Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

216

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$17

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-16 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$6

Other

41% 100% +$0

Crypto

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President by June 30?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	06-07 08:29
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No		+10	$6	72¢	$7	+$1	05-29 19:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	11	$1.1K	857	257	+600	open	—	03-26 21:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$921	922	0	+922	open	—	04-09 12:35
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$919	921	0	+921	open	—	04-08 13:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$909	948	0	+948	open	—	06-03 14:44
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	11	$790	400	400	+0	open	—	03-04 16:54
will trump say waste this week march 1	3	$787	790	0	+790	open	—	03-04 17:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$606	315	315	+0	open	—	03-01 01:40
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	02-03 00:12
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$597	600	0	+600	open	—	04-30 20:17
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$497	500	0	+500	open	—	01-28 11:20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	9	$410	210	210	+0	open	—	03-04 16:54
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	1	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	01-22 00:39
Over $1M committed to the Bitway public sale?	5	$366	185	185	+0	open	—	01-25 03:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$313	357	0	+357	open	—	06-16 14:19
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$276	277	0	+277	open	—	03-31 19:56
Over $500K committed to the Bitway public sale?	4	$209	100	110	-10	open	—	01-23 09:00
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?	4	$188	100	100	+0	open	—	01-25 07:32
will silver si hit high 140 by end of january 438 122 492	9	$138	70	70	+0	open	—	01-30 22:46
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$126	140	0	+140	open	—	03-07 23:35
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-07 21:00
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 21:21
si hit 150 high jan 2026	4	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	01-30 18:23
fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	4	$88	50	40	+10	open	—	01-21 06:17
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	5	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	01-30 22:03
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	6	$78	40	40	+0	open	—	01-24 01:34
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	02-03 11:06
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	01-28 23:32
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	6	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	03-07 14:42
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	01-20 17:11
iran closes its airspace by june 15	3	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	06-08 22:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 14:19:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xf9817c…
06-15 07:01:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xe7f961…
06-14 16:27:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd35f87…
06-12 19:48:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x12f6ff…
06-08 22:12:13	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xddce01…
06-08 22:10:12	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaef9e2…
06-08 22:04:43	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4c98ce…
06-07 08:29:01	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe642ae…
06-03 14:44:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x264e37…
06-02 10:27:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$90	0x0e2510…
06-02 09:36:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x354c36…
06-02 09:32:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0x36d542…
06-02 09:25:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe78c35…
06-01 15:46:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	46¢	$27	0x21dac0…
05-29 19:27:37	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x54e8d1…
05-26 15:24:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2285ea…
05-19 16:37:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x50baa1…
05-14 11:33:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x533c31…
05-14 02:07:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x4dd1b7…
05-02 19:20:50	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b9ec4…
05-02 16:56:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x23d524…
05-02 16:56:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcc6824…
04-30 21:21:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x48c43a…
04-30 20:17:22	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	600	100¢	$597	0x744bb1…
04-15 22:54:28	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf5ac40…
04-09 12:35:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	922	100¢	$921	0x078dc9…
04-08 13:08:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	278	100¢	$277	0x820d79…
04-07 14:41:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	643	100¢	$641	0xefb6fa…
04-01 22:39:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xbbcd66…
03-31 19:56:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xf7cf8d…
03-26 22:02:03	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf0d56f…
03-26 21:39:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x0d66e0…
03-26 21:37:43	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	257	100¢	$256	0x6b7e35…
03-25 05:19:53	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	573	100¢	$572	0xd8a2b5…
03-25 02:43:43	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x558df8…
03-25 02:18:19	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc21a4…
03-24 09:50:59	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81e993…
03-24 05:39:37	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0x10e89e…
03-24 05:12:59	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x205c96…
03-24 04:58:59	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed5b9c…
03-24 03:38:29	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x71c357…
03-24 01:38:01	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5b252d…
03-23 23:35:15	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0xc89b26…
03-15 00:24:51	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x54df84…
03-14 22:47:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x524f47…
03-14 22:41:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3c3c43…
03-14 22:41:19	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x23cf85…
03-08 19:18:15	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x00dc22…
03-08 07:12:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x28ea11…
03-07 23:35:43	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x356de2…
03-07 21:58:23	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1391c4…
03-07 19:40:39	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb6a954…
03-07 19:08:53	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa5da4f…
03-07 17:01:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb2f56d…
03-07 16:09:53	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x26b688…
03-07 15:13:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x47cc15…
03-07 15:05:25	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x932a09…
03-07 15:02:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf0f114…
03-07 14:43:31	will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x976ed7…
03-07 14:42:25	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xd35c11…
03-06 11:23:35	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xba4e5b…
03-06 10:49:55	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x5887b5…
03-06 10:43:59	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x02b6c2…
03-04 17:36:01	will trump say waste this week march 1	Yes	BUY	272	100¢	$270	0x279c45…
03-04 17:35:49	will trump say waste this week march 1	Yes	BUY	509	100¢	$507	0x5ed82e…
03-04 17:05:03	will trump say waste this week march 1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1468b2…
03-04 16:54:57	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$349	0xfd44c2…
03-04 16:54:43	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xdbf0bd…
03-01 22:26:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x01bfb7…
03-01 22:26:17	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x365443…
03-01 01:40:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	305	100¢	$304	0x6e0bf0…
02-28 19:40:53	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x5736e5…
02-28 19:40:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x264e92…
02-28 19:39:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x983db3…
02-28 19:39:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	279	96¢	$269	0xfbfcfb…
02-28 19:39:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x7cab5f…
02-17 00:45:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x91032f…
02-15 11:33:45	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb76c2d…
02-14 15:01:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x6803fd…
02-14 01:06:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x1f4aac…
02-13 13:30:47	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xdd3c3f…
02-13 12:30:07	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x94a224…
02-13 12:30:07	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x110507…
02-13 11:49:35	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x956fa1…
02-13 11:43:07	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xbefd70…
02-12 10:52:37	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xeae31b…
02-10 00:23:21	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x6ca375…
02-08 21:36:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x4221f5…
02-07 21:00:17	us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x92104d…
02-05 20:36:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x851ab6…
02-04 16:57:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0f6ee1…
02-03 11:06:50	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x5052dd…
02-03 00:12:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x17d2f7…
02-02 22:35:48	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0x40ff0d…
02-02 08:11:46	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf3b20b…
02-01 19:56:36	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x690354…
02-01 19:55:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x6b7321…
02-01 19:35:02	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xf57522…
02-01 00:19:38	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x218916…
01-31 22:52:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xcc66d6…