Stark-Discretion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$332

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

Trades

680

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-25 22:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Sports

52% 46% +$326

Crypto

40% — —

Other

5% 50% +$6

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	12	$1.1K	2,470	1,050	+1,420	open	—	05-04 01:08
Canadiens vs. Lightning	4	$1.1K	1,776	1,776	+0	open	—	05-04 00:39
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 2pm et	17	$417	950	947	+3	open	—	03-25 18:56
Stars vs. Wild	2	$416	550	550	+0	open	—	04-26 00:00
Oilers vs. Ducks	2	$352	526	514	+13	open	—	04-27 03:24
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 2pm et	7	$278	2,327	1,832	+495	open	—	03-24 18:51
Lightning vs. Canadiens	5	$277	768	616	+152	open	—	04-27 01:43
solana up or down march 30 2026 10am et	3	$229	259	205	+55	open	—	03-30 14:55
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 8am et	3	$211	1,417	1,243	+173	open	—	03-30 12:51
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$205	205	205	+0	Sabres	+$90	05-13 00:31
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5	2	$195	288	288	+0	open	—	05-23 01:52
Canadiens vs. Lightning	3	$190	577	577	+0	open	—	04-30 01:44
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2pm et	6	$188	1,634	254	+1,380	open	—	03-27 18:49
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$187	445	0	+445	open	—	05-25 00:20
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 1pm et	9	$182	400	299	+101	open	—	03-19 17:50
Magic vs. Pistons	3	$172	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	04-30 01:23
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12pm et	5	$162	200	199	+1	open	—	03-20 16:33
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 2pm et	7	$149	230	200	+30	open	—	03-18 18:52
Knicks vs. 76ers	2	$148	100	100	+0	Knicks	+$40	05-10 20:24
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 10am et	13	$145	210	190	+20	open	—	03-24 14:57
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 12pm et	7	$138	300	100	+200	open	—	03-23 16:22
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 2pm et	7	$117	277	276	+1	open	—	03-26 18:55
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 2pm et	26	$114	600	400	+200	open	—	03-20 18:49
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5	2	$109	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 01:11
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 10am et	2	$108	108	107	+2	open	—	03-30 14:27
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	7	$108	400	0	+400	open	—	01-29 01:26
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	4	$106	151	149	+1	open	—	05-22 01:21
Sabres vs. Canadiens	4	$104	77	77	+0	Canadiens	+$42	05-11 00:49
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 1pm et	5	$104	400	99	+301	open	—	03-18 17:48
will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$102	150	150	+0	open	—	01-16 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 22:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xf246a1…
05-25 22:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x94a72e…
05-25 22:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3baaee…
05-25 22:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x822bab…
05-25 22:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8389c3…
05-25 21:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x36015c…
05-25 21:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	61	58¢	$35	0x35d37d…
05-25 21:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xb64e55…
05-25 21:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x98c914…
05-25 21:43:34	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Hurricanes	BUY	64	36¢	$23	0x79ebb9…
05-25 00:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xe67a66…
05-25 00:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	71	23¢	$16	0x8071dc…
05-25 00:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x043b99…
05-25 00:45:23	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	109	2¢	$2	0xa99365…
05-25 00:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3117d4…
05-25 00:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x491c48…
05-25 00:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x6dc79b…
05-25 00:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x5faded…
05-25 00:20:34	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	445	42¢	$187	0xb23bb2…
05-24 23:58:06	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xcc60ab…
05-23 02:25:50	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5	Under	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0x571c4a…
05-23 02:25:29	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	63	36¢	$23	0x4e7087…
05-23 01:53:13	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	63	38¢	$24	0x27ef4f…
05-23 01:52:17	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	288	9¢	$25	0x9a3c20…
05-22 21:57:59	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	288	59¢	$170	0x52166d…
05-22 02:38:39	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x6718ad…
05-22 02:36:13	Spread: Knicks (-14.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	43	49¢	$21	0x3a84b4…
05-22 02:35:05	Spread: Knicks (-14.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xe7e887…
05-22 02:06:48	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x24f1dc…
05-22 01:58:11	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Over	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x8ba5f2…
05-22 01:50:14	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x49a782…
05-22 01:21:14	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	SELL	94	27¢	$25	0xfbabda…
05-22 01:19:33	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	95	16¢	$15	0x89cecd…
05-22 01:08:49	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	56	34¢	$19	0xbf6192…
