Aggressive-Bottom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

$49

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-27 12:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

58% — —

Other

31% 100% +$1

Politics

6% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No		-100	$-47	50¢	$-49	$-2	06-27 12:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.0K	1,535	1,535	+0	open	—	03-05 08:31
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1.5K	0	1,518	-1,518	open	—	02-20 11:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	1	$132	136	0	+136	open	—	06-27 12:25
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$47	0	100	-100	open	—	06-27 12:23
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$44	27	27	+0	open	—	02-20 05:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	05-06 08:58
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	02-06 07:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$35	36	0	+36	open	—	05-21 09:37
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	04-29 12:17
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	02-28 03:48
will the next dutch government be pvv glpvda vvd cda	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	02-20 11:02
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	05-21 09:37
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-29 12:17
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-02 08:21
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$26	34	34	+0	open	—	04-29 12:17
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	02-06 07:33
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	05-06 08:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$22	23	0	+23	Yes	+$1	05-06 08:58
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	1	$21	33	0	+33	open	—	01-23 09:12
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	1	$21	25	0	+25	open	—	02-26 09:32
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	1	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	02-28 14:14
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$19	24	0	+24	open	—	03-09 12:25
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$18	0	18	-18	open	—	02-26 09:31
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$18	26	0	+26	open	—	04-02 08:22
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$17	24	0	+24	open	—	02-15 05:48
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	03-12 07:33
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$15	0	15	-15	open	—	02-20 05:55
Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	02-06 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 12:25:35	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	136	97¢	$132	0x730f1d…
06-27 12:23:02	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0xb56095…
05-21 09:37:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x61be28…
05-21 09:37:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x5ae0b0…
05-06 08:58:34	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x5f8af1…
05-06 08:58:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xa6bdf0…
05-06 08:58:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x29f278…
04-29 12:17:26	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x46cc24…
04-29 12:17:18	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x6b791d…
04-29 12:17:12	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x8d43e1…
04-19 12:47:50	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x99871c…
04-19 12:46:44	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xd74c2d…
04-10 07:08:21	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xf5088c…
04-04 10:57:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x89d3ae…
04-02 08:22:03	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0x93349b…
04-02 08:21:35	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xbc88fc…
03-12 07:33:05	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xf49e3f…
03-09 12:25:09	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x6fa3de…
03-05 08:31:45	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x133137…
03-05 08:31:09	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,535	99¢	$1,521	0x6b8165…
02-28 14:14:51	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1ec3a1…
02-28 14:14:41	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,535	99¢	$1,523	0xa45b9c…
02-28 03:48:53	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfa0749…
02-26 09:32:52	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xf076aa…
02-26 09:31:58	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5354e2…
02-20 11:02:44	will the next dutch government be pvv glpvda vvd cda	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x036344…
02-20 11:01:32	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1,518	99¢	$1,506	0xecf8d9…
02-20 05:55:56	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x136771…
02-20 05:55:36	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x04ab78…
02-20 05:55:24	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xeee248…
02-15 05:48:05	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0x102f4f…
02-06 07:34:51	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0xccdb85…
02-06 07:33:59	Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe9a884…
02-06 07:33:19	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xb9f651…
02-06 07:32:45	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0x30bbad…
01-23 09:12:20	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	Yes	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x2d8365…
01-20 11:57:10	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x8099d3…