Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

17.3%

Resolved

Trades

462

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-17 02:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

65% 25% $-10

Other

28% 0% $-8

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Yes		-482	$-29	4¢	$-22	+$7	06-12 02:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	30	$1.0K	1,693	1,693	+0	open	—	04-27 13:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	28	$936	2,832	2,832	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	12	$900	1,153	1,153	+0	open	—	05-08 23:01
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$609	1,445	677	+768	open	—	05-26 00:30
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	11	$428	1,099	1,099	+0	open	—	04-30 18:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	13	$391	1,454	1,454	+0	open	—	04-25 04:58
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$384	694	694	+0	open	—	04-26 14:20
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	6	$354	1,269	1,269	+0	open	—	05-20 22:53
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	9	$318	499	499	+0	open	—	05-25 21:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	12	$307	1,118	618	+500	open	—	05-21 20:17
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	13	$302	179	179	+0	open	—	04-26 23:28
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	6	$292	333	333	+0	Yes	$-8	04-30 01:25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	13	$264	1,262	1,262	+0	open	—	04-25 00:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	4	$244	435	435	+0	open	—	04-26 22:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	8	$243	293	293	+0	open	—	04-25 14:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	18	$230	845	845	+0	open	—	05-24 09:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$230	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-21 20:41
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	4	$230	158	158	+0	open	—	04-23 17:57
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	6	$230	499	499	+0	open	—	04-25 08:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$225	537	537	+0	open	—	05-22 00:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	5	$222	739	739	+0	open	—	04-24 14:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$217	286	1,043	-757	open	—	05-23 08:44
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	6	$204	204	204	+0	open	—	05-24 01:50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	3	$186	1,165	1,165	+0	open	—	05-25 01:25
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	26	$185	225	204	+21	open	—	05-12 05:15
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$183	286	286	+0	open	—	04-25 17:47
Major US official out by April 30?	4	$179	115	115	+0	open	—	04-26 16:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$178	269	269	+0	open	—	05-10 01:41
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	9	$173	107	107	+0	open	—	04-25 06:11
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	5	$158	847	847	+0	No	+$0	05-09 22:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 02:04:36	will iran recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	44	8¢	$4	0x1a6fba…
06-12 02:54:12	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Yes	SELL	482	6¢	$29	0x5f5cf1…
06-09 16:45:27	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	No	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0x887f2e…
06-02 06:26:26	Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	44	8¢	$4	0xdc2b8d…
05-29 08:41:17	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	167	8¢	$13	0x70838f…
05-29 05:56:33	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0x24fd92…
05-29 05:52:40	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	119	13¢	$15	0x488e82…
05-28 04:19:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x75de19…
05-28 04:09:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0xf5561b…
05-26 00:30:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	342	20¢	$68	0x533699…
05-25 21:51:01	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	131	33¢	$43	0xf8705c…
05-25 21:40:04	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	131	33¢	$43	0x465ff5…
05-25 20:06:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0xfb52b9…
05-25 19:42:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xb4bea4…
05-25 19:42:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x3f9933…
05-25 19:42:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x809f1d…
05-25 19:42:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0xd22240…
05-25 19:42:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x09a61f…
05-25 19:41:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	BUY	289	15¢	$43	0x8daaac…
05-25 19:18:39	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	136	32¢	$44	0x6cacb3…
05-25 19:17:53	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	136	31¢	$42	0x9386ee…
05-25 10:59:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	34	12¢	$4	0x4e3c11…
05-25 10:05:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x23508d…
05-25 09:00:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x328750…
05-25 08:56:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x659af1…
05-25 08:48:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x4d0699…
05-25 08:48:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xb5781e…
05-25 08:47:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	57	12¢	$7	0xddfe3d…
05-25 08:46:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x80bc81…
05-25 08:46:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xcd9365…
05-25 08:37:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	145	12¢	$17	0x1cb605…
05-25 06:34:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	SELL	315	12¢	$38	0x262f62…
