Prudent-Pillow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$239

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 05-12 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 12% $-43

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775705700	5	$56	98	93	+5	open	—	04-09 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	11	$51	121	90	+31	Down	$-7	05-12 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$26	35	35	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	7	$15	30	14	+16	Up	$-19	05-08 20:34
btc updown 5m 1775704200	5	$13	21	18	+3	open	—	04-09 03:14
btc updown 5m 1775704500	4	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-09 03:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$9	25	0	+25	Up	$-9	05-10 19:05
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$7	34	7	+27	Down	$-5	05-12 19:17
btc updown 5m 1775705400	4	$7	33	31	+2	open	—	04-09 03:34
btc updown 15m 1773071100	1	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	03-09 15:47
btc updown 5m 1777030800	2	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	04-24 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$4	20	0	+20	Down	$-4	05-08 20:36
btc updown 5m 1775706000	2	$4	9	9	+0	open	—	04-09 03:43
btc updown 5m 1776447900	1	$3	18	0	+18	open	—	04-17 17:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$3	7	0	+7	Up	$-3	05-12 19:30
btc updown 5m 1773062700	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-09 13:28
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$3	1,873	0	+1,873	open	—	03-16 14:27
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1,650	0	+1,650	open	—	03-16 14:27
btc updown 5m 1773064200	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	03-09 13:53
btc updown 5m 1775705100	2	$2	14	0	+14	open	—	04-09 03:27
btc updown 5m 1773063600	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-09 13:43
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	83	0	+83	open	—	03-09 08:13
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	03-09 08:13
btc updown 5m 1777031100	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-24 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$1	33	12	+21	Up	$-1	05-12 19:14
btc updown 5m 1773063300	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	03-09 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 19:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xad13ae…
05-12 19:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5cc2cf…
05-12 19:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4adb14…
05-12 19:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0x734a6a…
05-12 19:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x723704…
05-12 19:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xee658e…
05-12 19:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2ba056…
05-12 19:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x552915…
05-12 19:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0xdfdb3b…
05-12 19:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x4527f5…
05-12 19:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	33	34¢	$11	0x1cdb92…
05-12 19:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd7e040…
05-12 19:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x55807b…
05-12 19:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb433e7…
05-12 19:17:14	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x0d2288…
05-12 19:16:49	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x36387a…
05-12 19:16:27	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x3a9b7f…
05-12 19:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xd2a610…
05-12 19:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9fa508…
05-10 19:05:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfacec1…
05-10 19:05:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x85f1ee…
05-10 19:05:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x3839e2…
05-08 20:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x1c41c6…
05-08 20:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3cffc1…
05-08 20:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x72bd8f…
05-08 20:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfae24d…
05-08 20:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xac9fb0…
05-08 20:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb25b2c…
05-08 20:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3b4f20…
05-08 20:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0xf6bbf4…
05-08 20:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	35	44¢	$15	0x8dcaac…
05-08 20:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe97130…
05-08 20:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xae7dc5…
05-08 20:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x97faf1…
04-24 11:46:04	btc updown 5m 1777031100	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x8623ef…
04-24 11:44:36	btc updown 5m 1777030800	Down	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x0b332e…
04-24 11:42:18	btc updown 5m 1777030800	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x98f135…
04-17 17:45:56	btc updown 5m 1776447900	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xebe0de…
04-09 03:43:33	btc updown 5m 1775706000	Up	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xf8f38d…
04-09 03:40:45	btc updown 5m 1775706000	Up	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x5063c0…
04-09 03:39:03	btc updown 5m 1775705700	Up	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0xd14714…
04-09 03:37:47	btc updown 5m 1775705700	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xc36487…
04-09 03:36:49	btc updown 5m 1775705700	Down	SELL	74	37¢	$28	0xe5966a…
04-09 03:35:51	btc updown 5m 1775705700	Down	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x596572…
04-09 03:35:41	btc updown 5m 1775705700	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa28cf4…
04-09 03:34:27	btc updown 5m 1775705400	Down	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0xbbedf8…
04-09 03:34:09	btc updown 5m 1775705400	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x6d720b…
04-09 03:33:23	btc updown 5m 1775705400	Down	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x38756a…
04-09 03:31:01	btc updown 5m 1775705400	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xbc5edb…
04-09 03:27:27	btc updown 5m 1775705100	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf90323…
04-09 03:27:05	btc updown 5m 1775705100	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb76f1f…
04-09 03:19:51	btc updown 5m 1775704500	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x5be2e3…
04-09 03:19:29	btc updown 5m 1775704500	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0e7d9e…
04-09 03:17:47	btc updown 5m 1775704500	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x580bb0…
04-09 03:17:01	btc updown 5m 1775704500	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd10e0f…
04-09 03:14:55	btc updown 5m 1775704200	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb4a137…
04-09 03:14:33	btc updown 5m 1775704200	Up	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x660ffb…
04-09 03:13:57	btc updown 5m 1775704200	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5a3a2b…
04-09 03:12:57	btc updown 5m 1775704200	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xae1715…
04-09 03:12:03	btc updown 5m 1775704200	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x2907ae…
03-16 14:27:39	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,400	0¢	$1	0x63de3e…
03-16 14:27:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,390	0¢	$1	0x267b2e…
03-09 15:47:15	btc updown 15m 1773071100	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x2b0520…
03-09 13:53:15	btc updown 5m 1773064200	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb72a0c…
03-09 13:43:35	btc updown 5m 1773063600	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe7f3f0…
03-09 13:38:19	btc updown 5m 1773063300	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcdb9ca…
03-09 13:28:17	btc updown 5m 1773062700	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xab659f…
03-09 08:14:27	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xe5586b…
03-09 08:13:57	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	83	2¢	$1	0x520383…
03-09 08:13:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x03d72f…
03-09 08:13:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	483	0¢	$1	0xedfa3c…