Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

+$205

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved

Trades

224

lifetime

Volume

$48.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$216

Open exposure

$1.09K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-15 13:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 67% $-139

Politics

13% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No		-2,163	$-1,298	50¢	$-1092	+$205	06-15 13:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	8	$3.6K	2,465	2,465	+0	open	—	04-13 16:30
will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	7	$2.8K	2,449	2,449	+0	open	—	04-11 17:59
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	4	$1.9K	1,290	1,290	+0	open	—	04-13 09:56
will team falcons qualify to blast open rotterdam playoffs	5	$1.7K	1,408	1,408	+0	open	—	03-22 13:41
up only podcast released by february 28 2026	3	$1.7K	962	962	+0	open	—	02-12 10:43
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	3	$1.7K	1,412	1,412	+0	open	—	03-22 02:42
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	2	$1.6K	912	891	+21	No	+$3	04-21 10:42
elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	7	$1.4K	1,357	1,357	+0	open	—	04-09 09:21
elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	6	$1.3K	2,121	2,121	+0	open	—	04-11 17:19
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	5	$1.3K	916	916	+0	open	—	01-30 17:53
spl njm nsr 2025 12 21 nsr	5	$1.3K	894	894	+0	open	—	02-17 16:31
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.3K	0	2,163	-2,163	open	—	06-15 13:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.3K	722	722	+0	open	—	04-12 20:32
will deadline blackpink debut week album sales be less than 300k	3	$1.1K	798	797	+1	open	—	02-12 04:15
el1 hud car 2026 03 28 car	4	$1.1K	1,260	1,260	+0	open	—	04-13 16:13
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	2	$1.1K	658	658	+0	open	—	02-01 00:05
will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	2	$1.0K	597	597	+0	open	—	04-12 21:34
will khamenei tweet again on march 18 2026 365 885	2	$1.0K	635	635	+0	open	—	03-18 14:21
will natus vincere make it to the blast open rotterdam grand final	2	$959	931	931	+0	open	—	03-25 17:33
elc por ips 2026 01 04 por	2	$889	539	539	+0	open	—	02-12 23:31
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	3	$842	540	540	+0	open	—	02-14 11:59
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$819	1,058	1,058	+0	No	+$99	04-27 09:54
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 29 be between 2200000 and 2300000	4	$747	673	673	+0	open	—	01-30 04:04
will tisza win at least 110 seats	2	$732	519	519	+0	open	—	04-12 09:49
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 15 be greater than 2300000	3	$710	401	401	+0	open	—	02-13 18:54
el2 ches gri 2026 03 28 ches	4	$690	862	862	+0	open	—	04-13 09:33
will bitcoin outperform silver in february 2026	3	$627	418	418	+0	open	—	02-18 17:51
will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 3 2026	2	$612	510	510	+0	open	—	03-30 16:39
elc bbr swe 2025 12 06 swe	2	$602	352	352	+0	open	—	02-01 09:51
scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 dfc	2	$581	654	14	+640	open	—	02-21 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:45:06	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,163	60¢	$1,298	0x56d738…
04-27 09:54:46	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	672	43¢	$289	0x855b4c…
04-21 10:42:44	Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	SELL	891	89¢	$794	0x09acca…
04-21 08:40:22	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	386	44¢	$170	0x8d7f8f…
04-21 03:07:28	Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	279	4¢	$11	0x1a1e35…
04-21 03:07:20	Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,705	4¢	$66	0x91d436…
04-21 03:06:56	Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	992	4¢	$39	0x809e1c…
04-13 17:55:11	Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	BUY	912	89¢	$812	0xa561cb…
04-13 17:15:57	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	No	BUY	842	64¢	$539	0xa062ee…
04-13 16:30:47	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	255	68¢	$173	0xf4f4c4…
04-13 16:30:23	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	532	68¢	$362	0x4a0ed8…
