Surprised-Cymbal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$4.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-14 01:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 74% $-8

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$122	113	113	+0	Down	+$72	05-05 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$106	68	68	+0	Down	+$6	05-05 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$102	104	104	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	8	$83	53	53	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$66	56	56	+0	open	—	05-04 18:21
btc updown 5m 1781134200	2	$64	49	49	+0	open	—	06-10 23:31
btc updown 5m 1781042400	2	$62	52	52	+0	open	—	06-09 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$61	47	47	+0	open	—	05-04 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$61	39	39	+0	Down	+$11	05-04 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$61	40	40	+0	Up	+$11	05-05 03:44
btc updown 5m 1781041800	2	$60	45	45	+0	open	—	06-09 21:52
btc updown 5m 1781063100	2	$60	51	51	+0	open	—	06-10 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$60	40	40	+0	Down	+$10	05-05 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$57	36	36	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$57	40	40	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$57	62	62	+0	Down	+$7	05-04 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$56	37	27	+11	open	—	05-04 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$56	45	45	+0	Down	+$6	05-05 04:20
btc updown 5m 1781058900	2	$56	50	50	+0	open	—	06-10 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$55	36	36	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$55	40	40	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$55	40	40	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$54	35	35	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$54	38	38	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$54	38	38	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$54	45	45	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$54	31	31	+0	Down	+$4	05-04 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$53	38	38	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$53	38	38	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$53	45	45	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 14:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 01:15:22	btc updown 5m 1781399700	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xfeec73…
06-14 01:05:16	btc updown 5m 1781399100	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdf5dbc…
06-14 00:55:22	btc updown 5m 1781398500	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8de742…
06-14 00:41:04	btc updown 5m 1781397600	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xd5f027…
06-14 00:40:52	btc updown 5m 1781397600	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1de0ff…
06-14 00:35:52	btc updown 5m 1781397300	Down	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x874e4c…
06-14 00:35:15	btc updown 5m 1781397300	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2ad136…
06-14 00:31:06	btc updown 5m 1781397000	Down	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x526de4…
06-14 00:30:40	btc updown 5m 1781397000	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x12d7d9…
06-11 22:41:03	btc updown 5m 1781217600	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x35a113…
06-11 22:16:52	btc updown 5m 1781216100	Up	SELL	16	54¢	$9	0xdc08ea…
06-11 22:16:15	btc updown 5m 1781216100	Up	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0xd42e78…
06-11 22:16:04	btc updown 5m 1781216100	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x39e11b…
06-11 22:16:03	btc updown 5m 1781216100	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7b842d…
06-11 03:28:18	btc updown 5m 1781148300	Down	SELL	44	38¢	$17	0xfca529…
06-11 03:26:15	btc updown 5m 1781148300	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x3810d9…
06-11 00:01:01	btc updown 5m 1781136000	Down	SELL	66	15¢	$10	0x836425…
06-11 00:00:18	btc updown 5m 1781136000	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x4746d9…
06-10 23:55:13	btc updown 5m 1781135700	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xcb2cec…
06-10 23:51:40	btc updown 5m 1781135400	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa71f4b…
06-10 23:31:55	btc updown 5m 1781134200	Down	SELL	49	79¢	$39	0x88f362…
06-10 23:30:22	btc updown 5m 1781134200	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x72deae…
06-10 22:55:58	btc updown 5m 1781132100	Down	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x5f78b8…
06-10 22:06:49	btc updown 5m 1781129100	Down	SELL	74	19¢	$14	0x16cd22…
06-10 22:06:30	btc updown 5m 1781129100	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xa7f175…
06-10 21:10:55	btc updown 5m 1781125800	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xdb196b…
06-10 15:55:34	btc updown 5m 1781106900	Down	SELL	44	63¢	$28	0x9269a0…
06-10 15:55:21	btc updown 5m 1781106900	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x4216f6…
06-10 04:45:52	btc updown 5m 1781066700	Up	SELL	47	45¢	$21	0x1f6424…
06-10 04:45:12	btc updown 5m 1781066700	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x080a8a…
06-10 04:01:00	btc updown 5m 1781064000	Down	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xc25499…
06-10 04:00:49	btc updown 5m 1781064000	Down	SELL	49	49¢	$24	0xe31c72…
06-10 04:00:39	btc updown 5m 1781064000	Down	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0xa2d464…
06-10 03:59:55	btc updown 5m 1781063700	Down	SELL	41	44¢	$18	0xbbc61e…
06-10 03:55:13	btc updown 5m 1781063700	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x119a5b…
06-10 03:54:04	btc updown 5m 1781063400	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x0bb0d7…
06-10 03:50:36	btc updown 5m 1781063400	Up	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0xf26f93…
