Graceful-Guilt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$740

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$53

1 position

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-02 11:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-20

Politics

29% 0% $-49

Crypto

26% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No		-57	$-47	94¢	$-53	$-7	05-28 06:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$97	60	60	+0	open	—	05-28 09:25
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch	2	$96	75	75	+0	open	—	05-29 09:02
will trump praise lionel messi by june 30	2	$93	58	58	+0	open	—	06-05 18:53
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	5	$90	69	69	+0	open	—	05-19 15:17
Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	3	$71	292	292	+0	open	—	05-16 19:09
Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$60	50	50	+0	No	$-20	04-30 17:04
will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt9b	2	$56	81	81	+0	open	—	06-08 10:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of April 27 2026?	2	$51	63	63	+0	open	—	04-27 08:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$49	49,400	0	+49,400	Yes	$-49	05-09 18:34
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	1	$47	0	57	-57	open	—	05-28 06:22
over 6m committed to the squid public sale	1	$30	44	0	+44	open	—	07-02 11:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 11:57:20	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xcc8fb1…
06-08 10:03:01	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt9b	No	SELL	81	23¢	$18	0x5de60f…
06-08 06:30:13	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt9b	No	BUY	81	47¢	$38	0x47da57…
06-05 18:53:03	will trump praise lionel messi by june 30	No	SELL	58	80¢	$46	0x9a61d7…
06-05 18:50:25	will trump praise lionel messi by june 30	No	BUY	58	81¢	$47	0xbc3f1f…
05-29 09:02:59	GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch	Yes	SELL	75	61¢	$46	0xad4482…
05-29 08:38:50	GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x5cc1c6…
05-28 09:25:19	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x3984ca…
05-28 09:24:16	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	78¢	$47	0x9b10d3…
05-28 09:13:49	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xcb9e2c…
05-28 06:22:12	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	57	82¢	$47	0x7a3d00…
05-19 15:17:53	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	69	65¢	$45	0x7129b2…
05-18 21:35:14	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	27	65¢	$18	0x76afd9…
05-18 20:48:55	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x1f12bd…
05-18 20:04:23	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3f25a3…
05-18 19:50:09	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x55b20c…
05-16 19:09:45	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	SELL	292	11¢	$33	0xaeb9a1…
05-16 19:03:16	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	267	13¢	$35	0x59068d…
05-16 18:55:22	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xf221d5…
05-09 18:34:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39,900	0¢	$40	0x9c8892…
05-09 18:21:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9,500	0¢	$10	0xaa9434…
04-30 17:04:24	Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x98b128…
04-30 17:04:00	Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x37da24…
04-27 08:16:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	37¢	$23	0xf19ef7…
04-27 08:10:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	44¢	$28	0xda612b…