Fortunate-Manacle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$155

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-27 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-1

Sports

42% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$1.0K	527	527	+0	open	—	03-26 07:56
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$770	386	386	+0	No	$-0	04-05 21:52
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$662	332	332	+0	open	—	03-31 09:58
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$542	271	271	+0	open	—	02-15 21:39
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$524	262	262	+0	open	—	02-11 09:15
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$510	256	256	+0	open	—	02-14 23:38
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$498	250	250	+0	open	—	02-09 23:13
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$481	241	241	+0	open	—	02-12 09:05
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$464	232	232	+0	open	—	02-24 22:47
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 560 579	2	$460	230	230	+0	open	—	03-02 13:04
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$404	203	203	+0	No	$-0	04-04 00:17
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$396	198	198	+0	open	—	03-03 12:52
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$388	194	194	+0	No	$-0	03-24 10:36
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$383	192	192	+0	open	—	04-06 18:17
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$380	190	190	+0	open	—	03-27 09:53
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$380	190	190	+0	open	—	03-06 03:23
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$374	187	187	+0	open	—	03-14 02:01
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$360	181	181	+0	open	—	04-11 20:37
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	4	$354	177	177	+0	open	—	03-28 04:38
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$354	177	177	+0	open	—	03-17 18:22
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	2	$346	173	173	+0	open	—	03-15 21:32
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$346	173	173	+0	open	—	04-10 12:19
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$344	173	173	+0	No	$-0	04-01 12:23
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	2	$338	169	169	+0	open	—	03-12 06:22
Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$328	164	164	+0	open	—	04-27 20:15
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$328	165	165	+0	open	—	03-30 13:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$326	163	163	+0	open	—	04-21 11:06
will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$316	158	158	+0	open	—	04-07 18:35
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$314	157	157	+0	open	—	03-25 05:48
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$302	151	151	+0	No	$-0	04-13 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-27 20:15:46	Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0x8e4eb2…
04-27 14:05:32	Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x13b9d0…
04-21 11:06:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x14b8a5…
04-21 10:04:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x6a2e59…
04-18 11:28:08	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0x598b68…
04-18 10:07:32	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x59a8fe…
04-13 17:55:51	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0xf707c3…
04-13 11:31:15	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xacb54e…
04-11 20:37:37	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	181	99¢	$180	0x34ba7e…
04-10 16:46:35	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0x6579c9…
04-10 12:19:33	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x42c1d9…
04-10 08:40:01	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x0d82a3…
04-07 18:35:03	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0xacb84c…
04-07 06:31:37	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x18d6c4…
04-06 18:17:47	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0xd399d5…
04-06 14:32:35	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x035b19…
04-06 14:29:53	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x1d810f…
04-05 21:52:01	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0x71d0a5…
04-05 15:18:01	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0xbec866…
04-04 00:17:43	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$202	0x70e1cd…
04-03 22:50:27	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0x511ae1…
04-01 12:23:37	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$172	0xdcbcc8…
04-01 08:01:23	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x1f8c3e…
03-31 14:00:15	will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x1727e0…
03-31 09:58:31	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0x51bbd1…
03-31 02:51:51	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0xb28571…
03-30 13:46:25	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$164	0x5f026b…
03-30 13:16:44	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$164	0x157323…
03-30 00:47:18	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x7606b5…
03-29 20:35:30	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x7ba926…
03-29 03:57:54	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$187	0x74f8e4…
03-28 22:53:36	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$187	0xc821e8…
03-28 04:38:35	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x569270…
03-28 04:33:35	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6a76dd…
03-28 04:33:09	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x6e3001…
03-28 00:14:35	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x06bf04…
03-27 09:53:07	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x296e14…
03-27 03:26:35	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x2196c8…
03-26 07:56:19	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	171	100¢	$170	0xffba59…
03-26 01:26:43	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0xa2339f…
03-25 12:10:51	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	192	100¢	$191	0x5171fd…
03-25 06:34:35	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x0efcad…
03-25 06:02:43	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x0b40a6…
03-25 05:48:29	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0xaba3b5…
03-24 23:22:13	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x87bcb0…
03-24 17:07:45	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0x41912d…
03-24 10:36:59	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x12c4c9…
03-24 10:36:31	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0xc0d2db…
03-24 04:08:13	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x7feb20…
03-21 07:31:13	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x364d8d…
03-19 17:13:49	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0xa1ef58…
03-17 18:22:51	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x628446…
03-17 10:38:33	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x7fa06a…
03-15 21:32:31	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x0e3b66…
03-15 13:50:25	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0xaa58e8…
03-15 13:50:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xfa5634…
03-15 06:14:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x4b6b0d…
03-14 02:01:03	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0xc55f1d…
03-13 19:18:11	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xde4df8…
03-12 20:19:05	nba mil mia 2026 03 12	Heat	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0x4746b0…
03-12 06:22:33	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x4ef7c3…
03-11 23:38:01	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x7a4c49…
03-09 00:20:03	nba cha phx 2026 03 08	Hornets	BUY	53	64¢	$34	0x8887b2…
03-09 00:19:39	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Trail Blazers	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xaa84dc…
03-09 00:19:07	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Bulls	BUY	52	62¢	$32	0x86c18a…
03-06 03:23:23	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x6d2d2a…
03-05 20:38:57	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x31e802…
03-04 20:54:27	nba ind lac 2026 03 04	Clippers	BUY	44	87¢	$38	0x5111a7…
03-04 14:01:43	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0xb10547…
03-04 06:56:17	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x0b0c55…
03-03 18:14:45	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Suns	BUY	41	77¢	$32	0xb2e382…
03-03 18:14:17	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	52	44¢	$23	0x641563…
03-03 12:52:27	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Suns	BUY	33	80¢	$26	0xc12ab8…
03-03 12:52:07	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0x441d30…
03-03 04:34:57	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x4dac07…
03-02 13:04:37	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 560 579	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0xd64d8d…
03-02 06:26:05	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 560 579	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x279712…
02-26 16:36:30	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0x578bfd…
02-25 21:12:22	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xee53e8…
02-25 21:12:02	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x20ad85…
02-25 21:11:38	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc0730…
02-24 22:47:26	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	232	100¢	$232	0xdac31c…
02-24 13:25:18	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0xa74df7…
02-22 14:46:16	nba nyk chi 2026 02 22	Knicks	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0xfd5e91…
02-22 14:45:44	nba por phx 2026 02 22	Suns	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x6163a7…
02-22 03:19:00	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0x7e386d…
02-15 21:39:53	Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	271	100¢	$271	0x29a8b0…
02-14 23:39:11	Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0x39c2d3…
02-14 23:38:53	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$255	0xa5b437…
02-14 16:01:59	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0x386ad3…
02-12 09:05:13	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	241	100¢	$240	0x4f487c…
02-12 02:40:03	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x82c5c6…
02-11 09:15:57	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	262	100¢	$262	0xedc8c6…
02-10 21:28:43	Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	262	100¢	$262	0xe2a280…
02-09 23:13:37	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0x7f9f7a…
02-09 21:22:39	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x25a2cd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	39	$4.66K	6,819	04-27 02:25
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	34	$18.8K	540	04-27 23:42
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	32	$2.64M	44,892	04-28 09:54
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	32	$666.8K	41,516	04-09 19:47
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	32	$270.5K	8,060	04-27 18:23
Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a	32	$132.2K	3,030	04-28 05:36
Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6	32	$72.3K	1,552	04-24 10:49
(anonymous) 0x4df7…522d	32	$64.4K	686	03-25 00:48