Robust-Memory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$113

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 23:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 36% $-113

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	2	$64	44	44	+0	open	—	05-04 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$57	43	43	+0	Down	+$17	05-04 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$53	43	43	+0	Down	+$13	05-04 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	7	$50	39	39	+0	open	—	05-04 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$44	34	34	+0	Up	+$14	05-05 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$43	35	35	+0	open	—	05-04 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$36	21	21	+0	Down	+$6	05-04 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$36	40	20	+19	Up	$-4	05-04 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	05-04 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$7	05-04 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	05-04 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$25	27	27	+0	Down	+$5	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$24	17	17	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$21	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$21	29	10	+19	open	—	05-04 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$20	38	0	+38	Up	$-20	05-04 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$20	26	0	+26	Down	$-20	05-04 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$19	59	50	+9	open	—	05-04 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	05-04 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$17	167	167	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$15	22	8	+14	Up	$-5	05-05 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$15	22	0	+22	Down	$-15	05-05 15:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	1	$13	53	0	+53	No	$-13	05-05 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$13	15	15	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 19:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x7ae3ea…
05-05 23:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf4b589…
05-05 23:13:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	53	24¢	$13	0x5bca49…
05-05 20:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x9b6d77…
05-05 20:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xcd99b0…
05-05 20:01:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x5bee59…
05-05 19:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0427aa…
05-05 19:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x7b9c11…
05-05 15:47:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2909a2…
05-05 15:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb56488…
05-05 15:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5f371f…
05-05 15:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x1bc386…
05-05 15:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x71243e…
05-05 15:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x0eadcf…
05-05 15:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	34	86¢	$29	0x9ad6cd…
05-05 15:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x8301d9…
05-05 15:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x161109…
05-05 15:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe742a6…
05-05 15:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x12df0a…
05-05 15:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2b9eb5…
05-05 14:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x5ea278…
05-05 14:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb935f1…
05-05 14:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	167	7¢	$12	0x2780ef…
05-05 14:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xcc186c…
05-05 14:05:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x1b2f8d…
05-05 13:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x660d4a…
05-05 13:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf633b5…
05-05 12:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x01e952…
05-05 12:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	17	87¢	$14	0x56972d…
05-05 12:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x0ac7ca…
05-05 12:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x126446…
05-04 23:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2a09fa…
05-04 23:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x753d32…
05-04 23:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc4a54f…
05-04 23:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x772473…
05-04 23:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xff44ec…
05-04 23:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xee8381…
05-04 23:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa4527b…
05-04 23:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x73319d…
05-04 23:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xe0d78b…
05-04 23:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x00b4eb…
05-04 23:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xbc94e3…
05-04 23:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4f2b52…
05-04 23:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xf951ff…
05-04 23:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf06658…
05-04 23:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xff2d97…
05-04 23:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x040fce…
05-04 23:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa09a5c…
05-04 22:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	27	56¢	$15	0x4fbce3…
05-04 22:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x760a98…
05-04 22:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x2cee55…
05-04 22:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x32b2ea…
05-04 22:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xbed297…
05-04 22:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa4c584…
05-04 22:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xe0ef93…
05-04 22:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x37a2f0…
05-04 22:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	43	78¢	$33	0xfaea9a…
05-04 22:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x2b1b98…
05-04 22:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x2c8df5…
05-04 22:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2cfd39…
05-04 22:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x070bbb…
05-04 22:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x2fd023…
05-04 21:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x623471…
05-04 21:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0xfad8da…
05-04 21:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x17f03b…
05-04 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	43	85¢	$37	0x609395…
05-04 21:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x573384…
05-04 21:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x32866d…
05-04 21:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa311be…
05-04 19:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	91¢	$13	0xd90e26…
05-04 19:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x8943e0…
05-04 19:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xa7b77d…
05-04 19:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf8e945…
05-04 19:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x316b23…
05-04 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0052a4…
05-04 19:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x62e8f9…
05-04 19:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x909fae…
05-04 19:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x23f09f…
05-04 16:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x58eb2f…
05-04 16:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1e9930…
05-04 16:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1ff419…
05-04 16:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x86a67d…
05-04 16:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcc7e20…
05-04 16:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb5cf11…
05-04 16:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x85a2cd…
05-04 16:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa5b225…
05-04 16:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xbbe585…
05-04 16:01:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x7d6fb6…
05-04 15:58:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xfe77ff…
05-04 15:18:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x461dcb…
05-04 15:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x9b3f0f…
05-04 15:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0987a6…
05-04 15:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x85e11f…
05-04 14:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5104ed…
05-04 14:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x7773ea…
05-04 14:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd0fdec…
05-04 14:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2a29f4…
05-04 14:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x536720…
05-04 13:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x766db0…
05-04 13:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x19c1ab…