Grizzled-Elephant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.1%

Resolved

118

Trades

377

lifetime

Volume

$6.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-03 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 82% +$96

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	6	$328	189	163	+26	Up	+$4	05-12 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	10	$230	155	124	+31	Down	+$1	05-10 17:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	8	$228	133	108	+25	Down	+$3	05-12 15:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	7	$179	131	105	+25	Up	+$4	05-12 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	7	$176	104	79	+25	Down	+$1	05-12 15:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	5	$162	147	38	+109	Down	+$11	05-11 15:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	6	$161	97	97	+0	Down	+$11	05-12 09:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	5	$131	104	77	+27	Up	+$8	05-10 17:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$130	97	70	+27	Up	+$7	05-11 14:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$130	89	64	+26	Down	+$6	05-11 14:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$130	93	66	+27	Down	+$7	05-10 18:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	8	$129	80	73	+8	Down	+$7	05-11 15:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	5	$129	92	66	+26	Down	+$5	05-10 18:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	5	$128	112	35	+77	Up	+$5	05-11 15:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	7	$118	74	69	+5	Down	+$3	05-11 14:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$108	62	62	+0	Up	+$8	05-10 20:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$105	67	61	+6	Up	$-5	05-12 18:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$103	73	73	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 15:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$102	57	57	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 17:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$101	55	55	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 13:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$100	58	58	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 15:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	5	$90	80	46	+34	Down	$-20	05-11 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$81	58	33	+26	Up	+$7	05-11 15:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$80	81	51	+31	Down	+$11	05-10 18:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$80	74	41	+33	Up	$-20	05-10 20:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$80	68	36	+32	Down	$-20	05-10 17:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$79	60	34	+26	Up	+$5	05-10 16:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$76	58	31	+28	Down	+$4	05-10 20:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$76	53	28	+25	Down	+$1	05-10 14:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$76	54	29	+26	Up	+$1	05-10 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 20:58:00	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdeed7b…
06-03 20:49:18	btc updown 5m 1780519500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x279cb6…
06-03 20:44:01	btc updown 5m 1780519200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc85212…
06-03 20:38:19	btc updown 5m 1780518900	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbf2ad2…
06-03 20:33:10	btc updown 5m 1780518600	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x19e34d…
06-02 18:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff5d19…
06-02 18:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb2dfc3…
06-02 18:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2b3db1…
06-02 18:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb79bcb…
06-02 18:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4e3bb2…
06-02 17:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x272e0e…
06-02 17:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x530f77…
06-02 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x32985d…
06-02 17:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x2e8c6f…
06-02 17:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x89862c…
06-02 17:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3bbb3e…
06-02 17:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc2c057…
05-30 10:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9429ba…
05-30 10:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x944145…
05-30 10:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x508f1a…
05-30 10:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc70eeb…
05-30 09:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4f36c2…
05-30 09:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x341427…
05-30 09:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xde9e41…
05-30 09:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0xf03dac…
05-30 09:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd03959…
05-30 09:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc8cde9…
05-30 09:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xaae442…
05-30 09:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1632cc…
05-29 10:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf58968…
05-29 10:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd2d079…
05-29 10:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xccb17b…
05-29 09:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe50ff9…
05-29 09:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x973ddc…
05-29 09:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x51c3e9…
05-18 18:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9c70c5…
05-18 18:44:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5dda5b…
05-18 18:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb35e2f…
05-18 17:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x63d008…
05-18 17:52:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6b5ec3…
05-18 17:43:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x1d3c79…
05-18 17:43:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc49bb2…
05-18 17:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd2c77a…
05-15 20:09:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa041d4…
05-15 20:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xb65673…
05-15 20:07:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x7b4f49…
05-14 14:52:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7b43e4…
05-14 14:42:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9d6540…
05-14 14:37:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2e6be1…
05-13 11:52:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfcb92c…
05-13 11:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfaf85d…
05-13 11:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5f507c…
05-13 11:48:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x04aeb1…
05-13 11:47:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa548ae…
05-13 08:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5efe58…
05-13 08:40:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe2be28…
05-12 18:23:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xec8693…
05-12 18:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7b25ea…
05-12 18:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xbbbfef…
05-12 18:12:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0x941d08…
05-12 18:12:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x0e21a1…
05-12 18:12:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	32	83¢	$27	0x1de2e1…
05-12 18:12:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x74fb95…
05-12 18:09:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x89e039…
05-12 15:54:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xe3cbcb…
05-12 15:53:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x3629b8…
05-12 15:44:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x091d59…
05-12 15:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x1043d5…
05-12 15:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x364b3c…
05-12 15:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	44	63¢	$28	0x243aac…
05-12 15:42:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xc889cd…
05-12 15:42:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	34	72¢	$25	0xb9641c…
05-12 15:41:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xcaa64b…
05-12 15:38:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0acad3…
05-12 15:38:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x4c29dd…
05-12 15:37:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3b4412…
05-12 15:37:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x9c5821…
05-12 15:37:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xf16147…
05-12 15:37:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0xcc78fe…
05-12 15:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xbb9561…
05-12 15:33:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xdcb408…
05-12 15:32:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	132	94¢	$125	0x91a764…
05-12 15:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x7b84eb…
05-12 15:32:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x478f00…
05-12 15:32:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0xaf16b6…
05-12 15:31:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x3d3afe…
05-12 15:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xa9130d…
05-12 15:18:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0e0c69…
05-12 15:18:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x1333c2…
05-12 15:18:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa2336e…
05-12 15:18:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x7fe5ae…
05-12 15:18:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	56	94¢	$53	0x119c88…
05-12 15:17:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x051a3c…
05-12 15:17:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xc11ed8…
05-12 15:14:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x31ff59…
05-12 09:07:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x18ddf6…
05-12 09:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xab29ea…
05-12 09:06:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	28	92¢	$26	0x60aca1…
05-12 09:05:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x330180…
05-12 09:05:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	44	80¢	$35	0x074be4…