Happy-Thunderhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-03 03:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

77% 50% +$0

Sports

17% — —

Politics

6% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	8	$3.2K	2,245	2,244	+1	No	$-1	03-17 06:24
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	6	$1.7K	1,352	1,351	+1	open	—	03-17 06:35
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	3	$1.6K	872	871	+1	open	—	03-17 07:02
f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	3	$1.5K	766	766	+0	open	—	03-17 07:26
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	3	$233	1,294	1,294	+0	open	—	03-15 22:40
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	5	$191	1,167	1,167	+0	open	—	03-15 12:53
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	6	$139	966	966	+0	open	—	03-16 15:23
will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	8	$138	1,105	1,105	+0	open	—	03-17 03:44
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	3	$124	596	596	+0	open	—	03-17 06:08
cs2 navi fut 2026 03 14 total games 2pt5	1	$122	231	0	+231	open	—	03-14 06:11
por gil alv 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	2	$116	164	0	+164	open	—	03-14 03:19
nhl car tb 2026 03 14 total 5pt5	1	$106	258	0	+258	open	—	03-14 03:48
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	3	$89	546	546	+0	Yes	+$1	03-15 23:15
will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	3	$25	597	597	+0	open	—	03-15 11:49
lal rea elc 2026 03 14 elc	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	03-14 06:40
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	06-03 03:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 20?	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	05-20 11:04
mex gua san 2026 03 14 san	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	03-14 04:05
Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	1	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	05-29 03:38
Ceará SC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5	1	$14	15	0	+15	Under	+$1	05-13 06:38
epl ars eve 2026 03 14 eve	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	03-14 09:35
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	03-14 09:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 03:58:31	Spread: Spurs (-23.5)	Knicks	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf0d6c1…
05-29 03:38:46	Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	CD Universidad de Concepción	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xd18c6f…
05-20 11:04:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x270156…
05-13 06:38:48	Ceará SC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x16b32f…
03-17 07:26:35	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	SELL	766	97¢	$743	0xc86973…
03-17 07:19:33	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	162	97¢	$157	0x4ffdae…
03-17 07:19:25	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	604	97¢	$584	0x844f3f…
03-17 07:02:33	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	SELL	437	86¢	$378	0x10d061…
03-17 07:02:33	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	SELL	434	87¢	$375	0x074f79…
03-17 06:54:31	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	872	92¢	$800	0x511d0a…
03-17 06:35:47	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	Yes	SELL	501	3¢	$17	0x40b5fc…
03-17 06:28:55	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	501	3¢	$17	0x3cbccc…
03-17 06:24:05	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	766	97¢	$745	0x84367f…
03-17 06:24:05	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x65b360…
03-17 06:17:03	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	811	97¢	$788	0x0dee9b…
03-17 06:08:55	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	SELL	596	10¢	$63	0xfd14db…
03-17 06:01:55	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0xb4789c…
03-17 06:01:55	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	BUY	540	10¢	$56	0x30a08b…
03-17 05:28:09	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	597	3¢	$16	0xeb403b…
03-17 05:20:21	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	598	3¢	$17	0xb8635a…
03-17 04:57:03	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	836	97¢	$810	0x58a7b6…
03-17 04:50:49	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xc9838f…
03-17 04:50:49	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	766	97¢	$742	0x5c5f88…
03-17 04:28:23	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	SELL	850	96¢	$812	0x95fb86…
03-17 04:22:53	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd645f6…
03-17 04:20:39	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	BUY	576	96¢	$553	0x389212…
03-17 04:20:37	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	BUY	274	96¢	$263	0x06e410…
03-17 03:44:57	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	SELL	78	5¢	$4	0xe3afd3…
03-17 03:40:47	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x773cfe…
03-16 15:23:17	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	318	6¢	$18	0xd81440…
03-16 14:26:43	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	SELL	305	5¢	$14	0xa5e015…
03-15 23:15:41	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x777ddd…
03-15 23:15:19	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	511	8¢	$42	0x331e00…
03-15 23:06:43	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	546	8¢	$44	0x7fae8b…
03-15 22:40:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	Yes	SELL	951	9¢	$89	0xcd522a…
03-15 22:40:49	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	Yes	SELL	343	9¢	$32	0x014d07…
03-15 22:34:47	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	Yes	BUY	1,294	9¢	$111	0x5e93de…
03-15 17:08:43	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0xe9a52b…
03-15 17:07:35	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0xdf3e47…
03-15 17:07:35	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	109	8¢	$8	0xa65e58…
03-15 17:07:35	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	500	8¢	$38	0x6dfa4c…
03-15 16:59:49	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	966	8¢	$72	0xbb6d9f…
03-15 15:20:23	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0x603827…
03-15 15:18:29	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	SELL	617	6¢	$39	0xb090b8…
03-15 15:09:11	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	BUY	224	7¢	$15	0x4cc13e…
03-15 15:09:11	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	BUY	859	7¢	$58	0x193129…
03-15 15:09:11	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	No	BUY	22	7¢	$1	0x0e732f…
03-15 12:53:01	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	No	SELL	688	8¢	$58	0xe745e3…
03-15 12:46:33	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	No	BUY	688	8¢	$56	0xcb50e6…
03-15 12:04:59	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	No	SELL	479	8¢	$40	0xd45161…
03-15 11:57:53	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	No	BUY	78	8¢	$6	0x91b4ee…
03-15 11:57:53	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	No	BUY	401	8¢	$32	0x3b0a50…
03-15 11:49:17	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	92	2¢	$2	0xca7f5e…
03-15 11:49:03	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	505	2¢	$11	0x950da1…
03-15 11:43:13	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	597	2¢	$12	0x8ac684…
03-14 09:35:51	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 eve	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x2b9050…
03-14 09:26:17	bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xda2e81…
03-14 06:40:45	lal rea elc 2026 03 14 elc	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x777d74…
03-14 06:11:55	cs2 navi fut 2026 03 14 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	231	53¢	$122	0xaeaec0…
03-14 04:05:59	mex gua san 2026 03 14 san	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x8214b2…
03-14 03:48:45	nhl car tb 2026 03 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	258	41¢	$106	0x85f64f…
03-14 03:19:03	por gil alv 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	FC Alverca	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xbdfc45…
03-14 03:19:03	por gil alv 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	FC Alverca	BUY	155	71¢	$110	0x1efc47…