Chilly-Design — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$87

Unrealized P&L

-$28

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

106

Trades

2,537

lifetime

Volume

$48.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$204

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 07-22 06:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 43% $-217

Other

18% 100% +$74

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% 80% +$230

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+550	$231	37¢	$204	$-28	07-21 10:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 3pt5	30	$1.6K	889	889	+0	open	—	07-04 22:54
btc updown 5m 1781991300	7	$807	630	630	+0	open	—	06-20 21:39
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	9	$774	469	743	-274	open	—	06-15 20:48
btc updown 5m 1783968000	6	$773	665	665	+0	open	—	07-13 18:44
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	6	$733	1,222	389	+833	open	—	07-15 19:59
btc updown 5m 1783462500	6	$672	555	555	+0	open	—	07-07 22:18
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	5	$669	1,138	1,138	+0	open	—	07-11 23:10
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	2	$624	590	590	+0	open	—	06-20 21:33
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	3	$564	669	669	+0	open	—	07-14 20:20
btc updown 5m 1782727800	10	$535	450	450	+0	open	—	06-29 10:14
btc updown 5m 1783462200	21	$526	400	400	+0	open	—	07-07 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	6	$500	345	295	+50	open	—	05-18 23:34
btc updown 5m 1781994900	5	$468	325	325	+0	open	—	06-20 22:39
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	5	$445	500	125	+375	open	—	07-05 20:37
btc updown 5m 1782800700	4	$422	407	357	+50	open	—	06-30 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$420	313	300	+13	open	—	05-17 05:08
btc updown 5m 1783815600	4	$407	361	361	+0	open	—	07-12 00:21
btc updown 5m 1781976000	25	$394	268	268	+0	open	—	06-20 17:25
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	4	$392	661	305	+356	open	—	07-19 21:42
btc updown 5m 1783968300	8	$384	430	418	+13	open	—	07-13 18:49
btc updown 5m 1782808500	9	$349	303	303	+0	open	—	06-30 08:37
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 7pt5	7	$344	375	375	+0	open	—	07-15 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	8	$343	231	231	+0	open	—	05-16 17:59
btc updown 5m 1781069700	7	$330	240	240	+0	open	—	06-10 05:37
btc updown 5m 1781988900	4	$330	328	236	+92	open	—	06-20 20:59
btc updown 5m 1783814700	17	$325	326	326	+0	open	—	07-12 00:06
btc updown 5m 1783816200	3	$320	284	284	+0	open	—	07-12 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	10	$319	304	288	+17	open	—	05-20 07:45
btc updown 5m 1783464600	13	$301	211	105	+105	open	—	07-07 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	5	$301	246	215	+31	open	—	05-15 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 06:25:15	btc updown 5m 1784701500	Up	BUY	117	47¢	$55	0xf0be26…
07-21 11:18:09	val jdg te 2026 07 21	JD Gaming	SELL	71	100¢	$70	0xce46c4…
07-21 10:30:09	val jdg te 2026 07 21	JD Gaming	BUY	71	89¢	$63	0x957e44…
07-21 10:18:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	550	42¢	$231	0x4a56c5…
07-20 09:11:21	btc updown 5m 1784538600	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x83af4d…
07-20 09:11:01	btc updown 5m 1784538600	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe849e3…
07-20 09:08:34	btc updown 5m 1784538300	Down	SELL	65	52¢	$34	0xfbf188…
07-20 09:07:45	btc updown 5m 1784538300	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1345a7…
07-20 09:06:25	btc updown 5m 1784538300	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x121e0d…
07-20 09:06:13	btc updown 5m 1784538300	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x87c452…
07-20 09:05:16	btc updown 5m 1784538300	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x236563…
07-20 09:04:33	btc updown 5m 1784538000	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9a6623…
07-20 09:01:22	btc updown 5m 1784538000	Down	SELL	49	69¢	$34	0xda40f7…
07-20 09:01:09	btc updown 5m 1784538000	Down	SELL	49	49¢	$24	0x5e856b…
07-20 09:01:00	btc updown 5m 1784538000	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe9267e…
07-20 09:00:43	btc updown 5m 1784538000	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xbac755…
07-20 09:00:28	btc updown 5m 1784538000	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x229d7e…
07-20 09:00:25	btc updown 5m 1784538000	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2e246b…
07-20 08:59:18	btc updown 5m 1784537700	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x091893…
07-20 08:59:07	btc updown 5m 1784537700	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xf5fd2d…
07-19 21:42:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xaef871…
07-19 20:41:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xeb4669…
07-19 20:23:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	305	40¢	$122	0x119418…
07-19 16:28:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2ea509…
07-19 13:56:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 7pt5	Under	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0x0a7334…
07-19 13:56:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xfa602e…
07-19 13:55:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7c0f45…
07-19 13:54:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	155	34¢	$53	0x3ca2f2…
07-19 13:48:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x05e6e6…
07-19 13:45:18	btc updown 5m 1784468700	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0d9450…
07-19 13:44:33	btc updown 5m 1784468400	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x3af747…
07-19 10:52:19	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x3357b8…
07-18 21:41:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xfb540c…