05-25 05:03:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	315	12¢	$38	0x6f150b…
05-25 01:52:14	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	203	30¢	$61	0x0c348a…
05-25 01:25:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	865	8¢	$69	0xca1a81…
05-25 00:55:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	300	8¢	$24	0x0fa3cc…
05-25 00:51:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	1,165	8¢	$93	0xffd2c7…
05-25 00:07:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	603	15¢	$90	0x7c5e81…
05-24 18:14:00	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	59	46¢	$27	0x830e03…
05-24 18:10:52	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	59	46¢	$27	0x6a01c2…
05-24 16:15:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x54cef3…
05-24 16:13:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xcb2ecf…
05-24 15:42:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	373	13¢	$48	0xad4863…
05-24 15:33:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	373	13¢	$48	0x96fd10…
05-24 15:24:09	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	116	37¢	$43	0xdf9a6a…
05-24 15:15:35	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$5	0xf2e193…
05-24 14:30:42	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	131	37¢	$48	0xb7bc66…
05-24 09:31:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	96	11¢	$11	0x7c2239…
05-24 09:10:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	274	14¢	$38	0x1355dc…
05-24 08:48:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	274	16¢	$44	0xdbc31b…
05-24 07:17:59	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0xcd471a…
05-24 07:08:05	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x36d1b3…
05-24 06:49:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x078a15…
05-24 06:46:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	250	14¢	$35	0xf034a2…
05-24 06:30:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x164f6f…
05-24 06:18:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	51	16¢	$8	0x93c787…
05-24 06:18:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	348	14¢	$49	0x78fe83…
05-24 06:18:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	51	16¢	$8	0xe13fd3…
05-24 01:50:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	60	76¢	$46	0xccb38f…
05-24 01:39:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	SELL	83	15¢	$12	0x37c50f…
05-24 01:26:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	83	22¢	$18	0xe1f76b…
05-24 01:04:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	231	7¢	$16	0xdce732…
05-24 01:03:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x24a263…
05-24 01:03:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	251	9¢	$23	0x672493…
05-24 00:28:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0xdc2643…
05-23 22:30:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	SELL	64	26¢	$17	0x403348…
05-23 19:15:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	68	14¢	$10	0x9eb3f0…
05-23 19:12:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	68	14¢	$10	0xd1885a…
05-23 16:42:22	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0x619933…
05-23 16:29:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	64	42¢	$27	0x371005…
05-23 16:02:03	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xea2374…
05-23 16:02:03	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xdf9768…
05-23 15:37:42	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x4cc827…
05-23 14:26:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	SELL	108	31¢	$33	0x434884…
05-23 14:24:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	BUY	108	30¢	$32	0xd97e9c…
05-23 11:39:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	426	32¢	$136	0x756ac0…
05-23 08:44:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	757	19¢	$144	0xf6110b…
05-23 01:44:46	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	264	40¢	$106	0x202aa3…
05-23 01:41:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	264	38¢	$100	0xad856a…
05-23 00:28:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	14¢	$12	0x2c7db4…
05-23 00:26:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	13¢	$20	0x0b9117…
05-23 00:25:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xd0eb98…
05-23 00:25:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xce5373…
05-23 00:23:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0xe0c35b…
05-23 00:23:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xa60c5e…
05-23 00:23:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x685abd…
05-23 00:23:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	12¢	$34	0xf38690…
05-22 22:49:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x217303…
05-22 22:35:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x7b6913…
05-22 22:33:15	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	18¢	$13	0xd88964…
05-22 22:30:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0xf5719e…
05-22 22:30:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	18¢	$27	0x925b6f…
05-22 20:49:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	SELL	80	35¢	$28	0xbe6065…
05-22 01:58:52	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	201	9¢	$18	0x782cbe…
05-22 00:52:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	80	52¢	$42	0x9d89c1…
05-22 00:27:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	537	22¢	$118	0xb5bd64…
05-22 00:21:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	537	20¢	$107	0x82aee0…
05-21 21:25:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	119	24¢	$29	0x732404…
05-21 21:24:40	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x8c0d6f…
05-21 21:21:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x0f6786…