Parched-Desert-Vaccine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$506

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-12 09:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 40% $-52

Politics

21% — —

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$106	56	56	+0	open	—	05-11 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$90	157	61	+96	Up	$-10	05-11 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$62	247	130	+117	Down	+$2	05-11 21:14
Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$50	545	0	+545	open	—	05-09 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$30	231	0	+231	Down	$-30	05-11 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-11 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$27	83	0	+83	Down	$-27	05-11 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$25	42	0	+42	Up	+$17	05-11 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$20	133	0	+133	Down	$-20	05-11 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$15	145	0	+145	Down	$-15	05-11 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$15	59	0	+59	Up	+$44	05-11 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-10 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$-10	05-11 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-11 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-11 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Up	$-3	05-12 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-11 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 09:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x70297c…
05-11 21:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xd0cb37…
05-11 21:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x4ce2ab…
05-11 21:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x0b1b7c…
05-11 21:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcd36e5…
05-11 21:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x1bb82f…
05-11 21:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9fa818…
05-11 21:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	130	25¢	$32	0xdbbbb6…
05-11 21:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	204	2¢	$5	0xbb146d…
05-11 21:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2c4bd1…
05-11 21:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xae4dfd…
05-11 21:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x9a100e…
05-11 20:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xdf99e4…
05-11 20:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc403f7…
05-11 20:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x7195ff…
05-11 20:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	61	66¢	$40	0x12d0bf…
05-11 20:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x3594eb…
05-11 20:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xf33d31…
05-11 20:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x6d367f…
05-11 20:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x700f46…
05-11 20:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf0a6ca…
05-11 20:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa78683…
05-11 20:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x591c15…
05-11 20:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xea4591…
05-11 20:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf2a21f…
05-11 20:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x272fde…
05-11 20:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x99855e…
05-11 20:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x3e8704…
05-11 20:03:09	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x5eb48f…
05-10 12:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa361b8…
05-09 20:57:33	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xf04ae1…
05-09 20:48:23	Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	545	9¢	$50	0x4cfbe8…