Little-Anticipation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

15.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$28.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$921

Open exposure

$63

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-21 01:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

97% 0% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No		+63	$63	100¢	$63	$-0	06-17 18:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$27.1K	13,621	13,621	+0	open	—	01-08 21:48
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$303	152	152	+0	No	$-0	04-16 03:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$291	146	146	+0	open	—	04-15 11:39
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	04-17 16:51
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$84	49	49	+0	open	—	04-11 02:51
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	1	$78	78	0	+78	open	—	02-14 09:34
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$78	78	0	+78	open	—	01-11 09:40
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	06-17 18:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$56	57	0	+57	No	+$0	05-05 10:20
nba bos mia 2026 04 01	2	$30	85	0	+85	open	—	04-01 03:16
nhl ott tb 2026 03 28	1	$28	47	0	+47	open	—	03-28 02:10
nba bos cha 2026 03 29	1	$25	48	0	+48	open	—	03-29 08:27
nba chi phi 2026 03 25	1	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	03-25 02:25
nba bos atl 2026 03 30	1	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	03-30 09:23
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-08 06:51
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	03-22 06:58
nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08	1	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	04-08 06:16
mlb wsh tb 2026 06 21	1	$13	24	0	+24	open	—	06-21 01:15
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-16 02:16
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	04-08 04:51
nhl pit tb 2026 04 02	1	$9	14	0	+14	open	—	04-02 09:15
nhl nsh lak 2026 04 06	1	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	04-06 06:19
nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	1	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	04-07 07:41
nba atl cle 2026 04 08	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	04-08 03:31
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-27 14:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 01:15:47	mlb wsh tb 2026 06 21	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x30102c…
06-17 18:52:40	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x069ae3…
05-16 02:16:59	Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x66c026…
05-05 10:20:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$56	0x19cba9…
04-17 16:51:10	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x5e0210…
04-17 06:52:20	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xcc4102…
04-16 03:47:34	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x37d402…
04-16 03:10:18	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x219bb3…
04-15 11:39:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0x769031…
04-15 10:58:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x79c13f…
04-11 02:51:01	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	49	88¢	$43	0xf320de…
04-08 06:16:47	nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08	Capitals	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xfbeb1e…
04-08 04:51:57	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	No	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x4157b2…
04-08 03:31:39	nba atl cle 2026 04 08	Hawks	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xe07679…
04-07 07:41:29	nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	Blue Jackets	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xf138ca…
04-06 06:19:15	nhl nsh lak 2026 04 06	Kings	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x3198db…
04-02 09:15:53	nhl pit tb 2026 04 02	Lightning	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x5a08d8…
04-01 03:16:09	nba bos mia 2026 04 01	Heat	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xfee4e5…
04-01 03:11:47	nba bos mia 2026 04 01	Heat	BUY	78	36¢	$28	0x1c9135…
03-30 09:23:36	nba bos atl 2026 03 30	Hawks	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xaf8cfd…
03-29 08:27:42	nba bos cha 2026 03 29	Celtics	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x0d8e5e…
03-28 02:10:35	nhl ott tb 2026 03 28	Lightning	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0x26a359…
03-25 02:25:59	nba chi phi 2026 03 25	76ers	BUY	35	70¢	$25	0x7c930c…
03-22 06:58:31	cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	27	76¢	$20	0x6fffb7…
03-08 06:51:23	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x444b96…
03-07 07:33:49	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	49	83¢	$41	0xb09dd2…
02-27 14:43:13	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xed87c1…
02-14 09:34:31	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xcd92f6…
01-11 09:40:48	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x936af6…
01-08 21:48:32	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	13,621	99¢	$13,525	0xb49215…
01-08 21:47:20	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	13,621	99¢	$13,539	0x8b91ca…