Ugly-Trooper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$447

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

116

Trades

215

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-15 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% $-447

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$479	406	406	+0	Up	+$79	05-10 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$351	425	246	+179	Up	+$129	05-10 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$345	315	315	+0	Up	+$14	05-10 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$340	336	324	+12	Up	$-60	05-10 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$314	384	152	+233	Down	$-86	05-12 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$311	576	576	+0	Down	$-89	05-12 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$302	215	215	+0	Down	+$111	05-10 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$302	1,164	238	+926	Down	$-98	05-10 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$299	480	294	+186	Up	$-101	05-10 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$295	251	141	+109	Up	$-16	05-11 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$285	189	189	+0	Down	+$85	05-09 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$252	161	161	+0	Up	+$52	05-09 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$242	186	186	+0	Down	+$42	05-12 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$239	211	97	+114	Down	+$53	05-12 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$237	362	207	+155	Up	$-59	05-10 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$236	194	194	+0	Down	+$36	05-12 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$235	439	306	+134	Up	+$69	05-10 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$234	137	137	+0	Up	+$34	05-11 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$229	280	280	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$221	164	164	+0	Up	+$21	05-11 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$220	125	125	+0	Up	+$20	05-10 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$219	143	143	+0	Up	+$19	05-11 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$218	127	127	+0	Down	+$18	05-11 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$210	308	0	+308	Up	+$98	05-09 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$206	108	108	+0	Up	+$6	05-13 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$200	284	0	+284	Down	+$84	05-09 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$200	369	0	+369	Down	$-200	05-10 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$192	152	152	+0	Down	$-8	05-11 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$182	4,118	100	+4,018	Up	$-38	05-11 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$181	202	202	+0	Up	$-19	05-12 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 15:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x6c6aaa…
05-15 15:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x87c66d…
05-15 15:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x8536c6…
05-15 14:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x5a021a…
05-15 14:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe4fb4b…
05-15 14:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x12dfac…
05-15 14:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0xf6f523…
05-15 14:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x5abcba…
05-15 14:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x6333c3…
05-15 14:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x733363…
05-15 14:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xc37764…
05-15 14:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	29	25¢	$7	0xd80f6c…
05-15 14:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x349aa5…
05-15 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x866b75…
05-15 13:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2d5843…
05-15 13:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x5ed9a2…
05-15 13:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x9b7963…
05-15 13:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xbdbf7f…
05-15 13:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	120	84¢	$100	0x205240…
05-13 21:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x982b01…
05-13 21:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x770c35…
05-13 17:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x8f0974…
05-13 17:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x6d61c9…
05-13 17:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x077556…
05-13 17:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb295c5…
05-13 17:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xe928e2…
05-13 17:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0xcc363e…
05-13 17:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x23c71c…
05-13 17:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x4b1130…
05-13 17:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x3edd90…
05-13 17:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x1006f6…
05-13 17:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x5067d3…
05-13 16:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	73¢	$11	0x8d0a09…
05-13 16:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x418f40…
05-13 16:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x078a41…
05-13 16:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x92174b…
05-13 16:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x439cb6…
05-13 16:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0x1fbffa…
05-13 16:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	32¢	$6	0x6677c7…
05-13 16:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x51e72c…
05-13 16:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x722577…
05-13 16:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x2ae89d…
05-13 16:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xba346d…
05-13 16:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0x45fef3…
05-13 16:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa65841…
05-13 16:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	24	52¢	$12	0x66e8b1…
05-13 16:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xe4fc9e…
05-13 16:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	108	98¢	$106	0x9a2b61…
05-13 16:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x909b6a…
05-13 16:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xc65ba9…
05-12 01:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x4707a6…
05-12 01:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x6d39e0…
05-12 01:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	114	79¢	$90	0x4e4e9f…
05-12 01:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	97	92¢	$89	0x134433…
05-12 01:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x919082…
05-12 01:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	406	15¢	$60	0xc990ce…
05-12 01:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	406	25¢	$100	0x46dc93…
05-12 01:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	169	30¢	$50	0x733ec0…
05-12 01:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xf67263…
05-12 01:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x4c22ae…
05-12 01:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	152	75¢	$114	0x22da88…
05-12 01:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x1368e7…
05-12 01:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x4d7989…
05-12 00:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	194	70¢	$136	0x37ebaa…
05-12 00:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0xe7d248…
05-12 00:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xefbb20…
05-12 00:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xcce70c…
05-12 00:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	186	76¢	$142	0x19cb7e…
05-12 00:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xe4762d…
05-12 00:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	118	84¢	$100	0xe7b88e…
05-12 00:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x426e19…
05-12 00:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	202	40¢	$81	0x526d6f…
05-12 00:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	202	49¢	$100	0xe29784…
05-11 22:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	137	98¢	$134	0x1d5bf0…
05-11 22:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x9ce678…
05-11 22:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	109	73¢	$80	0x12b2e1…
05-11 22:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xe1ae16…
05-11 22:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	74	83¢	$61	0x2ca735…
05-11 22:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xe48ff4…
05-11 22:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x082ee6…
05-11 22:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	164	74¢	$121	0x323bb0…
05-11 22:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x3c6e72…
05-11 22:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	351	29¢	$100	0x913fcd…
05-11 22:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	127	93¢	$118	0x1b0beb…
05-11 22:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x34095a…
05-11 22:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xc5fb10…
05-11 21:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0xd83012…
05-11 21:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	141	60¢	$85	0xe97b46…
05-11 21:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	141	78¢	$110	0x3a113d…
05-11 21:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	167	9¢	$15	0xc56314…
05-11 21:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x6efe00…
05-11 21:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	114	91¢	$104	0x1fe439…
05-11 21:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x4cbf4f…
05-11 21:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	143	83¢	$119	0x3d0038…
05-11 21:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x140f65…
05-11 21:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xc2cbf9…
05-11 21:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xc2e3a0…
05-11 21:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9ef5c5…
05-11 21:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	152	61¢	$92	0xf6bec5…
05-11 21:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x026d5c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	128	$49.6K	2,443	05-15 15:24
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	128	$47.6K	8,640	05-15 15:25
Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1	128	$45.9K	6,135	05-15 15:25
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	128	$43.9K	2,377	05-15 15:24
(anonymous) 0xd9ca…f253	128	$40.3K	8,850	05-15 15:24
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	128	$37.2K	1,585	05-15 15:24
(anonymous) 0x178b…bae4	128	$35.2K	8,134	05-15 15:24
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	128	$34.8K	1,336	05-15 15:22