Flat-Disconnection-Ellipse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$488

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-05 13:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$48	46	46	+0	Up	+$8	05-12 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$36	47	47	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	5	$28	78	28	+50	Up	$-2	05-12 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$25	29	29	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$23	196	196	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$21	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	6	$21	21	21	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$21	15	15	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	5	$18	28	25	+3	Down	+$2	05-12 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$16	511	11	+500	Up	$-4	05-12 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$16	33	33	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$15	21	10	+10	Down	$-4	05-12 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$14	18	18	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$14	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$11	29	22	+7	Up	$-1	05-12 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$11	17	8	+8	Down	$-0	05-12 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$10	20	6	+14	Down	$-4	05-12 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$10	103	103	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$6	41	5	+36	Up	$-0	05-12 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-12 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Down	$-5	05-12 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	$-5	05-12 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$5	45	0	+45	Down	$-5	05-12 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$5	22	0	+22	Up	$-5	05-12 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-12 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	22	0	+22	Down	$-5	05-12 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:36:46	btc updown 5m 1780666500	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6da345…
06-05 13:36:30	btc updown 5m 1780666500	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xd6636d…
06-05 13:36:00	btc updown 5m 1780666500	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb4aa0c…
06-05 13:33:28	btc updown 5m 1780666200	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf3203f…
05-26 14:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7794ce…
05-26 14:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcc90b8…
05-24 09:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x43b052…
05-24 09:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xcac866…
05-24 09:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x81a972…
05-14 12:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0fbf1f…
05-14 12:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa5b0dc…
05-14 11:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x85aa11…
05-14 11:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3a0649…
05-14 11:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x08574e…
05-13 10:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0xb09f36…
05-13 10:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9550f2…
05-13 10:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1bac0a…
05-13 10:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x82a01a…
05-13 10:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0ec2d6…
05-12 22:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x1356f5…
05-12 20:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0x52c438…
05-12 20:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8a901c…
05-12 20:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xaa7e6d…
05-12 20:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x0e7027…
05-12 20:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf4fc98…
05-12 20:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x06a3e2…
05-12 20:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x96899b…
05-12 20:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x1ab1ee…
05-12 20:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1943d3…
05-12 17:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0xbbc39b…
05-12 17:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x9b1103…
05-12 17:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xad76f6…
05-12 17:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	22	24¢	$5	0xc7af4b…
05-12 17:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xb8491f…
05-12 15:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	167	4¢	$7	0x337365…
05-12 15:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x5fc728…
05-12 15:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0xe6260f…
05-12 15:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa0adc9…
05-12 15:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	33	32¢	$11	0xdeeda8…
05-12 15:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8b3454…
05-12 14:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x16efcc…
05-12 14:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xff19a6…
05-12 14:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x3662b5…
05-12 14:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x86a030…
05-12 13:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xda4117…
05-12 13:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x0f3667…
05-12 13:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4a9f1f…
05-12 13:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x2a7c4a…
05-12 13:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x18eb9d…
05-12 13:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xae0a59…
05-12 13:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x9ab2ff…
05-12 13:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa43e6e…
05-12 13:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1c4cdd…
05-12 12:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xd5cacc…
05-12 12:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf9553b…
05-12 12:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0x0ba720…
05-12 12:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x0d6cb0…
05-12 12:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe5d4d3…
05-12 12:45:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1708a4…
05-12 12:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x5bd12a…
05-12 12:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xbe5c1d…
05-12 12:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x00802a…
05-12 12:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x10d351…
05-12 12:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x513588…
05-12 12:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x87d74c…
05-12 12:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x462022…
05-12 12:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x72b475…
05-12 12:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x70d813…
05-12 12:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4291ac…
05-12 12:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0xb98bab…
05-12 12:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x1bf63d…
05-12 11:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xd5abe2…
05-12 11:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6f9a6e…
05-12 11:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	56¢	$14	0x4a0619…
05-12 11:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1cf3ce…
05-12 11:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xaa2bba…
05-12 11:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeac11c…
05-12 11:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x8e978d…
05-12 11:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9aafde…
05-12 11:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x65be46…
05-12 11:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x38411c…
05-12 11:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc1a003…
05-12 11:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xeb0dc6…
05-12 11:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xf8d2e5…
05-12 11:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1ae23b…
05-12 11:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x824dbd…
05-12 11:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xea28f5…
05-12 11:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb9a88f…
05-12 11:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x832bbe…
05-12 11:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xe809ad…
05-12 11:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbaccd9…
05-12 11:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x3bfdc0…
05-12 11:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x828ec9…
05-12 11:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x7fa2c0…
05-12 11:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x12ada3…
05-12 11:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4d94ec…
05-12 11:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0f17f9…
05-12 11:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	95¢	$15	0x80c418…
05-12 11:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x20209d…
05-12 10:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x8c4be3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	59	$61.7K	2,384	06-05 13:36
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	59	$44.1K	6,622	06-05 13:37
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	59	$15.9K	2,095	06-05 13:37
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	59	$15.3K	3,853	06-05 13:37
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	59	$14.5K	3,557	06-05 13:37
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	59	$13.7K	529	06-05 13:37
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	59	$13.0K	1,689	06-05 13:37
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	58	$18.9K	1,077	06-05 13:35