Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$642

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$69.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$586

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 03-30 14:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

68% 89% -$1,090

Other

20% 100% +$283

Crypto

13% 100% +$165

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	36	$4.2K	2,950	1,377	+1,574	Yes	+$98	02-01 06:14
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	15	$3.8K	1,980	1,980	+0	Yes	+$137	03-29 04:33
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	5	$3.7K	1,842	1,842	+0	No	+$6	03-28 15:39
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$3.6K	1,829	1,829	+0	Yes	+$60	03-24 20:53
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	2	$3.5K	1,767	1,767	+0	Yes	+$2	03-21 21:39
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	2	$3.4K	1,747	1,747	+0	No	+$51	03-19 00:56
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$3.3K	1,697	1,697	+0	Yes	+$42	03-16 23:17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$3.2K	1,651	1,651	+0	Yes	+$59	03-13 13:24
will iran strike israel on march 3	2	$3.2K	1,592	1,592	+0	Yes	+$0	03-07 13:52
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$2.9K	1,551	1,551	+0	Yes	+$181	02-01 05:57
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	2	$2.6K	1,296	1,296	+0	Yes	+$0	01-30 02:59
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	2	$2.4K	1,202	1,202	+0	No	+$1	01-23 15:19
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	1	$1.8K	1,835	0	+1,835	No	+$4	03-24 22:20
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$1.8K	1,830	0	+1,830	Yes	+$5	03-24 20:53
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$1.7K	1,764	0	+1,764	No	+$18	03-19 00:56
ukr1 pol kar 2026 03 13 draw	1	$1.6K	1,652	0	+1,652	Yes	+$3	03-13 13:24
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	10	$1.6K	1,928	0	+1,928	No	-$1,580	03-30 14:23
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$1.6K	1,590	0	+1,590	No	+$16	03-06 02:00
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$1.6K	785	785	+0	Yes	+$1	01-29 22:33
Will the US strike Somalia next?	1	$1.3K	1,294	0	+1,294	Yes	+$8	01-29 22:34
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	1	$1.2K	1,280	0	+1,280	Yes	+$64	01-28 23:38
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1.2K	1,216	0	+1,216	Yes	+$4	01-28 07:09
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	1	$1.2K	1,213	0	+1,213	No	+$4	01-28 02:37
Will the US strike Somalia next?	1	$1.2K	1,208	0	+1,208	Yes	+$2	01-27 22:10
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	1	$1.2K	1,207	0	+1,207	No	+$1	01-25 02:57
will trump say hell 2 times during newsnation interview	4	$1.2K	1,206	0	+1,206	Yes	+$5	01-23 15:20
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	Yes	+$120	01-21 16:16
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	1	$1.1K	1,079	0	+1,079	No	+$2	01-21 01:16
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	No	+$2	01-19 23:01
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	2	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	Yes	+$8	01-16 01:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-30 14:23:51	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xcc3cb3…
03-30 14:21:21	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	232	81¢	$188	0x1a5252…
03-30 14:19:15	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x7e693f…
03-30 14:16:01	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0xc89af0…
03-30 14:09:05	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	79	84¢	$66	0xa26531…
03-30 14:09:05	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x8842a1…
03-30 12:10:46	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x7e2623…
03-30 12:10:16	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	632	82¢	$518	0x51d877…
03-30 12:10:02	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	237	82¢	$194	0xe43413…
03-30 12:07:08	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	641	82¢	$525	0x62337f…
03-29 04:33:06	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	1,980	100¢	$1,978	0x4fca2b…
03-28 15:42:13	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xdc94d4…
03-28 15:41:27	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xd928af…
03-28 15:41:07	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$185	0xe91df0…
03-28 15:40:53	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$185	0x25d58f…
03-28 15:40:37	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	225	93¢	$209	0xa3892a…
03-28 15:40:23	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$185	0x550be1…
03-28 15:40:09	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	225	93¢	$209	0xd00218…
03-28 15:39:55	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	SELL	888	100¢	$887	0x4b0223…
03-28 15:39:29	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$185	0x829bff…
03-28 15:39:21	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	137	93¢	$127	0xf69751…
03-28 15:39:11	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	127	93¢	$118	0x5db89a…
03-28 15:39:05	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xedee17…
03-28 15:38:43	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	SELL	654	100¢	$653	0x9ef240…
03-28 04:47:29	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	135	93¢	$126	0x09afb8…
03-28 04:29:53	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x6245c6…
03-28 04:23:37	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	168	95¢	$160	0x943d3f…
03-28 04:23:19	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x9a63dd…
03-26 00:55:29	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	BUY	1,599	100¢	$1,593	0xf1171e…
03-26 00:55:03	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	BUY	243	99¢	$241	0xe85fd2…
03-24 22:20:23	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	1,835	100¢	$1,831	0xeddb93…
