Fatherly-Option — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-01 09:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

72% — —

Other

13% — —

Politics

11% 100% +$1

Sports

4% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-30 02:53
will bitcoin reach 74k march 23 29	3	$594	600	0	+600	open	—	03-28 07:45
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	1	$587	600	0	+600	open	—	05-14 14:43
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	6	$322	205	205	+0	open	—	03-24 11:30
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$287	174	174	+0	open	—	03-05 02:48
will bitcoin reach 76k march 30 april 5	1	$280	300	0	+300	open	—	04-01 06:48
will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	5	$219	228	0	+228	open	—	03-31 06:21
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	6	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	03-25 16:38
nba ind lal 2026 03 06	1	$158	200	0	+200	open	—	03-06 13:59
lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	1	$150	200	0	+200	open	—	03-04 07:05
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	2	$147	100	100	+0	open	—	03-13 06:13
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	9	$125	158	158	-0	open	—	03-25 04:16
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$66	37	37	+0	open	—	03-19 03:50
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	3	$57	35	35	+0	open	—	03-27 11:25
will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	03-22 18:42
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	03-12 08:01
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	3	$31	54	0	+54	open	—	03-11 04:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$30	231	0	+231	open	—	04-17 12:14
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$27	39	39	+0	open	—	03-27 06:52
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	2	$17	100	100	+0	open	—	03-13 07:48
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 4 2026	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	03-04 07:44
bun bay uni 2026 03 21 spread home 1pt5	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	03-21 14:00
will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	2	$14	77	72	+5	open	—	04-10 06:20
nba atl mil 2026 03 04	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	03-05 04:09
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	03-30 11:22
will mrbeasts next video get between 59 and 61 million views on day 4	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 04:23
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 140 164	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	03-11 04:34
will mrbeasts next video get between 61 and 63 million views on day 4	1	$8	19	0	+19	open	—	03-11 04:18
nba uta phi 2026 03 04	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	03-04 13:53
nba cha bos 2026 03 04	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	03-04 13:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 09:00:32	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x388db7…
05-14 14:43:22	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	600	98¢	$587	0xe74f60…
05-11 11:19:02	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf89178…
05-03 04:08:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe5ef9d…
04-30 02:53:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0xca69ec…
04-26 14:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x7a1146…
04-25 08:36:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x9ca5fc…
04-17 13:23:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x8eea0b…
04-17 12:14:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x99f32c…
04-14 12:49:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	137	91¢	$125	0x18296b…
04-14 12:49:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	63	91¢	$58	0x9e70f3…
04-14 12:00:41	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x285064…
04-10 06:20:01	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	Yes	SELL	72	5¢	$4	0x207e76…
04-08 07:42:39	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xefe170…
04-03 03:31:53	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x88ad9b…
04-01 06:48:55	will bitcoin reach 76k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	300	93¢	$280	0x9b87ff…
03-31 06:21:51	will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xe4d54e…
03-31 06:05:33	will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x379dec…
03-31 05:49:15	will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x725c21…
03-31 05:45:19	will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x96d93f…
03-31 05:00:23	will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xb8773c…
03-31 03:20:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x61fee3…
03-30 11:22:12	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x685e19…
03-28 07:45:15	will bitcoin reach 74k march 23 29	No	BUY	390	99¢	$386	0x033eba…
03-28 07:37:55	will bitcoin reach 74k march 23 29	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xefbe15…
03-28 07:26:53	will bitcoin reach 74k march 23 29	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xdcee5f…
03-27 11:25:13	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x2026a8…
03-27 06:56:33	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4cd85d…
03-27 06:52:19	will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	SELL	39	66¢	$26	0x56ea71…
03-25 16:38:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	SELL	72	95¢	$69	0xb215d7…
03-25 16:38:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x6b91f9…
03-25 16:37:03	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xc20d70…
03-25 16:37:03	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xac390f…
03-25 16:37:03	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x0e409b…
03-25 05:13:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x07be31…
03-25 04:16:43	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	158	20¢	$31	0xd120a6…
03-24 11:30:41	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	155	91¢	$141	0x40435b…
03-22 18:42:51	will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x977195…
03-22 13:41:59	lol g2 blg 2026 03 22 game1	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x5f4c3c…
03-21 14:16:03	lol gen g2 2026 03 21 game2	G2 Esports	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xb1f47e…
03-21 14:00:27	bun bay uni 2026 03 21 spread home 1pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xec341d…
03-20 05:59:03	will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xaa742a…
03-20 05:58:53	will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xa957a4…
03-20 05:57:43	will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x16e57e…
03-20 05:57:37	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4b1ab3…
03-20 05:56:05	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x15863e…
03-20 05:55:59	will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x4fad59…
03-20 05:55:53	will 10 14 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xbceae9…
03-20 05:55:45	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x323469…
03-20 05:54:47	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	BUY	35	64¢	$22	0x060a8a…
03-20 05:12:47	lol ly jdg 2026 03 20 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x44c569…
03-19 03:50:37	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	37	93¢	$34	0x7da9cf…
03-18 12:58:11	nba atl dal 2026 03 18 spread away 7pt5	Hawks	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x03b96d…
03-16 06:13:17	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc5c306…
03-16 06:12:59	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0xc39d80…
03-15 12:47:41	lol blg fox1 2026 03 16 total games 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x0975e0…
03-13 09:44:57	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf2c2e1…
03-13 09:41:27	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x3e81df…
03-13 09:37:23	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xb4e6c2…
03-13 09:36:09	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xba37f4…
03-13 09:35:43	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xf662de…
03-13 09:35:19	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x7e8137…
03-13 07:48:29	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xfa1187…
03-13 06:13:01	will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	Yes	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x2038dc…
03-13 06:07:39	will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x51c186…
03-13 02:18:15	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x0a01e6…
03-12 08:01:49	will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x63745f…
03-12 03:16:59	will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xf7f6d9…
03-11 05:28:45	will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x886d91…
03-11 04:34:31	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 140 164	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x37ac11…
03-11 04:31:59	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcf2e7a…
03-11 04:30:49	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xfbd6e9…
03-11 04:26:17	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x06ca69…
03-11 04:24:43	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x816eb5…
03-11 04:23:49	will mrbeasts next video get between 59 and 61 million views on day 4	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x87517c…
03-11 04:19:27	will mrbeasts next video get between 59 and 61 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf80be3…
03-11 04:18:45	will mrbeasts next video get between 61 and 63 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x35e28d…
03-10 06:14:57	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xdd7200…
03-06 13:59:17	nba ind lal 2026 03 06	Lakers	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x8099c9…
03-05 04:28:47	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xb343e2…
03-05 04:28:33	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x742fa6…
03-05 04:09:35	nba atl mil 2026 03 04	Hawks	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x86107b…
03-05 02:48:01	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	174	81¢	$141	0x65b40b…
03-04 14:56:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	174	84¢	$146	0xf55779…
03-04 13:53:47	nba atl mil 2026 03 04	Hawks	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x959a84…
03-04 13:53:37	nba por mem 2026 03 04	Grizzlies	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x0498f5…
03-04 13:53:29	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	76ers	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x87b034…
03-04 13:53:23	nba cha bos 2026 03 04	Celtics	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe08f39…
03-04 13:53:15	nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	Thunder	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x29b029…
03-04 08:00:25	will opinion launch a token on march 5	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb1d616…
03-04 07:44:11	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 4 2026	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xcf5f2f…
03-04 07:42:55	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 4 2026	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xe66f86…
03-04 07:05:37	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x7312be…
03-03 05:29:35	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x0af9d7…
03-03 05:29:29	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	55	75¢	$41	0x08e74e…