:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x83cb16…
05-07 13:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x628433…
05-07 09:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x22a6dd…
05-07 07:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd9ddb8…
05-07 07:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe26cc5…
05-07 05:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe64859…
05-07 04:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x161847…
05-07 02:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc0842c…
05-07 02:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x6e9cbb…
05-07 01:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xfba3ba…
05-07 01:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xaee229…
05-06 23:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3f01df…
05-06 19:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x9ae177…
05-06 18:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x5cab22…
05-06 18:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x08cebd…
05-06 16:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xecd3c5…
05-06 15:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa58389…
05-06 15:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xde4c48…
05-06 15:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x9c94c9…
05-06 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xd88f42…
05-06 10:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xabc49e…
05-06 07:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x82e11e…
05-06 07:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x83905d…
05-06 05:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x709091…
05-06 05:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x20005f…
05-06 02:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x37a6ea…
05-06 02:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x8a5e51…
05-06 01:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x7831c5…
05-05 23:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x365834…
05-05 23:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd50848…
05-05 23:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdbf5a6…
05-05 23:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9d4231…
05-05 22:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x0ed83a…
05-05 21:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x984307…
05-05 20:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7c18df…
05-05 20:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8f8b0c…
05-05 20:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4469c4…
05-05 19:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x53adb9…
05-05 18:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x97fa70…
05-05 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1511b6…
05-05 15:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcc2e57…
05-05 15:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x823790…
05-05 14:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd33ab7…
05-05 13:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x2c6275…
05-05 09:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xbe58b9…
05-05 07:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xc4b920…
05-05 06:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xbff19c…
05-05 06:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xae11a7…
05-05 06:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xeaa7cd…
05-05 05:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xdbc19c…
05-05 04:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x05273f…
05-05 04:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x2de3b2…
05-05 04:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xfcf255…
05-05 03:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x67a343…
05-05 03:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x47f530…
05-05 03:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xd4b5ab…
05-05 02:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xa20552…
05-05 02:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x890882…
05-05 01:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x3c31c7…
05-05 01:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbf5319…
05-04 23:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x233b3d…
05-04 23:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x262a10…
05-04 22:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf60d7a…
05-04 22:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x57b7e0…
05-04 22:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4822f4…
05-04 22:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc289e3…
05-04 22:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaf903a…
05-04 17:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xee4983…
05-04 17:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x94078a…
05-04 17:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x030e80…
05-04 16:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x7e688e…
05-04 16:41:20	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xb1b072…
05-04 16:36:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0b5c50…
05-01 15:57:10	BNB Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x998665…
03-16 15:30:07	eth updown 5m 1773674700	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x312134…
03-15 05:59:25	btc updown 5m 1773554100	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xdc84e2…
03-15 04:19:33	btc updown 5m 1773548100	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xaf76ec…
03-15 00:54:25	btc updown 5m 1773535800	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xec8ae1…