Vengeful-Incidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

490

lifetime

Volume

$8.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-29 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% — —

Other

31% 0% $-0

Politics

12% 0% $-0

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?	Yes		+10,000	$10	0¢	$10	+$0	06-29 05:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	3	$670	449	449	+0	open	—	02-18 14:19
will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	2	$646	339	339	+0	open	—	02-18 21:19
will jd vance clap 100 times or more during the state of the union	4	$325	264	264	+0	open	—	02-25 03:36
btc updown 5m 1770981000	7	$278	393	389	+4	open	—	02-13 11:13
btc updown 5m 1770992700	3	$278	301	193	+108	open	—	02-13 14:26
btc updown 5m 1770993600	2	$248	200	197	+3	open	—	02-13 14:41
will george santos attend the 2026 state of the union address	2	$228	273	273	+0	open	—	02-25 00:26
btc updown 5m 1770982200	2	$226	196	193	+3	open	—	02-13 11:30
btc updown 5m 1770995100	4	$205	166	160	+6	open	—	02-13 15:07
btc updown 5m 1770994500	4	$179	158	156	+2	open	—	02-13 14:58
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	2	$164	84	84	+0	open	—	02-26 13:41
btc updown 5m 1770993000	4	$153	225	224	+2	open	—	02-13 14:33
will jd vance clap between 7079 times during the state of the union	2	$149	1,209	1,206	+3	open	—	02-25 02:10
btc updown 5m 1770992400	3	$131	197	194	+3	open	—	02-13 14:23
btc updown 5m 1770994200	4	$128	118	116	+2	open	—	02-13 14:52
btc updown 5m 1770981600	2	$119	98	96	+2	open	—	02-13 11:22
btc updown 5m 1770981300	2	$115	143	141	+2	open	—	02-13 11:17
btc updown 5m 1770980100	2	$115	98	96	+2	open	—	02-13 10:56
btc updown 5m 1770980700	4	$114	187	184	+2	open	—	02-13 11:08
btc updown 5m 1771031100	7	$113	125	98	+28	open	—	02-14 01:09
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	11	$110	76	76	+0	open	—	03-13 15:33
btc updown 5m 1771014900	2	$101	65	64	+1	open	—	02-13 20:38
btc updown 5m 1770993900	1	$100	306	0	+306	open	—	02-13 14:45
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	6	$91	46,668	0	+46,668	open	—	03-08 21:17
btc updown 5m 1771037100	2	$77	109	108	+2	open	—	02-14 02:49
btc updown 5m 1771012800	4	$75	69	68	+1	open	—	02-13 20:02
btc updown 5m 1771029900	7	$71	65	64	+1	open	—	02-14 00:50
btc updown 5m 1770939000	3	$71	71	70	+1	open	—	02-12 23:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	04-06 08:32
btc updown 5m 1771007700	5	$61	91	90	+1	open	—	02-13 18:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 05:43:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xbcbc62…
06-08 07:32:01	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	7,102	0¢	$10	0x30c9b0…
05-13 22:17:26	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x69ffcf…
04-23 23:55:50	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x8f9a33…
04-20 02:14:24	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x7a3c47…
04-19 00:17:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xbbac31…
04-18 23:52:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb161e0…
04-13 16:07:49	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x8875a9…
04-12 10:56:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4d7055…
04-10 18:24:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x270d52…
04-10 09:27:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	7,690	0¢	$8	0xe4bd16…
04-07 23:57:55	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x34f193…
04-07 07:58:51	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa74c11…
04-06 16:23:37	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 215 239	Yes	BUY	8,500	0¢	$8	0x89c2ec…
04-06 15:17:19	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2 259	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x99b0f2…
04-06 08:33:59	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 240plus	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xd6acb4…
04-06 08:32:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xb41639…
04-06 06:58:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xbd2f47…
04-05 19:29:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	19	50¢	$9	0x7d2435…
04-05 08:37:15	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x61dcc4…
04-05 08:34:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x26fda6…
04-05 07:33:49	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x64feab…
04-05 04:45:47	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 120 139	Yes	SELL	2,375	0¢	$4	0x99c087…
04-05 03:50:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x201ce5…
04-04 20:18:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xb69ae5…
04-04 08:52:27	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 120 139	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x55caff…
04-04 08:51:01	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x12b824…
04-04 05:03:25	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe49fe7…
04-04 04:40:53	btc updown 5m 1775277300	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf9524a…
04-04 04:39:25	btc updown 5m 1775277300	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x31a668…
04-04 04:39:19	btc updown 5m 1775277300	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x13cd9a…
04-04 04:39:13	btc updown 5m 1775277300	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x859868…
04-03 19:27:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x3f5e77…
04-03 04:13:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x507c7f…
04-03 00:59:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x57c5cd…
04-02 22:41:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x36cb4c…
