Weak-Karate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-19 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% $-0

Crypto

12% 100% +$1

Politics

11% — —

Sports

9% 0% $-6

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	4	$445	224	224	+0	open	—	04-26 07:53
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$240	120	120	+0	No	$-0	04-15 03:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$232	116	116	+0	open	—	04-16 04:10
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$226	113	113	+0	open	—	04-14 10:02
trump out as president by march 31	2	$192	98	98	+0	open	—	03-06 04:08
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	03-08 01:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$1	05-06 06:50
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$45	46	0	+46	open	—	05-22 16:40
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-26 11:36
will ethereum reach 2500 in june 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	06-19 21:00
nba min dal 2026 03 30	1	$28	39	0	+39	open	—	03-30 01:36
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-08 05:33
nhl nj car 2026 03 28	1	$25	38	0	+38	open	—	03-28 09:15
cbb tx gnzg 2026 03 21 spread home 6pt5	1	$24	46	0	+46	open	—	03-21 09:06
nba den phx 2026 03 24	1	$22	64	0	+64	open	—	03-24 02:12
nhl phi wsh 2026 03 31	1	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	03-31 09:21
nba atl det 2026 03 25	1	$19	46	0	+46	open	—	03-25 08:49
nba nyk atl 2026 04 06	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-06 05:52
nba atl cle 2026 04 08	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-08 04:11
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-27 13:32
nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	1	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	04-08 05:03
Avalanche vs. Wild	1	$6	14	0	+14	Avalanche	$-6	05-11 02:57
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	05-21 04:05
nba hou phx 2026 04 07	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	04-07 06:29
nba cha bos 2026 04 07	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	04-07 06:07
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-27 13:54
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	1	$4	12	0	+12	open	—	04-08 07:20
nba min orl 2026 04 08	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	04-08 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 21:00:32	will ethereum reach 2500 in june 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd678d3…
05-26 11:36:33	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x518b3f…
05-22 16:40:57	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x5625fa…
05-21 04:05:48	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xb5faa4…
05-11 02:57:02	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x764c49…
05-06 06:50:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$47	0x231e8c…
04-26 07:53:40	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	112	99¢	$112	0xc0b54f…
04-26 06:45:34	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x9efe93…
04-24 06:22:38	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$111	0xf7fb70…
04-24 05:28:18	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xdb4b32…
04-16 04:10:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x33e438…
04-16 03:21:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xe286c6…
04-15 03:52:40	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x4fdaaa…
04-15 02:43:56	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x7e61fc…
04-14 10:02:35	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x6b3569…
04-14 08:40:15	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x33e2ca…
04-08 07:20:51	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	No	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x83e01d…
04-08 06:45:03	nba min orl 2026 04 08	Timberwolves	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xe3b83e…
04-08 05:03:37	nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	Sabres	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0xcd0e5c…
04-08 04:11:07	nba atl cle 2026 04 08	Cavaliers	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x36a97b…
04-07 06:29:09	nba hou phx 2026 04 07	Rockets	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xc77b65…
04-07 06:07:59	nba cha bos 2026 04 07	Hornets	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x460643…
04-06 05:52:27	nba nyk atl 2026 04 06	Hawks	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x01fdc5…
03-31 09:21:31	nhl phi wsh 2026 03 31	Flyers	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x8ba5b9…
03-30 01:36:44	nba min dal 2026 03 30	Timberwolves	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0xcb1693…
03-28 09:15:43	nhl nj car 2026 03 28	Hurricanes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x803524…
03-25 08:49:05	nba atl det 2026 03 25	Hawks	BUY	46	42¢	$19	0xa67997…
03-24 02:12:29	nba den phx 2026 03 24	Suns	BUY	64	35¢	$22	0xf264f3…
03-21 09:06:53	cbb tx gnzg 2026 03 21 spread home 6pt5	Texas Longhorns	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0xf87adc…
03-08 05:33:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x518a5d…
03-08 01:03:57	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x709408…
03-06 04:08:03	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0x44ec83…
02-27 13:54:31	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf2d054…
02-27 13:32:51	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4dd96e…
02-14 07:54:25	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x45a9a1…
01-06 15:52:43	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x9bfe24…