Knotty-Stability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

108

Trades

211

lifetime

Volume

$1.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-16 00:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 35% $-62

Other

11% 33% $-30

Sports

8% 67% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	10	$100	122	122	+0	Guangdong Southern Tigers	+$14	05-09 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$72	71	71	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$52	100	100	+0	Up	+$32	05-05 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	7	$50	86	86	+0	Down	+$12	05-05 12:04
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	3	$39	26	26	+0	Timberwolves	+$12	05-11 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$37	23	23	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 13:59
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	10	$36	56	56	+0	Cavaliers	+$8	05-14 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$34	33	33	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	4	$33	86	82	+4	Down	+$6	05-06 07:14
Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions	4	$33	124	0	+124	Zhejiang Lions	$-33	05-10 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$33	43	43	+0	Up	+$15	05-05 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$32	68	68	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$31	47	28	+20	Up	+$11	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$31	22	22	+0	Up	+$13	05-05 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$28	87	87	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$26	122	39	+83	Up	$-4	05-05 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$22	72	72	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 08:19
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	3	$21	53	0	+53	open	—	05-16 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$19	101	101	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$18	22	22	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$17	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$17	81	31	+50	Up	+$5	05-05 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$17	13	13	+0	Up	+$7	05-05 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$16	36	36	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$15	100	67	+33	Down	$-1	05-05 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$13	39	36	+3	Up	+$1	05-05 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$12	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 14:39
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	1	$11	35	0	+35	Beijing Ducks	$-11	05-06 11:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 00:37:16	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x6cf3aa…
05-16 00:34:44	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5d681b…
05-16 00:30:58	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x157932…
05-14 11:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1d8dbb…
05-14 11:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2be6cd…
05-14 02:45:24	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x938d5b…
05-14 02:43:00	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	42	37¢	$16	0xa856d3…
05-14 00:53:53	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3cfe4e…
05-14 00:53:06	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xc38b17…
05-14 00:52:12	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf9f80e…
05-14 00:51:30	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x85bc96…
05-14 00:50:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xeaaae0…
05-14 00:46:22	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x03c401…
05-14 00:45:57	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x90916f…
05-14 00:45:47	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdad26c…
05-11 13:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x2da1a2…
05-11 12:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6e635c…
05-11 12:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0xaf0ee3…
05-11 12:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x49d069…
05-11 12:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5a30cf…
05-11 12:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7f7d93…
05-11 12:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc8a187…
05-11 12:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe59864…
05-11 12:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	20¢	$5	0x411875…
05-11 12:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbf0cb6…
05-11 02:12:13	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xe4acc5…
05-11 00:24:58	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x61eaa4…
05-11 00:00:28	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xc132d0…
05-10 14:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd7d9df…
05-10 14:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x561d35…
05-10 14:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8d6125…
05-10 14:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4c3b55…
05-10 14:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x6b4f83…
05-10 14:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf0d90f…
05-10 14:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x5b39b5…
05-10 14:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x1c322f…
05-10 13:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x81d5aa…
05-10 13:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xa4be1e…
05-10 12:22:53	Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x43639c…
05-10 12:16:53	Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0xa3152e…
05-10 12:08:37	Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x2d42b0…
05-10 11:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9df89e…
05-10 10:37:20	Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x34a606…
05-10 02:09:46	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Lakers	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x7c4216…
05-09 13:36:59	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Guangdong Southern Tigers	SELL	122	47¢	$57	0x33edce…
05-09 12:14:35	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6ab4c8…
05-09 12:14:00	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6c8ab2…
05-09 12:08:33	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb8df86…
05-09 12:04:23	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x1036d5…
05-09 11:43:09	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd59fe7…
05-09 11:37:57	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe6e886…
05-09 11:31:34	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x88f93f…
05-09 11:03:02	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xf1e87a…
05-09 11:02:36	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xfa205c…
05-06 11:22:00	Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0xf31214…
05-06 10:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x4fa75b…
05-06 10:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc2d3ea…
05-06 08:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8e090d…
05-06 07:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x34176a…
05-06 07:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	33	56¢	$18	0xfbfc19…
05-06 07:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x4275eb…
05-06 07:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xa5200e…
05-06 07:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xb03840…
05-06 07:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0xa353b4…
05-06 07:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xd4de2f…
05-06 07:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe49fb1…
05-06 07:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9d0745…
05-06 07:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xd8686b…
05-06 07:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x518f5d…
05-06 07:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x282dc1…
05-06 07:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	78	21¢	$16	0x023a5c…
05-06 07:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x87f6de…
05-06 07:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	82	18¢	$15	0x996106…
05-06 07:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x795f21…
05-06 07:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0xe1ae1f…
05-06 07:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa6b3ea…
05-06 06:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xb471f4…
05-06 06:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb98692…
05-06 06:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xfabdb1…
05-06 06:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xe87ab6…
05-06 06:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7a6bce…
05-06 06:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdbce88…
05-06 06:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc833ed…
05-06 06:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xec7b07…
05-06 03:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x0597aa…
05-06 03:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x603f2f…
05-06 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x346a8d…
05-06 03:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	36	31¢	$11	0xbdc49f…
05-06 03:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb0faa6…
05-06 03:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xd25d91…
05-06 03:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x9897b1…
05-06 03:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd72fec…
05-06 02:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	87	21¢	$18	0x2f7529…
05-06 02:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x8b3ac3…
05-06 02:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc44e34…
05-06 02:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x6e1694…
05-06 02:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9978a8…
05-06 01:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbcc70c…
05-06 01:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x89e856…
05-06 00:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xbb16a0…