Rectangular-Diploma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$1.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-19 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 33% +$17

Other

20% 100% +$23

Politics

7% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	3	$78	133	133	+0	open	—	01-09 18:49
btc updown 15m 1767889800	4	$76	94	94	+0	open	—	01-08 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$48	73	73	+0	Up	+$27	05-11 12:17
nothing ever happens khamenei	2	$47	77	77	+0	open	—	01-08 20:27
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	4	$46	81	57	+23	Movistar KOI	+$14	05-10 19:23
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	5	$40	44	44	+0	Cloud9	+$10	05-10 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$33	91	91	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 11:33
btc updown 15m 1767888900	5	$32	187	80	+106	open	—	01-08 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$30	117	117	+0	Down	+$10	05-11 12:08
bitcoin up or down january 8 8am et	2	$30	42	42	+0	open	—	01-08 13:58
btc updown 15m 1767882600	3	$28	30	30	+0	open	—	01-08 14:43
btc updown 15m 1767956400	7	$27	39	39	+0	open	—	01-09 11:11
btc updown 15m 1767881700	6	$26	40	20	+20	open	—	01-08 14:21
btc updown 15m 1767960000	5	$24	135	79	+56	open	—	01-09 12:13
btc updown 15m 1767906900	6	$24	55	38	+17	open	—	01-08 21:29
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	2	$22	36	36	+0	open	—	01-07 23:36
btc updown 15m 1767915900	4	$21	45	39	+6	open	—	01-08 23:55
btc updown 15m 1767957300	4	$21	32	31	+0	open	—	01-09 11:29
ethereum up or down january 7 6pm et	1	$20	219	0	+219	open	—	01-07 23:44
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	2	$20	100	100	+0	open	—	01-07 23:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$20	61	0	+61	open	—	01-06 00:56
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$19	17	17	+0	open	—	01-08 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$19	71	71	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 21:52
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	01-06 17:54
bitcoin up or down january 7 6pm et	3	$17	50	0	+50	open	—	01-07 23:43
btc updown 15m 1767906000	4	$16	36	8	+28	open	—	01-08 21:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 7	2	$15	92	0	+92	open	—	01-07 15:18
bitcoin above 94k on january 5	2	$15	41	0	+41	open	—	01-05 15:50
btc updown 15m 1767888000	3	$15	44	0	+44	open	—	01-08 16:08
btc updown 15m 1767970800	5	$15	33	16	+17	open	—	01-09 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:44:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0xfa1a19…
07-19 21:44:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0xfbd3f0…
07-19 19:40:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xcfb5cf…
07-19 19:28:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x1b7598…
07-06 19:43:43	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2f935b…
07-06 19:43:10	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x396414…
05-12 01:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc46172…
05-12 01:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5fd707…
05-12 01:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6c26f3…
05-12 01:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8570fe…
05-12 01:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5ac4eb…
05-12 01:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbba723…
05-12 01:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa3208a…
05-12 01:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7cd357…
05-12 01:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xe4cdc6…
05-11 22:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xae9b68…
05-11 22:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe8ce26…
05-11 22:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x5f201f…
05-11 21:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	71	19¢	$14	0x151667…
05-11 21:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xf4daa4…
05-11 12:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x711cc9…
05-11 12:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	73	51¢	$37	0x51b162…
05-11 12:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x467153…
05-11 12:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0xeb80c7…
05-11 12:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0x9e0686…
05-11 12:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x419635…
05-11 12:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	117	17¢	$20	0x8f76a7…
05-11 12:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x6e6f6c…
05-11 12:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x57f6a5…
05-11 11:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	91	20¢	$18	0xe9493c…
05-11 11:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x33c5a2…
05-11 11:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa8d140…
05-11 11:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x59b274…
05-10 21:34:36	LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Cloud9	SELL	36	51¢	$18	0x4a20f5…
05-10 21:26:31	LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Cloud9	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9beeaa…
05-10 21:26:19	LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	FlyQuest	SELL	8	78¢	$7	0x74f909…
05-10 21:02:59	LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Cloud9	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa275fb…
05-10 20:45:33	LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	FlyQuest	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xeabb49…
05-10 19:23:16	LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x88a38e…
05-10 19:06:17	LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x4c17db…
05-10 19:03:40	LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	SELL	56	50¢	$28	0x3eaf0b…
05-10 18:44:53	LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Movistar KOI	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0xb4970c…