04-01 18:12:23	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdc0320…
04-01 17:54:09	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb8ae71…
04-01 14:00:25	googl above 250 on april 3 2026	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x72bf9d…
04-01 14:00:13	googl above 250 on april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x749e06…
04-01 06:28:13	bitboy convicted	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x97a22b…
04-01 04:55:21	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x440447…
04-01 04:00:29	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3ad41a…
04-01 03:02:37	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0087f9…
04-01 02:57:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$20	0xb5571e…
04-01 02:57:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x757e09…
04-01 00:47:55	will jeff bezos be 3rd richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0634fe…
03-31 16:40:31	will jeff bezos be 3rd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9ee6bd…
03-27 01:05:17	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 23	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xb2afef…
03-25 12:12:29	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 23	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x7ff745…
03-24 04:32:31	btc updown 5m 1774326600	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x8d5529…
03-24 00:27:47	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xe427f5…
03-22 15:32:21	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x532b66…
03-22 01:10:21	X Money released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	62¢	$18	0x668de1…
03-22 01:06:15	X Money released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x6c5615…
03-22 01:02:47	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0xad843b…
03-21 00:47:03	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xfabce0…
03-20 16:49:51	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xe81ea4…
03-17 19:02:35	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd54bdb…
03-14 13:30:53	X Money released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4b44a1…
03-14 06:53:17	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	21	93¢	$19	0x91d808…
03-14 05:48:03	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x43f011…
03-13 22:06:37	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x5706a8…
03-13 16:41:35	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 13	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0xbbaa0b…
03-13 16:41:29	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x53ffb2…
03-13 16:20:19	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x2fd4ed…
03-13 16:19:05	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 13	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0xddd525…
03-13 15:34:03	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x5087ca…
03-13 15:33:45	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x0c73ad…
03-12 15:36:23	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xc1832b…
03-12 15:35:31	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc50621…
03-12 15:30:05	will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x9e1901…
03-12 15:29:29	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xd5c695…
03-12 15:29:13	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xdf803b…
03-12 13:18:19	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xbd52cf…
03-12 13:18:07	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x6ff5fd…
03-12 13:17:07	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x1a839c…
03-12 13:16:51	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	42	25¢	$10	0xf67a27…
03-12 09:14:35	will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x216686…
03-12 09:14:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xba783c…
03-12 08:17:31	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x8b60c0…
03-12 07:34:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf5d3c5…
03-12 07:31:47	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x56f449…
03-12 07:31:43	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 60 61f	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x71355d…
03-12 07:31:37	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xd40f06…
03-12 06:41:27	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x3fa874…
03-12 06:39:51	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x84e203…
03-12 06:39:03	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x09bcbf…
03-12 06:38:55	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xc57436…
03-12 06:37:05	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7177c6…
03-12 06:36:15	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x874628…
03-12 06:20:41	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	13	72¢	$10	0x9e18a1…
03-12 06:20:41	chatgpt outage by march 15	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x20ec97…
03-12 05:39:59	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x0d9a74…
03-12 05:11:21	chatgpt outage by march 15	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc0c935…
03-12 04:29:37	chatgpt outage by march 15	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xdc42f7…
03-12 04:27:19	eth updown 15m 1773288900	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x149ff5…
03-12 04:26:53	eth updown 15m 1773288900	Up	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0x1ce257…
03-12 04:26:15	eth updown 15m 1773288900	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd43570…
03-12 04:26:07	eth updown 15m 1773288900	Up	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x0ad99b…