Reliable-Egghead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$106

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-18 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	5	$7	9	7	+2	Down	+$0	05-12 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$5	35	35	+0	open	—	05-14 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$5	5	3	+2	Down	$-0	05-13 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$4	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$4	8	8	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$4	3	2	+1	Up	$-0	05-11 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$3	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-18 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$2	6	6	+0	Up	$-2	05-13 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$2	8	6	+2	open	—	05-18 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$2	12	0	+12	Up	$-2	05-11 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-11 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$2	13	13	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-11 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-11 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-12 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-12 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-18 12:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 12:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xe2f56b…
05-18 12:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa3517d…
05-18 12:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x264ea0…
05-18 12:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x6634e3…
05-18 12:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x342401…
05-18 11:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x32cc94…
05-18 11:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xdc4a9d…
05-18 11:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa7f09f…
05-18 11:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x2b966f…
05-18 11:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf71945…
05-18 11:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0xcd15ac…
05-18 11:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6e8995…
05-18 11:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x0168b6…
05-18 11:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x774be6…
05-18 11:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0b0707…
05-14 13:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0xc927e1…
05-14 13:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x0b45e6…
05-14 13:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xe7f38c…
05-14 13:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x650d1d…
05-14 13:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x283222…
05-14 13:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xccd58a…
05-14 13:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x962ab2…
05-14 13:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe18d0d…
05-14 13:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0x315b51…
05-14 13:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1fddb2…
05-13 17:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x53414e…
05-13 17:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x35c4f5…
05-13 17:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xdc6e69…
05-13 17:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe4fcb9…
05-13 17:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xd64230…
05-13 17:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x8e25f2…
05-13 17:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x23cf11…
05-13 17:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x1bd77e…
05-13 17:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xe6ce7e…
05-13 17:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5aedce…
05-13 17:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8a25b8…
05-13 17:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x33b954…
05-13 17:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xfb85b1…
05-13 17:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x41b880…
05-13 17:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xde9cbc…
05-13 17:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x05fe16…
05-13 17:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa1c978…
05-13 17:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xea3bde…
05-13 17:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xf72d2f…
05-13 16:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x29bfd3…
05-12 00:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4237b8…
05-12 00:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x90c520…
05-12 00:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf53697…
05-12 00:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x20624c…
05-12 00:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xdbb848…
05-12 00:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x5bbcf2…
05-12 00:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xa8eaea…
05-12 00:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x84d065…
05-12 00:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xefc842…
05-12 00:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x7839f8…
05-12 00:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x15bde6…
05-12 00:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x157166…
05-12 00:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a2737…
05-12 00:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x50926a…
05-12 00:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5578ce…
05-12 00:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf92524…
05-12 00:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5e8f9a…
05-12 00:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xe77e8a…
05-12 00:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2428f1…
05-12 00:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x3f2a44…
05-12 00:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x883f8b…
05-11 23:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x6b05a9…
05-11 23:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8e1138…
05-11 23:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x035d03…
05-11 23:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x00d830…
05-11 23:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb027ea…
05-11 23:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3311a8…
05-11 23:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x9f7abe…
05-11 23:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfdaf28…
05-11 23:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x84b818…
05-11 23:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x793863…
05-11 23:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xa800dc…
05-11 23:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x57799d…
05-11 23:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x9a5c24…
05-11 23:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd2e3b0…
05-11 23:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c3ac9…