Important-Prosecution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$448

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$33

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-14 22:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 50% +$14

Other

28% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+893	$20	4¢	$33	+$13	07-14 22:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$67	38	37	+1	open	—	04-27 05:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$46	101	101	+0	open	—	05-24 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	5	$44	26	25	+0	open	—	04-27 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$36	26	26	+0	Up	+$16	05-13 05:50
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 18c	2	$32	22	22	+1	open	—	04-24 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$26	23	11	+12	open	—	04-27 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$21	14	10	+4	open	—	04-25 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 10:30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$20	893	0	+893	open	—	07-14 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$18	16	16	+0	Down	+$8	05-13 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 23:35
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 24c	3	$10	58	55	+2	open	—	04-25 10:31
highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	04-23 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?	2	$7	74	71	+3	open	—	04-25 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$6	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 07:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$5	11	5	+6	Up	+$1	05-12 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Up	$-5	05-12 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$5	28	0	+28	Down	$-5	05-13 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	04-27 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 23:30
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	2	$1	93	88	+5	open	—	04-24 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-11 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	04-25 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-24 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 25?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-24 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-25 10:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 22:19:44	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0x58b0fb…
07-08 20:52:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0xdebb46…
05-24 16:37:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	101	26¢	$26	0xd08b9c…
05-24 05:04:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0x050c7a…
05-14 07:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x807728…
05-14 07:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x62d795…
05-13 20:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0x486216…
05-13 20:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfda9e0…
05-13 05:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x478901…
05-13 05:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x382c5d…
05-13 05:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xbdb963…
05-12 20:53:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdc3584…
05-12 20:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$3	0xade4f1…
05-12 20:51:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc25f4e…
05-12 20:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xf90b6b…
05-11 18:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x073dad…
05-03 10:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x0e7474…
05-03 10:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x23541f…
04-27 11:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x09714e…
04-27 11:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa016cf…
04-27 11:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbcfce1…
04-27 05:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa05d35…
04-27 05:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x022382…
04-27 05:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9aac21…
04-27 05:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x383211…
04-27 05:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x22791e…
04-27 05:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdaeca4…
04-27 05:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd4642b…
04-27 05:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xb407bb…
04-27 05:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x94c157…
04-27 05:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb859a7…
04-27 05:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc2acb6…
04-25 20:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8d9dfd…
04-25 20:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x78b44c…
04-25 20:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8590df…
04-25 10:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7e2d72…
04-25 10:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xebe92e…
04-25 10:31:00	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 24c	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x04d203…
04-25 10:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe9a2d2…
04-25 10:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2a5702…
04-25 08:26:22	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 24c	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xe3912c…
04-25 08:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0xf4ecc1…
04-24 23:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xefcd67…
04-24 23:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xeb8bd1…
04-24 23:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4b236d…
04-24 23:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x71e404…
04-24 23:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf30b3f…
04-24 23:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xab8eff…
04-24 23:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8c4973…
04-24 23:25:16	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	88	0¢	$0	0x749c1c…
04-24 23:24:04	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa7208f…
04-24 23:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc0b477…
04-24 23:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x85acdf…
04-24 23:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x63688d…
04-24 23:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7ee614…
04-24 23:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x17c20b…
04-24 04:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	74	9¢	$7	0x56855d…
04-23 21:16:08	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x28a5f7…
04-23 10:44:18	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7e0053…
04-23 10:43:16	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xcdf8b2…
04-23 10:41:34	highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc50ea5…