Jolly-Probe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$386

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-16 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

84% 100% +$27

Politics

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	507	507	+0	open	—	05-16 03:57
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	2	$978	499	499	+0	open	—	05-14 07:46
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	2	$978	511	511	+0	open	—	05-12 08:16
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$918	470	470	+0	open	—	05-06 07:30
Spread: IK Start (-1.5)	1	$497	505	0	+505	open	—	05-16 05:43
Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$488	501	0	+501	open	—	05-14 07:54
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	2	$473	485	0	+485	Ghazl El Mahalla SC	+$12	05-07 06:06
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	1	$458	473	0	+473	Wuhan San Zhen FC	+$15	05-06 08:45
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 spread away 2pt5	2	$4	882	0	+882	open	—	04-22 07:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 05:43:15	Spread: IK Start (-1.5)	Viking FK	BUY	505	98¢	$497	0x0fbfe4…
05-16 03:57:42	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	507	99¢	$501	0x348a67…
05-16 03:19:02	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0x36b5a6…
05-14 07:54:13	Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	BUY	501	98¢	$488	0xa06b2c…
05-14 07:46:50	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	499	98¢	$489	0xd76254…
05-14 07:10:49	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	499	98¢	$489	0xb4e510…
05-12 08:16:38	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	511	96¢	$489	0x4d47fe…
05-12 07:31:57	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	511	96¢	$489	0x753f41…
05-07 06:06:27	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Ghazl El Mahalla SC	BUY	385	98¢	$377	0x0e636a…
05-07 06:05:38	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Ghazl El Mahalla SC	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5d65f9…
05-06 08:45:20	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	Wuhan San Zhen FC	BUY	473	97¢	$458	0x49b9f5…
05-06 07:30:32	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	470	98¢	$459	0xe967ea…
05-06 06:25:42	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	470	98¢	$459	0x795c5d…
04-22 07:25:34	fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 spread away 2pt5	FC Nantes	BUY	446	0¢	$2	0x0c8e88…
04-22 07:25:20	fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 spread away 2pt5	FC Nantes	BUY	436	0¢	$2	0xa861c8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Cheerful-Kit 0x9db7…b1ad	8	$5.71K	13	05-16 05:42
Right-Aquifer 0x18a6…0ae9	8	$4.31K	14	05-16 05:51
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	5	$14.9K	206	05-31 21:07
Unwritten-Polarisation 0x920d…234c	5	$2.86K	8	05-14 06:53
Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3	4	$9.60K	220	05-27 07:58
Triangular-Caramel 0xe247…6362	4	$2.44K	8	05-14 06:51
Sorrowful-Rostrum 0xed96…2e78	4	$2.28K	5	05-16 05:54
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	4	$1.21K	17	05-16 15:25