Monthly-Rite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$734

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-13 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

51% — —

Other

42% 50% $-3

Sports

8% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes		+21	$15	81¢	$17	+$2	06-10 13:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	3	$65	53	53	+0	open	—	03-03 14:50
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$43	53	53	+0	open	—	03-13 22:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$42	79	76	+3	open	—	04-02 14:04
us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	2	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	02-28 19:54
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	03-09 09:47
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$30	88	0	+88	open	—	01-09 15:06
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$29	266	266	+0	open	—	01-11 01:18
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$29	21	21	+0	Yes	+$9	05-06 20:29
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	2	$22	18	18	+0	Yes	+$2	04-02 23:05
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$22	24	24	+0	open	—	02-28 19:55
will iran strike cyprus in march	4	$21	44	44	+0	open	—	03-31 22:11
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	3	$21	99	99	+0	open	—	03-07 09:05
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	2	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	02-09 22:17
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$18	23	12	+11	open	—	03-08 17:38
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$17	17	17	+0	open	—	03-02 21:56
will iran strike a gulf state on march 2	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	03-05 11:09
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	01-11 01:19
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	1	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	06-10 13:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	2	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	02-28 18:29
76ers vs. Knicks	2	$12	18	0	+18	Knicks	+$6	05-07 00:15
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$12	45	45	+0	open	—	02-27 23:06
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$11	147	147	+0	open	—	03-15 16:29
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	2	$10	18	18	+0	open	—	03-13 22:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$10	363	0	+363	open	—	04-04 12:18
will uk strike iran by march 31	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	03-01 22:41
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	1	$10	121	0	+121	open	—	07-13 21:46
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	02-01 11:11
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$10	19	19	+0	open	—	03-01 23:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	1	$9	34	0	+34	open	—	02-20 19:08
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$8	144	0	+144	open	—	03-15 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 21:50:56	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	68	6¢	$4	0xc02e92…
07-13 21:46:34	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0xcdd9aa…
06-10 13:16:43	Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x953b55…
05-14 00:06:49	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x98b8b9…
05-07 19:53:30	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Hapoel Tel Aviv	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x5e2812…
05-07 19:13:10	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa5b616…
05-07 00:15:35	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xba9f97…
05-07 00:09:34	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x43414b…
05-06 20:29:37	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0xe50087…
05-06 17:05:26	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4e0269…
05-04 22:33:00	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x46a30d…
04-04 12:18:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	178	3¢	$5	0x30220e…
04-04 12:17:29	will trump say world cup during the white house easter egg roll	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x7cd726…
04-02 23:05:23	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	68¢	$12	0x5ce5a6…
04-02 23:04:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x94d38a…
04-02 14:04:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	76	35¢	$27	0x6f87c3…
04-01 09:30:15	will trump say fake news during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x34224c…
04-01 08:37:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x9cadd0…
03-31 22:11:31	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x12fdcc…
03-23 08:15:39	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$0	0x3288df…
03-19 08:37:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	Yes	SELL	46	3¢	$1	0x328737…
03-15 22:29:53	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	44	6¢	$2	0x38e418…
03-15 16:29:37	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	147	1¢	$1	0x898698…
03-14 22:25:49	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x5434d1…
03-13 22:31:25	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$3	0x9e2b17…
03-13 22:27:41	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	53	62¢	$33	0x11ab7a…
03-13 22:12:39	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x366a4c…
03-13 22:11:43	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x045496…
03-09 10:11:37	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xfdfd42…
03-09 09:47:07	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	30	91¢	$28	0xd6b43b…
03-08 22:32:59	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xceb8d8…
03-08 17:38:37	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x60ecca…
03-08 11:16:15	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x314e66…
03-07 10:04:41	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xde71d8…
03-07 09:05:09	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	Yes	SELL	99	4¢	$4	0x291397…
03-06 23:53:17	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x688fa4…
03-06 23:52:13	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x446c3b…
03-05 13:05:27	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	Yes	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0x115786…
03-05 11:09:15	will iran strike a gulf state on march 2	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1735d9…
03-03 18:24:37	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xe9967a…
03-03 15:22:05	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6dca2d…
03-03 15:21:19	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x16e21b…
03-03 15:21:07	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5b34f2…
03-03 14:50:51	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	53	74¢	$40	0x8edfbb…
03-02 22:11:35	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xb1fd65…
03-02 21:56:17	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0x251d02…
03-02 09:51:17	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	32	21¢	$7	0x9138a5…
03-02 09:51:13	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0b6db2…
03-01 23:36:25	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	12	54¢	$7	0x80e3a2…
03-01 23:17:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x3fc1cf…
03-01 22:43:29	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x52883b…
03-01 22:41:43	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8d66f2…
03-01 20:26:55	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x271282…
02-28 23:38:23	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xbcd47e…
02-28 22:11:07	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xe61d60…
02-28 19:55:01	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	24	71¢	$17	0x142cc8…
02-28 19:54:55	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x0f565e…
02-28 18:40:23	will iran strike a gulf state on march 2	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xdae3a3…
02-28 18:34:59	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x7dd46b…
02-28 18:29:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x84df1b…
02-28 14:15:09	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xca66eb…
02-28 13:06:45	will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x1d2253…
02-28 13:05:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x86b9ae…
02-28 13:04:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd45c52…
02-28 10:02:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x35fa7d…
02-28 09:53:17	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0xecc35a…
02-27 23:06:09	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x5f326d…
02-20 23:00:56	will iran close its airspace by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x80e64b…
02-20 22:58:52	will trump say syria during the state of the union address	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc0b00c…
02-20 19:15:22	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1ee1af…
02-20 19:08:06	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0xfbd52b…
02-20 19:06:28	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe68942…
02-09 22:26:23	us downs another iranian drone by february 28	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xe6bf93…
02-09 22:20:45	will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xb1fb6b…
02-09 22:19:41	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xdc8cae…
02-09 22:17:51	us strike on somalia by february 7 553	No	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0x6607b8…
02-07 07:07:27	us strike on somalia by february 7 553	No	BUY	15	37¢	$5	0x5f2ab9…
02-06 21:12:13	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x1ba8a2…
02-03 00:25:16	will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xcc2688…
02-02 22:10:06	will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x18db66…
02-01 11:13:42	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x3e3948…
02-01 11:11:52	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x92c9b1…
01-24 01:23:02	will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1ada0d…
01-13 06:21:07	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2e0540…
01-13 06:20:19	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x6242fb…
01-11 08:57:48	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x96df79…
01-11 01:19:52	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x7f35ac…
01-11 01:18:36	us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	Yes	SELL	266	6¢	$16	0x03e49d…
01-09 15:06:48	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x2d490c…
01-09 15:00:34	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xce09d0…
01-09 14:59:54	us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	Yes	BUY	266	5¢	$13	0x185b24…