03-24 20:53:43	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,830	100¢	$1,825	0x4aa10d…
03-24 20:53:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,829	100¢	$1,825	0x696ff4…
03-21 21:42:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	255	96¢	$246	0x6b6d5d…
03-21 21:41:39	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	171	97¢	$165	0x9eed5f…
03-21 21:41:07	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	211	97¢	$203	0x8634b7…
03-21 21:40:21	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,192	96¢	$1,150	0x718202…
03-21 21:39:49	will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	Yes	SELL	1,767	100¢	$1,765	0x22fbf9…
03-20 07:08:01	will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1,767	100¢	$1,763	0x414605…
03-19 00:56:37	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,764	99¢	$1,746	0x520c6e…
03-19 00:56:19	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	1,747	100¢	$1,746	0xf06b39…
03-16 23:18:05	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	1,747	97¢	$1,695	0xe3ddbd…
03-16 23:17:17	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	1,697	100¢	$1,695	0x973875…
03-13 18:31:45	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,697	97¢	$1,653	0x90dca2…
03-13 13:24:43	ukr1 pol kar 2026 03 13 draw	Yes	BUY	1,652	100¢	$1,649	0x678769…
03-13 13:24:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1,651	100¢	$1,649	0xcf0c01…
03-07 14:10:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,339	96¢	$1,289	0x3b1514…
03-07 14:03:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	312	96¢	$301	0xbcb90f…
03-07 13:52:23	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	1,592	100¢	$1,590	0xe47bbf…
03-07 00:02:03	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,592	100¢	$1,590	0x08faa3…
03-06 02:00:29	Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,590	99¢	$1,574	0x1c2eba…
02-01 06:14:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	85	98¢	$84	0xb5293e…
02-01 06:13:06	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0xd94317…
02-01 06:13:02	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xe945e4…
02-01 06:12:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x79b59d…
02-01 06:12:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0xd40455…
02-01 06:12:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0x9c17a6…
02-01 06:12:34	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x3e94da…
02-01 06:12:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0xf5f5a9…
02-01 06:12:24	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xaa2d71…
02-01 06:12:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	142	98¢	$140	0xef2b50…
02-01 06:11:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd94214…
02-01 06:11:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2d9bb6…
02-01 06:11:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xcd87e6…
02-01 06:11:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0x4f1a4f…
02-01 06:11:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0xea8dd6…
02-01 06:11:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0xac3e3e…
02-01 06:11:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	139	98¢	$137	0xe22725…
02-01 06:10:40	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x3eb549…
02-01 06:10:10	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x7247ee…
02-01 06:09:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x986f46…
02-01 06:08:24	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc8f89f…
02-01 06:08:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xb84bce…
02-01 06:08:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x5701d3…
02-01 06:07:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x983987…
02-01 06:05:00	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x0cb0e9…
02-01 06:04:36	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x283993…
02-01 06:04:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$41	0x9156e8…
02-01 06:02:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x434d54…
02-01 06:02:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0xf7942c…
02-01 06:02:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb9b750…
02-01 06:02:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x4711ee…
02-01 06:01:36	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xa19f66…
02-01 06:01:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xea3f0c…
02-01 06:01:24	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x05a030…
02-01 05:57:50	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,551	100¢	$1,547	0x36006a…
01-30 19:07:34	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	1,551	88¢	$1,365	0x1db181…
01-30 19:07:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,377	99¢	$1,366	0xcb99e9…
01-30 02:59:48	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,377	94¢	$1,294	0x5d07d3…
01-30 02:59:28	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	Yes	SELL	1,296	100¢	$1,295	0x9ab33a…
01-30 02:16:54	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	Yes	BUY	1,296	100¢	$1,295	0x974fce…
01-29 22:34:02	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	1,294	99¢	$1,285	0x238ac0…
01-29 22:33:46	Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	502	100¢	$502	0x2ed8d4…
01-29 22:33:36	Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	785	100¢	$784	0x1bc507…
01-29 19:37:36	Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	502	99¢	$497	0x951cba…
01-29 19:37:18	Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	785	100¢	$783	0x40ecad…
01-28 23:38:40	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,280	95¢	$1,216	0xad4e01…
01-28 07:09:23	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,216	100¢	$1,212	0x7c6efa…
01-28 02:37:21	us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	No	BUY	1,213	100¢	$1,209	0x601ea7…
01-27 22:10:03	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	1,208	100¢	$1,206	0xc1c6bc…