Harsh-Official — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

Trades

320

lifetime

Volume

$448

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-15 08:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$1

Crypto

37% 53% +$2

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-100	$-1	1¢	$-1	+$0	05-29 17:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	6	$60	70	70	+0	open	—	03-20 15:05
btc updown 15m 1769424300	2	$31	19	19	+0	open	—	01-26 11:01
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	2	$19	16	16	+0	open	—	03-20 10:34
btc updown 15m 1769490900	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	01-27 05:28
highest temperature in nyc on february 28 2026 48 49f	2	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	02-28 16:18
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	1	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	02-27 16:58
bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12am et	4	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	06-13 04:27
crint zaf nzl 2026 03 04	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-04 16:36
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	2	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 14:03
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139	2	$7	13	13	+0	open	—	03-21 08:48
efa wre cfc 2026 03 07 cfc	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	03-07 16:38
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-17 17:54
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 115 139	2	$6	14	14	+0	open	—	03-07 09:17
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	02-25 15:20
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 115 139	4	$5	14	14	+0	open	—	03-14 14:18
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	3	$5	10	15	-5	open	—	05-15 15:12
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-18 17:48
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	02-28 19:43
bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 3am et	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	06-11 07:30
highest temperature in nyc on february 28 2026 46 47f	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	02-28 06:39
bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 4am et	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	06-13 08:35
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	3	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	02-20 14:40
bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 6am et	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	06-11 10:31
bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 12pm et	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	06-11 16:36
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	02-26 04:50
bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 7am et	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	06-11 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	2	$3	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 10:09
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	4	$3	24	24	+0	open	—	03-21 12:42
crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 14	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	06-14 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 17:08:36	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x626d77…
06-15 08:58:46	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xecbbae…
06-15 07:33:39	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x22322a…
06-14 17:41:06	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x938bd6…
06-14 17:07:52	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x420e77…
06-14 17:01:42	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc01850…
06-14 12:11:28	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 14	Australia	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xf46650…
06-14 09:16:01	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 14	Australia	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf5b831…
06-14 08:34:04	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x6cdf3a…
06-14 08:17:40	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6e3856…
06-13 17:53:42	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xaedf26…
06-13 08:35:52	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x655af9…
06-13 08:19:04	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7d9973…
06-13 04:27:10	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x39d72b…
06-13 04:23:01	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9aa636…
06-13 04:11:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x9e4ed1…
06-13 04:10:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xc94ba9…
06-13 04:08:52	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xfab221…
06-13 04:03:04	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x123d78…
06-12 16:27:34	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x6dfb27…
06-12 05:08:42	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x19f2ca…
06-11 16:36:12	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x9dbfd7…
06-11 16:25:30	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0972c4…
06-11 11:33:31	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xd98a29…
06-11 11:31:42	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa1b085…
06-11 10:31:25	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x7d8755…
06-11 10:20:40	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x589e40…
06-11 07:30:15	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xc1daa1…
06-11 07:02:57	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd7d729…
06-10 16:38:03	btc updown 5m 1781109300	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbde13e…
06-10 16:22:01	btc updown 5m 1781108400	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x9c4b74…
06-10 16:21:04	btc updown 5m 1781108400	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5471fe…
06-10 07:15:51	crint idn2 omn3 2026 06 10	Oman	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x308a3a…
06-09 09:37:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7572c9…
06-08 17:55:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xaf5b36…
06-01 07:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2e271f…
06-01 06:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd7912b…
06-01 05:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x824bb3…
05-31 14:36:57	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x779fc2…
05-29 17:13:32	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x7c714d…
05-29 16:38:27	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	Gujarat Titans	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x72d5cd…
05-17 17:54:08	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Delhi Capitals	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x1f888d…
05-17 15:36:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x1946a2…
05-17 14:32:48	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbe3333…
05-16 14:55:07	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0f60aa…
05-15 15:12:31	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xe3d0b1…
05-15 06:46:23	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x973451…
05-12 16:57:45	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6c17d1…
05-12 16:49:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x899727…
05-11 17:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x45e261…
05-11 16:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x24144d…
05-11 15:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd17149…
05-11 11:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe35677…
05-11 10:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x205222…
05-11 10:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xef2ce2…
05-11 09:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbaded5…
05-11 08:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xf4581d…
05-11 08:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3e479f…
05-11 07:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x7e9390…
05-11 07:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa1d939…
05-11 06:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x89230e…
05-11 06:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x70adfc…
05-08 14:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x027e65…
05-08 14:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1f7b92…
05-08 13:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x289979…
05-08 10:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x5416a6…
05-08 10:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdd0307…
05-08 04:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x1eacc0…
05-08 04:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6fb645…
05-07 16:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x86eb47…
05-07 16:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe3c702…
05-07 08:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x4ccf1b…
05-07 08:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbfcf22…
05-07 06:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x1e1906…
05-07 06:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbfede4…
05-05 16:31:56	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xdcd110…
05-05 14:50:18	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x780257…
05-05 14:50:16	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x61a8c9…
03-24 12:02:51	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xcd31c0…
03-24 04:50:41	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x8f18f9…
03-24 01:30:15	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xbc6c50…
03-23 11:18:55	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x8b888e…
03-23 08:05:59	highest temperature in lucknow on march 23 2026 34c	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa77181…
03-23 07:37:17	highest temperature in lucknow on march 23 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x857ef4…
03-23 07:12:39	highest temperature in lucknow on march 23 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x379d92…
03-22 04:35:57	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 40 64	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6cb0e6…
03-21 16:10:23	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 40 64	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa11ef8…
03-21 12:42:51	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x614314…
03-21 10:56:19	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x75b9b0…
03-21 10:28:57	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xd79a02…
03-21 08:49:51	epl bri liv 2026 03 21 liv	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb0535e…
03-21 08:48:59	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139	Yes	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x9bd584…
03-20 18:04:03	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3cd9d8…
03-20 16:50:31	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139	Yes	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0xcbed0e…
03-20 15:05:39	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	Yes	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0x014060…
03-20 12:55:45	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	Yes	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xf7bc6d…
03-20 12:38:45	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	Yes	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0x14efa3…
03-20 10:42:15	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x5b779a…
03-20 10:34:19	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	Yes	SELL	16	59¢	$10	0xdb825c…
03-20 07:57:19	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	Yes	BUY	16	58¢	$10	0x516d79…