Careful-Echidna — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$223

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-13 04:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% — —

Other

19% 0% $-2

Politics

7% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	16¢	$0	$-1	06-13 04:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776710700	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-20 18:49
btc updown 5m 1776708600	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-20 18:14
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-25 15:54
Will Trump wear a blue tie today?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-26 18:15
btc updown 5m 1776230100	3	$3	4	1	+3	open	—	04-15 05:21
btc updown 5m 1776343500	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	04-16 12:47
btc updown 5m 1776253800	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	04-15 11:53
btc updown 5m 1776365100	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-16 18:48
btc updown 5m 1776230400	3	$3	10	1	+9	open	—	04-15 05:23
btc updown 5m 1776408900	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-17 06:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 19:05
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 03:25
btc updown 5m 1776229200	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-15 05:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 12:38
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-21 07:06
barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-15 09:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 03:24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$2	6	5	+0	open	—	04-25 16:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 16:40
btc updown 5m 1776225000	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-15 03:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-19 20:02
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 09:55
btc updown 5m 1776197700	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-14 20:19
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 09:46
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 12:34
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	+$0	04-26 14:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 05:03
will thrash be the top global netflix movie this week 379	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 05:55
Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 04:43:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x846713…
06-11 03:31:09	Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc019f3…
05-26 03:36:22	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	John	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x925945…
05-03 09:46:54	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdda9a6…
04-30 16:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1b872d…
04-30 03:44:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7a3ea7…
04-30 03:24:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x305e9f…
04-29 20:23:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe879a2…
04-29 19:05:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x19c5fa…
04-29 12:45:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd06f1f…
04-29 12:39:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcebe89…
04-29 03:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xc08039…
04-28 20:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x505d3e…
04-28 19:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2f1964…
04-28 19:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8d239a…
04-28 16:14:28	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x80b5c6…
04-28 14:33:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xafdc5c…
04-28 07:10:42	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0d9baa…
04-28 03:44:14	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7f4612…
04-26 19:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa375e1…
04-26 18:15:08	Will Trump wear a blue tie today?	Yes	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xad46cc…
04-26 14:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x84d38f…
04-26 14:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xde9315…
04-26 14:18:52	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x35acfd…
04-26 14:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xccceb0…
04-26 14:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x651a43…
04-26 07:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3b0de2…
04-26 06:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc50fae…
04-26 06:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9341ea…
04-26 06:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x931dc4…
04-26 06:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe8552d…
04-26 06:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x54bafc…
04-26 06:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xff68a7…
04-26 06:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6a0006…
04-26 06:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0b73cb…
04-25 19:36:04	Will "Desert Warriors" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4ffa3d…
04-25 19:32:22	Will Trump wear a blue tie today?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x472977…
04-25 16:35:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xbf62dc…
04-25 16:32:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6b04b2…
04-25 16:30:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc755e6…
04-25 15:54:20	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x6d4244…
04-25 12:34:02	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xc8822b…
04-24 16:40:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x9c22ce…
04-23 11:01:02	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe0ab08…
04-22 18:33:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5065cc…
04-22 18:23:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0515cb…
04-22 18:21:56	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x45e72d…
04-21 07:06:40	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xb67180…
04-21 04:00:00	btc updown 5m 1776743700	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa06bd5…
04-20 19:55:02	btc updown 5m 1776714600	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd1a188…
04-20 19:39:28	btc updown 5m 1776713700	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc61178…
04-20 18:49:38	btc updown 5m 1776710700	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x43327c…
04-20 18:42:02	btc updown 5m 1776710400	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfe180a…
04-20 18:14:50	btc updown 5m 1776708600	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc05d97…
04-20 18:08:20	btc updown 5m 1776708300	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2a3f66…
04-20 18:06:52	btc updown 5m 1776708300	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7c3429…
04-20 18:01:36	btc updown 5m 1776708000	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb555f1…
04-20 18:00:00	btc updown 5m 1776707700	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60b27c…
04-20 14:15:02	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 140 164	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x3d44fd…
04-20 07:10:02	btc updown 5m 1776668700	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa34008…
04-19 20:49:26	btc updown 5m 1776631500	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xecca57…
04-19 20:02:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x058c19…
04-19 19:28:12	btc updown 5m 1776626700	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xae7a0a…
04-19 19:23:56	btc updown 5m 1776626400	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x90a260…
04-19 17:06:28	btc updown 5m 1776618300	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4eb2af…
04-19 17:05:42	btc updown 5m 1776618300	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb51ed5…
04-19 17:02:14	btc updown 5m 1776618000	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x69d50d…
04-19 15:05:38	btc updown 5m 1776611100	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd46cc8…
04-19 15:01:54	btc updown 5m 1776610800	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd44cef…
04-19 14:58:58	btc updown 5m 1776610500	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbd3800…
04-19 14:53:40	btc updown 5m 1776610200	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc3b3a7…
04-19 14:47:42	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5ac3a8…
04-19 14:44:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xedf7b3…
04-19 14:43:10	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0aa996…
04-19 14:39:28	btc updown 5m 1776609300	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2b897d…
04-19 14:31:30	btc updown 5m 1776609000	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbed2bb…
04-19 14:27:20	btc updown 5m 1776608700	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x173326…
04-19 14:23:38	btc updown 5m 1776608400	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0de03f…
04-19 14:18:58	btc updown 5m 1776608100	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa716a6…
04-19 14:13:08	btc updown 5m 1776607800	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd81ea2…
04-19 10:22:52	btc updown 5m 1776594000	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xab7b51…
04-19 10:19:32	btc updown 5m 1776593700	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x96fbd4…
04-19 07:04:16	btc updown 5m 1776582000	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6eb503…
04-19 06:54:52	btc updown 5m 1776581400	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb50c02…
04-19 06:49:10	btc updown 5m 1776581100	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1db048…
04-19 06:44:22	btc updown 5m 1776580800	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe83bb9…
04-18 22:06:42	btc updown 5m 1776549900	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xebd14d…
04-18 22:03:04	btc updown 5m 1776549600	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe31540…
04-18 21:59:14	btc updown 5m 1776549300	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9175af…
04-18 21:49:22	btc updown 5m 1776548700	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x433858…
04-18 21:38:54	btc updown 5m 1776548100	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf36514…
04-18 21:34:04	btc updown 5m 1776547800	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x760750…
04-18 21:29:06	btc updown 5m 1776547500	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7ddb30…
04-18 21:24:30	btc updown 5m 1776547200	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x29c1ed…
04-18 21:18:02	btc updown 5m 1776546900	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe0bf9d…
04-18 21:13:16	btc updown 5m 1776546600	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xafefbd…
04-18 21:09:38	btc updown 5m 1776546300	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3171cd…
04-18 21:03:02	btc updown 5m 1776546000	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc8aead…
04-18 20:58:12	btc updown 5m 1776545700	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa81491…
04-18 20:54:58	btc updown 5m 1776545400	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x88ac84…