Circular-Alteration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$104

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-15 02:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 75% +$8

Sports

19% 0% $-3

Politics

12% — —

Other

11% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	5	$27	29	22	+7	open	—	05-15 02:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-01 22:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 02:41
will the detroit pistons finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	3	$6	9	3	+7	open	—	03-27 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-13 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-13 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	+$8	05-13 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-13 11:57
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$4	17	17	+0	open	—	04-14 14:58
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-14 14:58
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$3	26	0	+26	No	$-3	04-26 22:42
will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 22:21
highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 21c	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 22:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 22:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 22:21
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	04-26 22:42
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	43	43	+0	open	—	03-20 13:39
spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-27 15:13
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-27 23:08
btc updown 5m 1774623900	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	03-27 15:10
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	05-15 02:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	42	0	+42	open	—	03-27 15:18
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-27 15:15
btc updown 5m 1774650300	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-27 22:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 02:41:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x771ca1…
05-15 02:41:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x94fe38…
05-15 02:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0xae3414…
05-15 02:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0xeffd7c…
05-15 02:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd89ba3…
05-15 02:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2a906c…
05-15 02:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5a2f41…
05-15 02:38:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x70c064…
05-13 12:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xbc2d91…
05-13 12:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x240ce5…
05-13 11:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc346bd…
05-13 11:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x71e910…
04-26 22:42:52	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x8ac9cb…
04-26 22:42:36	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0xc27e13…
04-14 14:58:21	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xef145a…
04-14 14:58:15	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x190436…
03-27 23:08:51	spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x71f75d…
03-27 22:28:03	btc updown 5m 1774650300	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa7500e…
03-27 22:22:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xe648ec…
03-27 22:21:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x81ef2b…
03-27 22:21:49	highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x23e277…
03-27 22:21:29	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x2048d6…
03-27 15:21:19	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2a2bc7…
03-27 15:19:23	highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x36ddc5…
03-27 15:18:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xb4d036…
03-27 15:17:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd6dec8…
03-27 15:16:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3e58ef…
03-27 15:15:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfd3d5e…
03-27 15:13:07	spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x02a405…
03-27 15:10:05	btc updown 5m 1774623900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7e1d45…
03-27 14:56:49	will the detroit pistons finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	Yes	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0xd1afc9…
03-20 13:39:47	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x308dc0…
03-20 13:39:25	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xa97430…
03-20 13:36:47	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x436ca1…
03-20 13:36:29	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xc4306f…
03-20 13:33:55	will the detroit pistons finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x875e59…
03-20 13:33:41	will the detroit pistons finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xcf3e46…
03-01 22:55:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf67747…