Pleased-Success — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$183

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-30 04:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 33% $-8

Other

15% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes		+0	$0	52¢	$0	$-0	06-27 22:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 03:35
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	14	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	06-27 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$10	32	0	+32	Down	$-10	05-13 01:15
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	10	$9	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-15 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-14 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	05-14 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-30 04:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	15	15	+0	open	—	06-26 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-18 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-18 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-18 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-18 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-12 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 17:37
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	3	$2	68	33	+34	open	—	06-30 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 04:32:32	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x72f45e…
06-30 01:46:07	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xb8c8d8…
06-29 20:32:02	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x04b14a…
06-27 22:16:14	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x968400…
06-27 18:15:44	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5bd313…
06-27 16:31:07	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x4bb126…
06-27 12:30:17	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7988f0…
06-27 12:20:13	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x12d04d…
06-27 08:19:59	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0f2c4e…
06-26 23:56:05	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xbc1df5…
06-26 19:56:04	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x48b98c…
06-26 16:03:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x8059ca…
06-26 14:23:22	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xd5cddf…
06-26 12:02:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfd3946…
06-26 11:35:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x5bdc32…
06-26 10:22:52	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x26799b…
06-26 09:20:41	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xf392b7…
06-26 07:34:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1d50f2…
06-26 05:20:04	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdf31ed…
06-26 03:37:43	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xa2087b…
06-25 23:37:05	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x66ec5d…
06-22 22:28:02	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x4f66d3…
06-22 18:27:40	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2bc952…
06-18 17:23:19	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x11d969…
06-18 17:21:11	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x367bc6…
06-18 13:19:14	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfe34bb…
05-30 04:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4a0644…
05-30 04:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x069f77…
05-30 04:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd2b97d…
05-18 20:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x8e8557…
05-18 20:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5fc5a8…
05-18 20:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf20245…
05-18 20:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x117404…
05-18 20:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb3b38d…
05-18 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf0c7b3…
05-18 19:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2306be…
05-18 19:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xacd70b…
05-18 19:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf1d76a…
05-18 19:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x29c3df…
05-18 19:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2940dc…
05-18 19:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x20f53c…
05-18 19:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5d04f6…
05-18 19:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8d85f7…
05-18 19:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb8b13b…
05-18 19:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xba4353…
05-18 19:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xef822a…
05-18 19:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x35989c…
05-18 19:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2be4e5…
05-18 19:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x3f86d2…
05-18 19:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2320d4…
05-18 19:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	37¢	$1	0x24052a…
05-18 19:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xaeaf8b…
05-18 19:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xeac473…
05-18 19:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd7cd93…
05-18 19:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6b8a75…
05-18 19:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5c23a2…
05-18 18:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xbc1a90…
05-18 18:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3d4eae…
05-18 18:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe0ad49…
05-18 18:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x23c870…
05-18 18:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x164537…
05-18 18:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x7ea786…
05-18 18:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x145bbd…
05-18 18:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$1	0x53add5…
05-18 18:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8cfa9f…
05-18 18:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x873d56…
05-18 18:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x763d08…
05-18 18:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2bca3c…
05-18 18:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x02f277…
05-18 18:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5ae47d…
05-18 18:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x52e558…
05-18 18:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x94f644…
05-18 18:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1c70e3…
05-18 18:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa831df…
05-18 18:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf806e7…
05-18 18:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xc2e1e1…
05-18 18:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x17613a…
05-18 18:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xd37a7f…
05-18 18:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xadfc5a…
05-18 18:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x376298…
05-18 18:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfe43c1…
05-18 17:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x82d7b1…
05-18 17:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd224c4…
05-18 17:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xb95ccc…
05-18 17:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbedcb3…
05-18 17:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x2757aa…
05-18 17:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa2d187…
05-18 17:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xee2f92…
05-18 17:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0aacb3…
05-18 17:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xe6bb70…
05-18 17:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xecec2b…
05-18 17:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xab12e1…
05-18 17:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x720f3f…
05-18 17:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x816e17…
05-18 17:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf552ba…
05-18 17:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x842432…
05-18 17:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe9927b…
05-18 17:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x961d89…
05-18 17:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x20a653…
05-18 17:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x893e96…