Rubbery-Spell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$801

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$150

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-09 01:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

76% 38% $-801

Politics

14% — —

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$673	625	625	+0	open	—	04-09 01:48
mlb mia det 2026 04 10	1	$600	1,034	0	+1,034	open	—	04-10 02:49
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets	1	$500	847	0	+847	open	—	04-22 12:46
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	1	$400	455	0	+455	Kansas City Royals	$-400	05-09 01:35
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets	1	$300	469	0	+469	open	—	04-20 17:31
mlb det min 2026 04 09	1	$300	536	0	+536	open	—	04-09 12:04
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	1	$300	318	0	+318	Cleveland Guardians	+$18	05-07 20:51
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$200	420	0	+420	Tampa Bay Rays	$-200	05-05 01:39
mlb stl det 2026 04 04	1	$200	350	0	+350	open	—	04-03 12:15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals	2	$200	404	0	+404	open	—	04-20 17:29
mlb det min 2026 04 08	1	$200	345	0	+345	open	—	04-08 20:37
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals	1	$200	370	0	+370	open	—	04-21 20:34
cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	1	$200	267	0	+267	open	—	03-25 16:17
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	2	$200	556	0	+556	New York Yankees	$-200	05-04 01:23
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs	1	$150	326	0	+326	open	—	04-19 12:38
mlb det ari 2026 04 01	1	$100	169	0	+169	open	—	04-01 15:02
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$100	204	0	+204	Tampa Bay Rays	$-100	05-04 00:45
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$100	164	0	+164	open	—	04-24 01:31
mlb nym lad 2026 04 15	1	$100	294	0	+294	open	—	04-15 14:05
mlb det min 2026 04 07	1	$100	164	0	+164	open	—	04-07 21:11
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	1	$100	222	0	+222	Cleveland Guardians	+$122	05-06 13:18
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	1	$100	227	0	+227	open	—	04-24 01:30
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	1	$100	123	0	+123	open	—	03-29 12:59
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$100	227	0	+227	Tampa Bay Rays	$-100	05-06 13:16
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets	1	$100	152	0	+152	open	—	04-27 00:13
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	04-27 00:17
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	05-02 03:34
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies	1	$100	154	0	+154	open	—	04-27 00:09
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	1	$100	147	0	+147	open	—	04-10 12:07
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	152	0	+152	open	—	04-15 01:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 01:35:15	Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	Detroit Tigers	BUY	455	88¢	$400	0xbfc2cb…
05-08 11:17:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x542c65…
05-07 20:51:03	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	318	94¢	$300	0x794333…
05-07 20:49:39	Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Athletics	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x05a23e…
05-06 13:18:58	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x4f1b0b…
05-06 13:16:32	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x7fb6d6…
05-05 01:39:54	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	420	48¢	$200	0x29913b…
05-04 01:23:06	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xc88af0…
05-04 01:20:18	Trump ballroom project unblocked by May 31?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xfa9702…
05-04 00:55:38	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xdc060c…
05-04 00:45:52	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x674bce…
05-02 03:34:52	Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xbe654d…
05-02 03:20:12	Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	97	77¢	$75	0x36a79b…
04-27 00:17:04	Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x3b45e9…
04-27 00:13:30	Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xe87c7e…
04-27 00:09:40	San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x3fab39…
04-24 01:31:38	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x1e8077…
04-24 01:30:14	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x483cf7…
04-22 12:54:48	San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x2b66b8…
04-22 12:46:24	Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x809126…
04-21 20:34:26	Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x887e65…
04-20 17:31:04	Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	469	64¢	$300	0x69313f…
04-20 17:29:22	Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x1b435a…
04-19 12:40:08	Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x5e45c6…
04-19 12:38:10	New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs	New York Mets	BUY	326	46¢	$150	0x5ba98e…
04-18 13:47:58	Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox	Detroit Tigers	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xd643a7…
04-15 14:05:36	mlb nym lad 2026 04 15	New York Mets	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x2ffff0…
04-15 01:37:22	mlb nym lad 2026 04 14	New York Mets	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x28280d…
04-15 01:32:02	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x22ba40…
04-10 12:07:57	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xc0ac09…
04-10 12:04:35	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xb5db97…
04-10 02:49:09	mlb mia det 2026 04 10	Detroit Tigers	BUY	1,034	58¢	$600	0x8d8dd7…
04-09 12:04:41	mlb det min 2026 04 09	Detroit Tigers	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0x9928d1…
04-09 01:48:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	625	100¢	$623	0xd74eb3…
04-08 20:37:33	mlb det min 2026 04 08	Detroit Tigers	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x273154…
04-07 21:21:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	104	28¢	$29	0xb1c35d…
04-07 21:11:41	mlb det min 2026 04 07	Detroit Tigers	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xa84b76…
04-03 12:22:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0xef6935…
04-03 12:15:49	mlb stl det 2026 04 04	Detroit Tigers	BUY	350	57¢	$200	0x4547cb…
04-01 15:02:31	mlb det ari 2026 04 01	Detroit Tigers	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xf8a50b…
04-01 14:22:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xe2aa1b…
04-01 14:21:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x3f99bb…
03-29 12:59:08	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xa15adc…
03-29 12:13:16	cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x78022c…
03-25 16:17:51	cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x55c1be…
03-25 16:03:59	will elon musk pay tsa salaries	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2c78ef…