Aromatic-Clarification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$215

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.1%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$1.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-23 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

57% 73% $-212

Politics

32% 0% $-2

Tech

10% 0% $-1

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	8	$190	124	124	+0	open	—	06-02 06:05
will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by june 30	4	$180	120	120	+0	No	$-35	06-02 11:13
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	6	$149	110	70	+40	Yes	+$1	06-23 10:45
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	6	$139	155	155	+0	Yes	$-1	06-02 06:47
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?	8	$124	175	175	+0	No	$-9	06-01 12:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 29?	2	$123	100	100	+0	Yes	$-1	05-29 03:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	8	$113	70	70	+0	No	$-0	06-23 04:06
will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	2	$110	60	60	+0	open	—	06-02 09:18
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	8	$104	100	100	+0	open	—	05-29 08:19
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	3	$97	116	116	+0	Yes	+$15	06-23 02:26
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	2	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	06-23 10:58
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	2	$73	60	60	+0	open	—	06-01 02:11
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	2	$72	60	60	+0	open	—	06-01 02:11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 29?	2	$64	100	100	+0	No	$-28	05-29 11:08
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	2	$53	45	45	+0	No	+$0	06-02 07:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?	2	$53	50	50	+0	No	$-41	06-03 04:36
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	2	$50	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	06-02 04:44
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?	2	$31	39	39	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 07:03
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?	2	$22	60	60	+0	No	$-5	05-29 08:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?	4	$21	40	40	+0	Yes	$-0	06-03 04:57
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.5B?	1	$16	0	84	-84	Yes	$-68	05-29 08:28
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	2	$15	24	24	+0	Yes	$-0	06-02 06:05
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?	4	$13	27	7	+20	No	+$0	06-01 10:54
ccl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 22 2026 0pt34	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	06-10 11:21
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?	2	$10	60	60	+0	No	$-1	06-02 02:58
3Jane FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-01 08:11
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	1	$6	0	10	-10	No	+$6	04-07 11:26
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	2	$4	0	10	-10	Yes	$-6	04-05 19:13
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$3	1	60	-59	No	$-56	06-02 08:21
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 40 64	1	$3	0	10	-10	No	+$3	04-02 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 10:58:01	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xc83cce…
06-23 10:45:49	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x4b8b22…
06-23 09:08:16	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x678bf2…
06-23 07:45:56	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x3cfa65…
06-23 07:45:38	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xd3a755…
06-23 07:45:38	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xd3a755…
06-23 07:29:07	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x3c7573…
06-23 07:22:46	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x3a8d73…
06-23 04:06:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0xb0a46e…
06-23 04:06:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	29	81¢	$23	0x7bfd7a…
06-23 04:02:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0xaee57c…
06-23 04:02:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x704b25…
06-23 03:59:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xaf6c33…
06-23 03:59:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x2f7c17…
06-23 03:59:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x7af122…
06-23 03:59:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xee725e…
06-23 02:26:52	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	SELL	116	48¢	$56	0x43c920…
06-22 08:07:46	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x379cbd…
06-22 08:07:26	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0xa23314…
06-10 11:21:46	ccl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 22 2026 0pt34	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xd01fd4…
06-10 11:21:34	ccl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 22 2026 0pt34	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x646313…
06-03 04:57:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x070bae…
06-03 04:54:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x158fa6…
06-03 04:54:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x2d1cac…
06-03 04:51:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x293231…
06-03 04:36:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x7c26d0…
06-03 04:35:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x8b8e6e…
06-02 11:13:47	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	60	31¢	$19	0xb21ee4…
06-02 11:13:34	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0xf434dc…
06-02 10:34:00	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0x0ebb2f…
06-02 10:33:49	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0xf677b6…
06-02 09:18:25	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0xc9d401…
06-02 09:18:11	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x140720…
06-02 08:21:54	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0xa609ad…
06-02 08:15:43	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xb5e29a…
06-02 07:40:39	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	Yes	SELL	45	59¢	$27	0xc1c7c9…
06-02 07:40:27	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	Yes	BUY	45	59¢	$27	0x9da57b…
06-02 06:47:34	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0xf7a8a3…
06-02 06:40:08	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0x70d711…
06-02 06:05:19	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	71¢	$32	0x8f2dd5…
06-02 06:05:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	Yes	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0x9172b8…
06-02 06:03:18	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x9c9892…
06-02 06:02:29	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x96c24e…
06-02 06:02:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	Yes	BUY	24	31¢	$8	0xf3512b…
06-02 06:02:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0x287009…
06-02 06:02:11	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x495548…
06-02 06:02:11	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x475d30…
06-02 04:46:58	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0x4c637c…
06-02 04:44:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xc8a6ac…
06-02 04:27:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x06b2af…
06-02 04:26:30	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xc2cceb…
06-02 03:43:41	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0x523f1f…
06-02 03:40:47	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0xff56e2…
06-02 02:59:29	Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$1	0x42191d…
06-02 02:59:15	Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xace1ee…
06-02 02:58:47	Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8dc673…
06-02 02:58:18	Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xb65b00…
06-02 02:49:38	Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x039dbf…
06-01 12:35:27	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x6abcd9…
06-01 12:26:44	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xc9a7c7…
06-01 11:29:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?	Yes	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0x8a9570…
06-01 11:26:02	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?	Yes	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xa7e3fe…
06-01 11:14:42	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x7417b3…
06-01 11:08:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x6dabb1…
06-01 10:54:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?	No	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x61ce5c…
06-01 10:31:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x32b0f6…
06-01 08:41:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?	No	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x3bb3bd…
06-01 08:11:32	3Jane FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc14cd9…
06-01 06:55:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?	No	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x10ed3f…
06-01 06:21:17	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	SELL	70	74¢	$52	0xe330af…
06-01 06:16:51	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	70	75¢	$52	0x2c4416…
06-01 06:11:22	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x0275c0…
06-01 06:09:51	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xcbe29a…
06-01 02:11:40	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	Yes	SELL	60	40¢	$24	0xa5d584…
06-01 02:11:30	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	Yes	SELL	60	38¢	$23	0xccc5e7…
05-29 11:08:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x2bb75c…
05-29 09:05:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xf94686…
05-29 08:30:45	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	14¢	$9	0xfd5b10…
05-29 08:28:04	Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.5B?	Yes	SELL	84	19¢	$16	0xcfbe77…
05-29 08:19:14	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xc8b424…
05-29 08:00:03	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0xff3daa…
05-29 03:15:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x357570…
05-29 03:13:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x6d94d2…
05-28 13:54:10	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xdf0ac2…
05-28 13:52:06	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x6710cf…
05-28 12:42:06	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	SELL	54	52¢	$28	0x5f5c12…
05-28 12:40:19	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xee4222…
05-28 10:50:08	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xa7570e…
05-28 10:49:52	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xf3a37e…
05-28 10:49:52	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x3f1693…
05-28 07:16:20	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0xaf3628…
05-28 07:14:49	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0xddd14b…
05-28 07:03:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	40¢	$16	0xa4c5aa…
05-28 06:52:48	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0x15efc7…
04-07 11:26:27	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x477223…
04-05 19:13:33	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xe03561…
04-05 19:08:27	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xd95348…
04-03 13:24:39	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 540 559	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x08307c…
04-03 12:43:55	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 500 519	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3fd258…
04-03 06:40:17	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xc32ba7…