04-13 16:13:39	el1 hud car 2026 03 28 car	Yes	SELL	461	44¢	$203	0xb81ba2…
04-13 16:13:25	el1 hud car 2026 03 28 car	Yes	SELL	799	44¢	$352	0xf1cdd2…
04-13 13:31:03	el1 hud car 2026 03 28 car	Yes	BUY	831	42¢	$349	0xdf522b…
04-13 13:30:49	el1 hud car 2026 03 28 car	Yes	BUY	429	42¢	$180	0xef4f66…
04-13 12:55:17	itsb cat mod 2026 03 17 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	931	28¢	$261	0xf12f06…
04-13 11:21:57	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	289	48¢	$139	0x9d1787…
04-13 11:21:47	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	498	48¢	$239	0xed6dfd…
04-13 10:59:01	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	1,058	34¢	$360	0xfc1a57…
04-13 09:56:25	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	667	79¢	$527	0x9fe6c9…
04-13 09:56:09	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	623	79¢	$492	0xa18281…
04-13 09:33:01	el2 ches gri 2026 03 28 ches	Yes	SELL	47	41¢	$19	0xa7526b…
04-13 09:32:45	el2 ches gri 2026 03 28 ches	Yes	SELL	815	41¢	$334	0xced7cf…
04-13 07:57:37	will progressive bulgaria pb win 95 or more seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	319	80¢	$255	0x3408ec…
04-13 07:17:27	el2 ches gri 2026 03 28 ches	Yes	BUY	817	39¢	$319	0xe1fe83…
04-13 07:17:19	el2 ches gri 2026 03 28 ches	Yes	BUY	45	39¢	$18	0xfdaf0b…
04-13 06:33:51	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	623	66¢	$411	0xc9bee9…
04-13 06:33:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	667	66¢	$440	0xcd254e…
04-13 06:27:33	Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	993	12¢	$119	0x83b89f…
04-13 06:27:15	Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	992	12¢	$119	0x8f4ee8…
04-13 06:27:01	Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	991	12¢	$119	0x670cf7…
04-12 21:34:37	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	SELL	597	85¢	$507	0x71c792…
04-12 21:34:35	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	706	12¢	$85	0xae8f79…
04-12 21:02:39	arg riv cat 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	SELL	39	74¢	$29	0x5bf99d…
04-12 21:02:21	arg riv cat 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	SELL	530	74¢	$392	0x85d633…
04-12 20:32:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	722	87¢	$628	0x17f08b…
04-12 10:07:09	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	286	81¢	$232	0xd8f620…
04-12 09:49:03	will tisza win at least 110 seats	Yes	SELL	519	73¢	$379	0xdfa313…
04-12 09:12:43	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	22	12¢	$3	0x124d4e…
04-12 07:49:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	722	88¢	$635	0x823956…
04-12 07:47:45	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	BUY	597	87¢	$519	0x113165…
04-12 07:44:43	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	370	86¢	$318	0x701972…
04-12 07:21:11	arg riv cat 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	520	21¢	$109	0xfdd221…
04-12 07:20:51	arg riv cat 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0xc2476f…
04-12 06:45:07	will tisza win at least 110 seats	Yes	BUY	519	68¢	$353	0x79cc3f…
04-12 06:13:45	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	728	13¢	$95	0x7732c0…
04-11 17:59:25	will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	Yes	SELL	305	58¢	$177	0x055920…
04-11 17:59:11	will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	Yes	SELL	344	58¢	$200	0x8cf977…
04-11 17:58:51	will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	Yes	SELL	888	58¢	$515	0xb6215a…
04-11 17:58:29	will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	Yes	SELL	912	58¢	$529	0x45b261…
04-11 17:19:33	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	Yes	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x80d387…
04-11 17:19:17	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	Yes	SELL	304	25¢	$76	0x123385…
04-11 11:00:45	will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	Yes	BUY	649	55¢	$357	0x6c356e…
04-11 11:00:29	will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	Yes	BUY	888	55¢	$488	0xff2e99…
04-11 11:00:17	will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	Yes	BUY	912	55¢	$502	0xdaad17…
04-09 22:11:43	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	Yes	SELL	1,801	34¢	$612	0xb8f308…
04-09 15:25:03	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	Yes	BUY	700	31¢	$217	0x4d43c9…
