Alienated-Initiative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$343

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-09 00:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 65% $-28

Other

9% — —

Sports

8% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellien	2	$32	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$30	38	0	+38	Up	$-30	05-05 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$28	31	0	+31	Up	+$3	05-05 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$22	28	0	+28	Down	+$6	05-05 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$21	257	0	+257	open	—	05-04 12:13
Knicks vs. 76ers	4	$18	18	17	+0	Knicks	+$0	05-09 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$17	15	7	+8	Up	+$1	05-08 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	05-04 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$16	23	16	+7	Down	$-4	05-08 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$11	19	0	+19	open	—	05-04 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 23:49
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$10	5	5	+0	New York Mets	+$1	05-05 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$9	11	0	+11	Down	+$2	05-04 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	05-04 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	Down	+$8	05-04 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$8	18	0	+18	Down	$-8	05-09 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$8	20	0	+20	Up	$-8	05-04 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Down	+$2	05-04 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-04 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-04 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	05-04 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-04 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$3	50	0	+50	Up	$-3	05-05 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-04 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-08 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-04 23:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 00:06:37	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x7309af…
05-09 00:06:33	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x0d9de3…
05-09 00:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa0f930…
05-09 00:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xab07e4…
05-08 23:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x12a72e…
05-08 23:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xa0690d…
05-08 23:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4790fe…
05-08 23:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0xa3967e…
05-08 23:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb7229a…
05-08 23:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe9e264…
05-08 23:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbdb21a…
05-08 23:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x36fe38…
05-08 23:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa9b02e…
05-08 23:42:49	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdf568b…
05-08 23:42:38	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0x9d349c…
05-05 00:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x7f49fe…
05-05 00:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0xac4163…
05-05 00:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x1dec1e…
05-05 00:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x726018…
05-05 00:05:30	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	New York Mets	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x737c60…
05-05 00:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb810b7…
05-04 23:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xe1a78d…
05-04 23:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x55a237…
05-04 23:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x0c47c5…
05-04 23:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0321b…
05-04 23:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x46bed7…
05-04 23:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x8dbb8d…
05-04 23:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x78a5b0…
05-04 23:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xbbef4f…
05-04 23:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x8bedd8…
05-04 22:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xf13f3d…
05-04 22:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x525fff…
05-04 22:49:50	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	New York Mets	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x2baba8…
05-04 12:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0xa3dd24…
05-04 12:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0x07c0db…
05-04 12:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xd1b7c5…
05-04 12:02:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellien	Hugo Dellien	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb2868c…
05-04 11:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x79eb81…
05-04 11:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x589548…
05-04 11:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x396807…
05-04 11:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x0cc5f6…
05-04 11:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x921745…
05-04 11:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xf09668…
05-04 11:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x79662d…
05-04 11:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3bdfd4…
05-04 11:33:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellien	Hugo Dellien	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0xf1b71b…