06-10 03:50:30	btc updown 5m 1781063400	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x37d730…
06-10 03:46:27	btc updown 5m 1781063100	Up	SELL	51	68¢	$35	0xf5cca9…
06-10 03:45:15	btc updown 5m 1781063100	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x5d52df…
06-10 03:43:03	btc updown 5m 1781062800	Up	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x34af13…
06-10 03:40:19	btc updown 5m 1781062800	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x931c64…
06-10 02:40:36	btc updown 5m 1781059200	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x6739f5…
06-10 02:40:18	btc updown 5m 1781059200	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3c1547…
06-10 02:36:43	btc updown 5m 1781058900	Up	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0xe97be6…
06-10 02:35:12	btc updown 5m 1781058900	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9df7a8…
06-10 02:30:43	btc updown 5m 1781058600	Down	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xbfb09f…
06-10 02:30:30	btc updown 5m 1781058600	Down	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x49be43…
06-10 02:30:21	btc updown 5m 1781058600	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6a8ae6…
06-10 02:25:31	btc updown 5m 1781058300	Up	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x2f378b…
06-10 02:25:16	btc updown 5m 1781058300	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd5a754…
06-10 02:20:33	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Up	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xa5704c…
06-10 02:20:24	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Up	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xa2f4ad…
06-10 02:20:15	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x320cc6…
06-10 02:15:40	btc updown 5m 1781057700	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x2f6ce1…
06-10 02:15:22	btc updown 5m 1781057700	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x51d9f9…
06-10 02:10:45	btc updown 5m 1781057400	Down	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x9665f2…
06-10 02:10:22	btc updown 5m 1781057400	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5094bf…
06-10 02:06:07	btc updown 5m 1781057100	Up	SELL	14	33¢	$4	0x9a0455…
06-10 02:05:46	btc updown 5m 1781057100	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa179e2…
06-10 02:01:06	btc updown 5m 1781056800	Down	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0xafc680…
06-10 02:00:46	btc updown 5m 1781056800	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x14701c…
06-10 01:55:43	btc updown 5m 1781056500	Up	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x0000ac…
06-10 01:55:25	btc updown 5m 1781056500	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf1eea2…
06-09 22:21:24	btc updown 5m 1781043600	Down	SELL	68	36¢	$25	0xb8c5c5…
06-09 22:20:22	btc updown 5m 1781043600	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x322dfd…
06-09 22:01:21	btc updown 5m 1781042400	Down	SELL	52	71¢	$37	0xfe38c3…
06-09 22:00:33	btc updown 5m 1781042400	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xad6386…
06-09 21:56:16	btc updown 5m 1781042100	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xb0f6f0…
06-09 21:52:22	btc updown 5m 1781041800	Down	SELL	45	78¢	$35	0xd1e4be…
06-09 21:50:16	btc updown 5m 1781041800	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x799d33…
06-09 21:45:40	btc updown 5m 1781041500	Up	SELL	46	42¢	$19	0x22fc50…
06-09 21:45:19	btc updown 5m 1781041500	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x665b98…
06-09 21:31:10	btc updown 5m 1781040600	Down	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x0efa89…
06-09 21:30:55	btc updown 5m 1781040600	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe4c70c…
06-09 21:13:19	btc updown 5m 1781039400	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x92dcce…
06-09 21:10:36	btc updown 5m 1781039400	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x92f0df…
06-09 20:53:19	btc updown 5m 1781038200	Down	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x09df33…
06-09 20:52:40	btc updown 5m 1781038200	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbe9fdc…
06-09 20:52:40	btc updown 5m 1781038200	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3314d0…
06-09 20:41:51	btc updown 5m 1781037600	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x5f5a82…
06-09 20:40:42	btc updown 5m 1781037600	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x49e552…
06-09 20:11:48	btc updown 5m 1781035800	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xf8ac29…
06-09 20:10:21	btc updown 5m 1781035800	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcf0786…
06-09 19:16:16	btc updown 5m 1781032500	Up	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x32e060…
06-09 19:15:48	btc updown 5m 1781032500	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd893b9…
06-09 19:13:51	btc updown 5m 1781032200	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x6cccef…
06-09 19:13:25	btc updown 5m 1781032200	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfb1fc7…
05-06 18:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe2ba02…
05-06 18:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x72456a…
05-06 18:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7f1418…
05-06 18:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8d4c4d…
05-06 18:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xbc12ac…
05-06 18:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x843607…
05-06 17:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x0fabfd…
05-06 17:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x43955d…
05-06 17:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0xa8dc31…
05-06 17:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd16588…
05-06 17:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x819a30…
05-06 17:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc7b72f…