07-18 21:12:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	103	58¢	$60	0x397361…
07-18 21:03:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x514248…
07-17 21:31:48	btc updown 5m 1784323800	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x462393…
07-17 20:32:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	103	59¢	$61	0x1efbca…
07-17 20:31:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xea2807…
07-17 20:30:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	610	41¢	$250	0x7ab0af…
07-16 06:07:44	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe9474a…
07-16 06:05:35	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x83e832…
07-15 22:39:05	btc updown 5m 1784154900	Up	SELL	15	37¢	$5	0x7c14d0…
07-15 22:38:49	btc updown 5m 1784154900	Up	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x5b4333…
07-15 22:38:22	btc updown 5m 1784154900	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x75009d…
07-15 22:38:17	btc updown 5m 1784154900	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xb4147a…
07-15 22:37:52	btc updown 5m 1784154900	Down	SELL	53	45¢	$24	0x35446a…
07-15 22:37:44	btc updown 5m 1784154900	Down	SELL	53	34¢	$18	0xc09108…
07-15 22:36:58	btc updown 5m 1784154900	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xded316…
07-15 22:36:58	btc updown 5m 1784154900	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x8434d9…
07-15 22:35:26	btc updown 5m 1784154900	Down	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xb04e60…
07-15 22:34:10	btc updown 5m 1784154600	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x452919…
07-15 22:31:16	btc updown 5m 1784154600	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb7f473…
07-15 20:53:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	93	33¢	$31	0x9486a6…
07-15 20:47:07	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa2a709…
07-15 20:42:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x338bbe…
07-15 20:33:23	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xeb0f95…
07-15 19:59:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	118	46¢	$55	0x85fb48…
07-15 19:58:58	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	215	46¢	$100	0xdb8d96…
07-15 19:43:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x3dd0db…
07-15 19:43:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	267	36¢	$96	0x5d67a4…
07-15 19:19:55	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	167	46¢	$77	0x240974…
07-15 19:08:44	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	222	46¢	$101	0x2e9b90…
07-15 18:59:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0xa0d682…
07-15 18:59:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	267	57¢	$152	0x29a998…
07-15 18:36:46	btc updown 5m 1784140500	Up	SELL	82	20¢	$16	0x37f4d9…
07-15 18:35:58	btc updown 5m 1784140500	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xcc9611…
07-15 18:35:35	btc updown 5m 1784140500	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x2b6023…
07-15 18:35:10	btc updown 5m 1784140500	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe84f4c…
07-15 16:54:05	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x04af27…
07-15 03:51:28	btc updown 5m 1784087400	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x54a7c9…
07-14 20:20:55	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	502	13¢	$65	0x867318…
07-14 13:53:05	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xcf802c…
07-14 13:52:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	167	59¢	$98	0xc95ea4…
07-14 12:53:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	667	45¢	$300	0x40f048…
07-13 18:50:50	btc updown 5m 1783968600	Up	SELL	125	30¢	$38	0x6dc4b2…
07-13 18:50:38	btc updown 5m 1783968600	Up	SELL	125	28¢	$35	0x5e9f1b…
07-13 18:50:16	btc updown 5m 1783968600	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x8bff7a…
07-13 18:49:40	btc updown 5m 1783968300	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbe1d20…
07-13 18:47:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	669	60¢	$400	0xe64f09…
07-13 18:46:58	btc updown 5m 1783968300	Up	SELL	209	42¢	$88	0x5bf4ef…
07-13 18:46:47	btc updown 5m 1783968300	Up	SELL	209	31¢	$65	0x73b922…
07-13 18:45:25	btc updown 5m 1783968300	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x73ccab…
07-13 18:45:17	btc updown 5m 1783968300	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x53332f…
07-13 18:45:13	btc updown 5m 1783968300	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc28bbf…
07-13 18:45:10	btc updown 5m 1783968300	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa70486…
07-13 18:45:07	btc updown 5m 1783968300	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x416838…
07-13 18:44:22	btc updown 5m 1783968000	Up	SELL	469	67¢	$315	0x4110e0…
07-13 18:43:23	btc updown 5m 1783968000	Up	BUY	469	64¢	$300	0xf2684c…
07-13 18:43:07	btc updown 5m 1783968000	Up	SELL	49	27¢	$13	0x76fbfc…
07-13 18:42:59	btc updown 5m 1783968000	Up	SELL	49	27¢	$13	0x031e48…
07-13 18:42:29	btc updown 5m 1783968000	Up	SELL	98	32¢	$31	0xf36cc6…
07-13 18:40:55	btc updown 5m 1783968000	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xc0390c…
07-12 06:20:10	btc updown 5m 1783837200	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x3fdcb1…
07-12 06:15:55	btc updown 5m 1783836900	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xe8f394…
07-12 06:15:41	btc updown 5m 1783836900	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc9e573…
07-12 06:15:35	btc updown 5m 1783836900	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb96965…
07-12 05:58:46	btc updown 5m 1783835700	Down	SELL	233	44¢	$102	0x847bd6…
07-12 05:57:43	btc updown 5m 1783835700	Down	SELL	233	24¢	$55	0xfbec05…
07-12 05:57:17	btc updown 5m 1783835700	Down	BUY	467	21¢	$100	0x97dad8…
07-12 05:54:59	btc updown 5m 1783835400	Down	SELL	172	16¢	$28	0x2e2aaf…