04-09 15:24:51	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	Yes	BUY	723	31¢	$224	0xa9c512…
04-09 15:24:37	elc por ips 2026 01 04 draw	Yes	BUY	698	31¢	$216	0x8f0f06…
04-09 14:32:35	will starmer say wireless during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	218	47¢	$102	0x3e7ecb…
04-09 11:53:47	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	43	50¢	$22	0xd62ff1…
04-09 09:21:19	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	No	SELL	794	44¢	$349	0x241ebf…
04-08 16:18:21	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0xd3998c…
04-08 14:04:55	Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?	Yes	BUY	363	26¢	$94	0x3e3add…
04-08 14:04:37	Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?	Yes	BUY	267	26¢	$69	0xd92521…
04-08 07:19:13	will starmer say wireless during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	218	35¢	$76	0x278a30…
04-07 14:31:01	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	No	BUY	794	46¢	$365	0x8f4135…
03-31 03:19:05	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	555	86¢	$477	0x9f9cd3…
03-31 03:18:09	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	556	86¢	$478	0x1953cf…
03-31 03:16:31	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	567	86¢	$488	0x8b0485…
03-31 02:23:01	Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?	Yes	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0x4eb140…
03-31 02:22:49	Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?	Yes	SELL	419	28¢	$117	0xa8dc74…
03-31 02:22:35	Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?	Yes	SELL	46	28¢	$13	0x4e152f…
03-30 16:39:47	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 3 2026	No	SELL	510	61¢	$311	0x91c0a0…
03-30 08:55:24	Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?	Yes	BUY	490	27¢	$132	0xb82c16…
03-30 07:49:50	Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	659	38¢	$250	0xd064d2…
03-30 06:41:20	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 3 2026	No	BUY	510	59¢	$301	0x79d00d…
03-29 17:16:06	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	256	43¢	$110	0x8b255d…
03-29 13:27:24	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1,678	74¢	$1,242	0x8d74ba…
03-26 11:03:43	will trump say egg this week march 29	No	SELL	628	38¢	$239	0xe07344…
03-26 03:46:19	Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	434	84¢	$365	0x64867c…
03-25 17:33:25	will natus vincere make it to the blast open rotterdam grand final	Yes	SELL	931	57¢	$531	0x780200…
03-25 17:20:07	bra2 vln acg 2026 04 04 vln	Yes	SELL	432	38¢	$164	0x35e4c9…
03-25 17:19:51	bra2 vln acg 2026 04 04 vln	Yes	SELL	97	38¢	$37	0xc09a5f…
03-25 06:12:19	bra2 vln acg 2026 04 04 vln	Yes	BUY	529	32¢	$169	0xacdf6a…
03-24 15:16:13	will natus vincere make it to the blast open rotterdam grand final	Yes	BUY	931	46¢	$428	0x0c6489…
03-24 13:13:47	will melania say peace during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	BUY	555	24¢	$133	0x910981…
03-24 13:13:31	will melania say peace during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	BUY	53	24¢	$13	0x4cf754…
03-24 08:59:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	273	15¢	$41	0xee1ea3…
03-24 08:58:09	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	208	15¢	$31	0xd2becc…
03-23 17:25:51	will trump say egg this week march 29	No	BUY	628	42¢	$264	0xeaa1db…
03-23 08:46:17	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	481	17¢	$82	0x552e68…
03-22 13:41:39	will team falcons qualify to blast open rotterdam playoffs	Yes	SELL	447	58¢	$259	0x46a868…
03-22 13:41:25	will team falcons qualify to blast open rotterdam playoffs	Yes	SELL	880	58¢	$510	0x2d8e11…
03-22 06:56:25	will team falcons qualify to blast open rotterdam playoffs	Yes	SELL	81	63¢	$51	0xe36f73…
03-22 02:42:43	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	341	68¢	$232	0xd55125…
03-20 17:44:03	Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	434	27¢	$117	0x1c1cc6…
03-20 10:52:35	will team falcons qualify to blast open rotterdam playoffs	Yes	BUY	880	66¢	$581	0x44746b…
03-20 10:52:21	will team falcons qualify to blast open rotterdam playoffs	Yes	BUY	528	66¢	$348	0x6a5ff0…
03-19 12:49:15	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,071	60¢	$646	0xb488c2…