01-10 15:40:58	btc updown 15m 1768059000	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x1956a2…
01-10 01:54:22	btc updown 15m 1768009500	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xa7bd93…
01-09 21:07:50	btc updown 15m 1767992400	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x1f42fc…
01-09 21:05:32	btc updown 15m 1767992400	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb0b4b5…
01-09 20:54:36	btc updown 15m 1767991500	Down	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xc63280…
01-09 20:48:36	btc updown 15m 1767991500	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x26e8f2…
01-09 20:28:50	btc updown 15m 1767989700	Down	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0xd863cc…
01-09 20:25:38	btc updown 15m 1767989700	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x877136…
01-09 19:20:34	btc updown 15m 1767986100	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xefdeec…
01-09 18:49:02	will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	Yes	SELL	133	43¢	$58	0x3975c2…
01-09 15:13:54	btc updown 15m 1767970800	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xad6928…
01-09 15:12:34	btc updown 15m 1767970800	Up	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xccc992…
01-09 15:11:48	btc updown 15m 1767970800	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x41b3f4…
01-09 15:10:22	btc updown 15m 1767970800	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x65b578…
01-09 15:08:42	btc updown 15m 1767970800	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1d83c7…
01-09 14:58:50	btc updown 15m 1767969900	Up	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0x08f321…
01-09 14:56:38	btc updown 15m 1767969900	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x607317…
01-09 13:27:40	btc updown 15m 1767964500	Up	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xd417cc…
01-09 13:26:54	btc updown 15m 1767964500	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x78e81b…
01-09 12:49:56	btc updown 15m 1767962700	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xf53b78…
01-09 12:40:46	btc updown 15m 1767961800	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x6be1ec…
01-09 12:37:32	btc updown 15m 1767961800	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x372aed…
01-09 12:21:30	btc updown 15m 1767960900	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x9da80a…
01-09 12:13:18	btc updown 15m 1767960000	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x132c13…
01-09 12:11:44	btc updown 15m 1767960000	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x14608e…
01-09 12:09:46	btc updown 15m 1767960000	Down	SELL	79	20¢	$16	0xe0893a…
01-09 12:09:06	btc updown 15m 1767960000	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x8ea3bb…
01-09 12:06:02	btc updown 15m 1767960000	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x37e1d9…
01-09 11:59:02	bitcoin up or down january 9 6am et	Up	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x753d67…
01-09 11:56:26	bitcoin up or down january 9 6am et	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x102727…
01-09 11:39:28	btc updown 15m 1767958200	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x67776a…
01-09 11:38:14	btc updown 15m 1767958200	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x30d00b…
01-09 11:29:08	btc updown 15m 1767957300	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x248071…
01-09 11:27:32	btc updown 15m 1767957300	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1c83d0…
01-09 11:23:00	btc updown 15m 1767957300	Down	SELL	26	48¢	$13	0x202591…
01-09 11:19:24	btc updown 15m 1767957300	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3f0c97…
01-09 11:11:54	btc updown 15m 1767956400	Up	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xcc5515…
01-09 11:11:52	btc updown 15m 1767956400	Up	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0xd9fc4c…
01-09 11:10:02	btc updown 15m 1767956400	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6ec264…
01-09 11:08:24	btc updown 15m 1767956400	Down	SELL	32	41¢	$13	0x1ea8b9…
01-09 11:05:42	btc updown 15m 1767956400	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xd5a04c…
01-09 11:04:04	btc updown 15m 1767956400	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x831218…
01-09 11:00:50	btc updown 15m 1767956400	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x9ee203…
01-09 00:20:14	sol updown 15m 1767917700	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x6c0f82…
01-09 00:17:14	sol updown 15m 1767917700	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x831401…
01-09 00:12:46	btc updown 15m 1767916800	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x689100…
01-09 00:07:00	btc updown 15m 1767916800	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x1319b1…
01-08 23:55:38	btc updown 15m 1767915900	Up	SELL	39	39¢	$15	0x608b91…
01-08 23:54:52	btc updown 15m 1767915900	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x3843a0…
01-08 23:52:28	btc updown 15m 1767915900	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xabe1ac…
01-08 23:50:16	btc updown 15m 1767915900	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf680f9…
01-08 23:43:14	btc updown 15m 1767915000	Up	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x11541f…
01-08 23:34:46	btc updown 15m 1767915000	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8c8460…
01-08 23:33:44	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	SELL	17	21¢	$4	0x1a99a3…
01-08 23:32:02	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	265	2¢	$4	0xed2a2f…
01-08 23:17:44	btc updown 15m 1767914100	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa15acb…
01-08 23:06:54	btc updown 15m 1767913200	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xbe8856…
01-08 23:05:56	btc updown 15m 1767913200	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xaa0873…