05-22 00:39:33	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	SELL	56	82¢	$46	0xd66480…
05-21 22:55:28	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Knicks	BUY	186	50¢	$93	0x2e9727…
05-21 22:47:02	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xdd6148…
05-21 22:45:17	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xd854c5…
05-21 00:36:37	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	69	10¢	$7	0xa0d462…
05-20 10:04:48	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xc77844…
05-20 02:05:22	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xc10201…
05-20 02:04:10	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x77ace3…
05-20 02:03:44	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x764d09…
05-19 23:31:51	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	91	38¢	$35	0xa8a123…
05-19 23:22:54	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x798d09…
05-19 20:14:54	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	65	42¢	$27	0xbffa09…
05-19 20:14:06	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x0d5f78…
05-19 01:24:29	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x79742f…
05-19 01:20:27	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x0ac4ba…
05-19 01:16:08	Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Sabres	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xdc0a76…
05-19 01:14:36	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	101	41¢	$42	0x72e550…
05-18 14:53:12	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	101	49¢	$49	0xa4dd0c…
05-17 17:16:01	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5	Over	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x9118d5…
05-16 20:12:17	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	28¢	$26	0xc975e1…
05-16 04:44:17	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xac78e3…
05-16 04:43:12	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	29¢	$26	0x1884c3…
05-16 01:12:49	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	11¢	$14	0xe3d5d3…
05-16 01:11:36	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xabe2b8…
05-16 01:11:03	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5	Over	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x470b0a…
05-15 22:51:32	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xd121d5…
05-15 22:50:08	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x8290bf…
05-15 22:47:31	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	12¢	$8	0xff724d…
05-15 02:00:31	Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Golden Knights	BUY	56	43¢	$24	0xd6f9b9…
05-15 01:00:42	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	134	11¢	$15	0x484f39…
05-15 00:59:16	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	SELL	36	68¢	$25	0x650435…
05-15 00:39:26	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x7fbac4…
05-14 23:24:52	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	103	16¢	$16	0x3babc5…
05-14 23:20:19	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0x7add29…
05-14 00:29:29	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	149	45¢	$67	0x27dd7d…
05-13 01:49:47	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0x1e60ea…
05-13 01:07:16	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	31	28¢	$9	0x3b7fca…
05-13 01:06:16	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0xa5faf3…
05-13 00:58:31	Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Golden Knights	BUY	76	38¢	$29	0x93d7b4…
05-13 00:51:34	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8368dc…
05-13 00:31:56	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	205	72¢	$148	0x87b943…
05-12 23:31:06	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	205	28¢	$57	0x1d3dcf…
05-12 15:48:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x86ebe1…
05-12 01:30:40	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	145	31¢	$45	0x140d34…
05-11 15:28:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic	Mariano Navone	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x149c02…
05-11 00:49:07	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	77	95¢	$73	0x41c436…
05-11 00:48:41	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xca9712…
05-10 23:16:13	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5fe3e0…
05-10 23:16:04	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	65	40¢	$26	0x8ae204…
05-10 23:15:59	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x4b5c42…
05-10 20:24:12	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xbd6839…
05-10 16:48:51	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x1e5dc7…
05-08 01:32:51	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x908d0e…
05-08 01:28:24	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x55d2f5…
05-07 23:54:25	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x8f976f…
05-07 23:40:29	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x82b122…
05-04 01:08:02	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x9c32b0…
05-04 01:05:50	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	1,107	28¢	$310	0xcba8b4…
05-04 00:39:38	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	SELL	700	12¢	$84	0x1826e4…
05-04 00:33:30	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	700	17¢	$119	0xe879db…
05-04 00:20:02	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	SELL	1,050	42¢	$441	0xd8bbbd…
05-04 00:00:00	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	BUY	133	36¢	$48	0x34b4fa…
05-03 23:53:46	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Lightning	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0x2bbf2d…
05-03 23:47:16	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xe23915…
05-03 23:47:16	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	998	29¢	$289	0xa02b3f…
05-03 23:47:14	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x5e4752…