Unrealistic-Bump — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$346

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-15 06:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$0

Politics

23% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-0

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	3	$120	5,001	5,001	+0	open	—	03-30 08:13
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$12	8	8	+0	No	$-0	03-20 04:14
wta sherif uchijim 2026 02 28	1	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	02-28 09:50
cs2 navi prv 2026 03 28	1	$11	19	0	+19	open	—	03-28 09:38
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-23 07:14
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	1	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 08:26
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622191733844	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	06-25 08:57
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	07-05 04:15
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	07-06 07:24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-31 06:03
bitcoin up or down on march 8	1	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	03-07 09:48
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	03-19 06:02
lol t1 kt 2026 04 01	1	$7	41	0	+41	open	—	04-01 09:44
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	1	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	03-20 08:22
ethereum up or down on march 2	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	03-01 10:28
LoL: Dark Passage vs Misa Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season	1	$7	7	0	+7	Misa Esports	+$0	05-07 08:45
nhl las wsh 2026 02 27	1	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	02-27 11:54
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	1	$7	55	0	+55	open	—	06-14 06:15
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-26 08:03
chi ron qin 2026 04 03 draw	1	$6	38	0	+38	open	—	04-03 04:07
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-19 07:07
elc swe cha 2026 04 18 swe	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-18 10:47
cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	03-29 10:29
nhl utah chi 2026 03 09	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	03-09 08:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	1	$6	65	0	+65	open	—	06-15 05:58
btc updown 5m 1773674700	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	03-16 07:31
highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 82 83f	2	$5	46	0	+46	open	—	03-29 09:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 07:00
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	07-15 06:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	07-24 04:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 04:00:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x187f82…
07-24 03:49:16	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	110	3¢	$3	0x2d3902…
07-15 06:38:46	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x405840…
07-06 07:24:46	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf56d99…
07-05 04:15:25	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xe595bd…
06-25 08:57:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622191733844	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x0a48ac…
06-15 05:58:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	65	9¢	$6	0xe05fe0…
06-14 06:15:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	Yes	BUY	55	12¢	$7	0x1731bd…
06-06 03:43:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0xb162e6…
05-31 06:03:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x8a96ce…
05-19 07:07:43	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0xceedb0…
05-14 07:38:36	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	76	2¢	$2	0xa2abd3…
05-14 07:27:47	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x117c49…
05-14 07:19:49	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf58c55…
05-14 07:00:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x383836…
05-14 06:58:14	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb75fa0…
05-07 08:45:49	LoL: Dark Passage vs Misa Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season	Misa Esports	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xf4a655…
04-26 08:03:02	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x68980c…
04-18 10:47:20	elc swe cha 2026 04 18 swe	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xaf76d4…
04-11 06:42:11	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x13619a…
04-03 04:07:03	chi ron qin 2026 04 03 draw	Yes	BUY	38	17¢	$6	0xd78284…
04-01 09:44:53	lol t1 kt 2026 04 01	KT Rolster	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0xedc7cd…
03-30 08:13:24	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	262	1¢	$3	0xa78acc…
03-30 08:09:02	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,738	1¢	$57	0xae6766…
03-30 07:51:30	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,001	1¢	$60	0x2c1c1b…
03-29 10:29:44	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	Vitality	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xfedf2d…
03-29 09:56:52	highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 82 83f	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x73fe36…
03-29 09:40:42	highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 82 83f	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x0b472d…
03-28 11:17:25	highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x35a9a5…
03-28 09:38:55	cs2 navi prv 2026 03 28	Natus Vincere	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x555eb3…
03-25 08:26:01	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Houston Cougars	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xba34ac…
03-23 07:14:45	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdc89fb…
03-20 08:22:27	cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	Vanderbilt Commodores	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x4ca561…
03-20 04:14:51	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xdad701…
03-19 06:02:21	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x432d74…
03-16 07:31:25	btc updown 5m 1773674700	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xd27feb…
03-14 11:50:43	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x77591d…
03-09 08:40:39	nhl utah chi 2026 03 09	Utah	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x35ef4d…
03-08 10:51:15	dltr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 16 2026 2pt53	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa71d1c…
03-07 09:48:39	bitcoin up or down on march 8	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x5ed34c…
03-01 10:28:41	ethereum up or down on march 2	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x50cd70…
02-28 09:50:27	wta sherif uchijim 2026 02 28	Moyuka Uchijima	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0x9ef7e0…
02-27 11:54:21	nhl las wsh 2026 02 27	Capitals	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x39e4ef…