Fair-Date — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

Trades

449

lifetime

Volume

$6.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 05-10 13:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 61% +$38

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$669	392	392	+0	open	—	05-01 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$618	335	335	+0	open	—	05-02 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$471	274	274	+0	open	—	05-01 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$253	217	217	+0	open	—	05-01 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$250	152	152	+0	open	—	05-01 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	13	$138	100	100	+0	Down	+$8	05-10 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	9	$119	77	77	+0	Down	+$19	05-10 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$101	60	60	+0	open	—	05-03 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	10	$100	80	80	+0	Down	+$20	05-10 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$91	67	67	+0	open	—	05-03 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	8	$89	74	74	+0	Up	+$29	05-09 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$86	57	57	+0	open	—	05-02 11:40
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$85	166	166	+0	open	—	01-26 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$85	45	45	+0	open	—	05-03 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$81	70	70	+0	Up	+$11	05-10 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	9	$71	44	44	+0	open	—	05-04 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	5	$67	44	44	+0	open	—	05-03 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$66	42	42	+0	open	—	05-01 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	6	$65	57	57	+0	open	—	05-04 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	5	$65	64	64	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$61	110	110	+0	open	—	05-01 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$61	51	51	+0	Up	+$21	05-10 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	05-03 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	8	$55	47	47	+0	Up	+$15	05-09 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$53	47	47	+0	open	—	05-01 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$53	33	33	+0	open	—	05-01 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$52	45	45	+0	open	—	05-01 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	6	$52	35	35	+0	Down	+$10	05-05 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$52	92	0	+92	Up	$-52	05-10 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$49	35	35	+0	Up	+$19	05-05 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 13:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x9412f1…
05-10 13:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0xc3547d…
05-10 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xf57048…
05-10 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xf502e5…
05-10 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0xe38886…
05-10 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xddc9be…
05-10 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x900256…
05-10 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8acb1c…
05-10 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x70c166…
05-10 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	65¢	$15	0x6e3c9f…
05-10 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x13e8eb…
05-10 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x12582e…
05-10 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x120697…
05-10 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0b8177…
05-10 13:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	72	56¢	$40	0x8a8e35…
05-10 13:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x15cb3a…
05-10 13:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x33e281…
05-10 13:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5be178…
05-10 13:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x455343…
05-10 13:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6497ca…
05-10 13:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	51	79¢	$41	0x6717a8…
05-10 13:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x11052b…
05-10 13:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	36	90¢	$32	0x7ee34a…
05-10 13:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x6e4132…
05-10 13:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xab6732…
05-10 13:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x9a44f1…
05-10 13:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x73e743…
05-10 13:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x30a073…
05-10 13:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x2c9b78…
05-10 13:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x167b71…
05-10 13:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x464720…
05-10 12:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	70	65¢	$46	0x66613c…
05-10 12:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x943420…
05-10 12:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x9e045e…
05-10 12:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xe7a28a…
05-10 12:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0xe4b9af…
05-10 12:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0xe3ba0e…
05-10 12:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$3	0xdc04d2…
05-10 12:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xb3420c…
05-10 12:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x9f9ae5…
05-10 12:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x0fe2d1…
05-10 12:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0xc2e315…
05-10 12:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x459d98…
05-10 12:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xd864fd…
05-10 12:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xd86778…
05-10 12:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x4ea70b…
05-10 12:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	27	79¢	$21	0x1df927…
05-10 12:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xe975b5…
05-10 12:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x1bdc73…
05-09 23:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x668b26…
05-09 23:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc949ec…
05-09 23:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x745a6b…
05-09 23:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	24	80¢	$19	0x4b37f1…
05-09 23:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0xf543e7…
05-09 23:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc4a4f6…
05-09 23:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x4b9ab0…
05-09 23:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	28	80¢	$22	0x29b29b…
05-09 23:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x1be02b…
05-09 23:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	74	40¢	$30	0x83a329…
05-09 23:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x8e7c06…
05-09 23:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5a62a6…
05-09 22:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	48	53¢	$26	0xefbb8b…
05-09 22:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x11d41a…
05-09 22:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb217d2…
05-09 22:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x9f26fb…
05-09 22:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$6	0xf1267b…
05-09 22:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xc45b89…
05-09 22:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xa54c0d…
05-09 22:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0x4e699e…
05-09 22:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x450aec…
05-09 22:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x52f9da…
05-09 22:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7f39a1…
05-09 22:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0xc056b1…
05-09 22:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x650c81…
05-09 22:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x4d81c6…
05-09 22:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xe4b037…
05-09 22:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x75af7c…
05-09 22:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd6f2ee…
05-09 22:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xd37131…
05-09 22:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xe2ff7d…
05-09 22:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xdab95d…
05-09 22:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc11aa8…
05-09 22:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	24	60¢	$14	0xcd5b58…
05-09 22:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x3f60e0…
05-09 22:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd86843…
05-09 22:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0x1bc088…
05-09 22:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1bd16b…
05-09 21:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	22	75¢	$16	0x08a038…
05-09 21:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x42a059…
05-09 21:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x49d6e0…
05-09 21:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc181ee…
05-09 21:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x93fe7e…
05-09 21:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x610331…
05-09 21:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x458afb…
05-09 21:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9f41c8…
05-09 21:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc3b796…
05-09 21:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x714f00…
05-09 21:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x75d2e5…
05-09 19:25:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,770	0¢	$2	0x4d89f1…
05-05 12:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x9b0895…