Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$168

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

180

Trades

396

lifetime

Volume

$2.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 08-20 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Politics

61% 53% $-154

Other

19% 38% $-28

Crypto

17% 52% +$10

Sports

4% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	6	$371	510	250	+260	No	$-205	01-23 23:34
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	3	$282	230	174	+57	No	+$10	01-15 09:20
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	19	$241	500	500	+0	Yes	+$88	08-02 02:55
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	07-13 16:06
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	2	$199	200	0	+200	Yes	+$1	06-29 19:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	19	$166	910	910	+0	open	—	08-20 17:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$105	148	148	+0	Yes	$-15	02-15 00:38
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$99	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-20 00:13
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	8	$72	45	45	+0	Yes	+$4	07-07 13:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$34	100	100	+0	Yes	$-0	04-03 17:21
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	8	$31	65	65	+0	Yes	$-1	07-12 13:39
btc updown 15m 1772667000	2	$27	22	22	+0	Up	+$7	03-04 23:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$26	230	220	+10	No	$-4	07-11 22:45
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$24	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	03-20 00:17
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	3	$23	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-03 00:51
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	6	$22	300	0	+300	No	$-22	04-23 17:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$20	70	70	+0	No	$-2	04-21 14:16
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	07-17 01:26
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	2	$18	30	30	+0	Over	$-8	07-10 20:08
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	5	$16	500	244	+256	No	+$0	08-04 22:21
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$15	4,167	0	+4,167	Yes	$-15	02-01 14:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$14	111	111	+0	Yes	$-6	02-15 00:39
btc updown 15m 1771530300	3	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	02-19 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	5	$11	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	04-27 22:41
btc updown 15m 1772662500	3	$11	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	03-04 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$10	11	6	+5	Down	$-1	05-01 20:51
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	3	$10	10	8	+2	Under	+$3	07-06 19:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-02 23:13
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	3	$9	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-17 17:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	2	$8	25	25	+0	No	$-2	07-27 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 17:39:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0xcb2bf4…
08-14 05:38:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x0e43b6…
08-11 22:09:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xced85e…
08-11 21:32:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xe14da2…
08-08 19:03:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0x12f082…
08-08 18:30:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0x54263f…
08-06 19:35:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x388d1d…
08-06 19:20:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x8646a4…
08-06 19:12:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x9ee43a…
08-04 22:21:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0x032b51…
08-04 22:20:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	300	16¢	$48	0x78bdad…
08-04 21:54:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x949fc8…
08-04 20:53:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0x70b816…
08-04 19:29:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	122	4¢	$4	0xd761dc…
08-04 16:27:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x2af9b1…
08-04 02:50:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x930220…
08-03 22:57:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x4dee4e…
08-03 19:15:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x8bdb69…
08-03 18:21:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x5f067f…
08-03 18:02:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$4	0x936e18…
08-03 16:25:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$4	0xde5a0e…
08-03 00:51:30	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xb42274…
08-02 21:15:51	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x2d3f7e…
08-02 21:15:50	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xc67f0d…
08-02 02:55:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0x1ffcce…
08-02 02:44:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xbe5486…
08-02 02:22:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x92a797…
08-02 02:19:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x8c2383…
08-02 02:06:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	85	36¢	$31	0x814327…
08-01 23:55:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	120	25¢	$30	0x3b8e3d…
08-01 18:35:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xb7a1a9…
08-01 03:08:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xbd0fce…
08-01 02:04:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xa62662…
08-01 02:03:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x315da4…
08-01 02:02:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xaab4e8…
08-01 00:16:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x3a9937…
07-31 22:26:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xe8a2cd…
07-28 02:39:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x8fb9f3…
07-27 11:55:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x8daf03…
07-26 06:07:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xf378e4…
07-26 01:20:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x7818f5…
07-25 21:33:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x0b3e40…
07-25 21:29:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x228e5c…
07-25 19:39:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xc0d5e4…
07-25 18:38:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x35f0c6…
07-25 13:16:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	67	30¢	$20	0x845549…
07-24 22:58:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	90	2¢	$1	0xf33071…
07-22 22:21:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0xf11088…
07-22 22:19:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x517c34…
07-22 17:27:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x9597b1…
07-22 17:14:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc7367f…
07-20 00:13:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x7e3682…
07-19 23:17:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x2d43a8…
07-17 17:19:13	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0x2fbdf2…
07-17 17:18:51	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xc9be4b…
07-17 01:26:05	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x51ca49…
07-16 22:55:58	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x186ebf…
07-13 16:06:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3be4e9…
07-13 15:31:20	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe0ae19…
07-12 13:39:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0xd9f2cf…
07-11 22:45:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	220	5¢	$11	0x7de284…
07-11 22:11:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	160	6¢	$10	0x6387c4…
07-11 21:46:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x234aa9…
07-11 20:44:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x95dcdd…
07-11 19:47:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xdb67b0…
07-11 18:15:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x78f942…
07-11 16:15:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x6fc90c…
07-11 16:09:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xcb385b…
07-11 14:59:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xcfd270…
07-11 14:35:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xc33e2c…
07-11 14:30:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe93cea…
07-10 20:08:22	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x4c874f…
07-10 15:27:11	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	30	45¢	$13	0x06f748…
07-10 07:51:08	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6812a6…
07-07 13:03:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xa56a0c…
07-07 10:34:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x49a712…
07-07 00:21:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x111e04…
07-06 22:29:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x14b465…
07-06 22:25:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x4b8675…
07-06 22:19:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x9b2f67…
07-06 22:17:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x9b781d…
07-06 21:47:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x342ffa…
07-06 19:51:44	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xaa4f88…
07-06 19:35:40	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x301ed6…
07-06 14:38:11	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x071804…
06-29 19:59:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3f92a4…
06-29 19:10:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x9e1ecb…
06-02 23:13:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfb68b0…
05-04 19:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x22756a…
05-03 17:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xdae21b…
05-03 17:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xd991b4…
05-03 17:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xbaf0ab…
05-03 17:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x8cb0a7…
05-03 17:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xa711ff…
05-03 17:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x7be540…
05-02 16:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xa3c33a…
05-02 16:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x85e57a…
05-02 16:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x67827d…
05-02 16:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xe4e169…
05-02 12:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xbc688d…