Failing-Age — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.6%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$5.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-27 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

45% — —

Other

39% 17% $-0

Crypto

10% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	10	$284	142	142	+0	No	$-0	04-21 06:21
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	02-14 22:19
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$218	109	109	+0	open	—	03-03 13:16
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	03-03 03:54
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	02-27 13:15
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	02-11 21:06
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	02-24 10:48
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$186	93	93	+0	open	—	04-06 17:24
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	02-14 12:55
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	03-02 07:41
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$174	87	87	+0	open	—	03-02 01:13
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	02-12 21:05
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	03-04 18:54
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	4	$142	71	71	+0	No	$-0	04-18 05:21
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$130	65	65	+0	open	—	04-05 12:04
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	4	$130	65	65	+0	open	—	04-22 13:46
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	4	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	03-19 12:21
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	4	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	04-18 15:03
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$112	56	56	+0	open	—	03-05 02:37
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	03-15 23:33
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	04-27 13:54
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	03-21 01:52
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	04-14 04:32
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	04-13 06:49
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	04-17 23:21
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	03-14 11:52
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	03-25 03:16
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$-0	04-16 10:57
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	03-27 20:30
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	04-17 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-27 13:54:02	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x9a099b…
04-27 07:18:24	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x7352f3…
04-24 10:11:36	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6cc354…
04-24 04:27:14	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5143f5…
04-22 13:46:34	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x66ab40…
04-22 10:37:36	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x3fe65d…
04-21 06:21:56	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1ddd16…
04-21 00:10:14	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x555dac…
04-19 12:13:28	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x902d8c…
04-19 08:58:34	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x204356…
04-18 15:03:16	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x188fac…
04-18 12:42:06	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x584888…
04-18 05:21:22	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x8e348f…
04-18 01:43:04	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x0205a0…
04-17 23:21:44	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x2f1dbb…
04-17 15:29:42	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xdc9c92…
04-17 10:41:46	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xe95ad9…
04-17 07:58:36	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2d0a41…
04-16 10:57:34	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x0be1b6…
04-16 08:19:24	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3ced90…
04-14 07:51:23	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x602c84…
04-14 04:33:03	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7c579c…
04-14 04:32:47	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x5e8c4c…
04-13 23:01:25	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x152f19…
04-13 06:49:35	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x09f47a…
04-13 04:26:11	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xdc1c13…
04-06 21:03:15	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xc3d0b1…
04-06 17:24:37	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf8f019…
04-06 17:24:19	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xa912f8…
04-06 13:26:53	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x27b5f8…
04-06 00:56:29	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xa10398…
04-05 22:15:33	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe6c3ef…
04-05 12:04:51	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x5288da…
04-05 05:00:45	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x4d6abe…
04-04 21:12:29	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xe5b4c7…
04-04 20:02:41	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x873b31…
04-03 15:03:55	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x29f797…
04-03 12:12:57	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0f0b9e…
04-02 13:15:19	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x471d9b…
04-02 10:40:51	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xfa70c4…
04-02 03:23:33	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x01f50f…
04-01 21:48:15	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x23d7dc…
04-01 08:30:25	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x4bc575…
04-01 01:36:33	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xefd2c6…
04-01 01:36:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf3d1dc…
03-31 21:22:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe64f25…
03-31 11:35:31	will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4956e9…
03-30 23:11:21	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x638a64…
03-30 19:01:59	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x867f61…
03-30 06:39:52	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xcdd386…
03-30 02:27:28	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xece7ed…
03-29 18:06:22	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xd627ac…
03-29 13:49:50	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe758d4…
03-28 07:41:41	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf2b107…
03-28 04:42:57	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x19e153…
03-27 20:30:15	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xa98090…
03-27 16:40:23	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x7ab99e…
03-26 22:22:03	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xb0e71a…
03-26 16:12:43	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7f0c22…
03-25 03:16:49	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xc4c8e1…
03-24 21:03:55	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xfa785e…
03-24 14:55:05	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x234d7b…
03-24 08:47:09	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x20f22a…
03-24 02:42:51	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x05d68d…
03-23 20:37:27	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x239eff…
03-23 08:26:49	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb257bf…
03-23 02:24:19	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2912e2…
03-23 02:23:59	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x940d54…
03-22 20:21:47	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xcc3139…
03-22 14:19:39	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xeced89…
03-22 08:15:53	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x392190…
03-21 01:52:17	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x6619ca…
03-20 19:38:01	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xbe7ba0…
03-19 12:21:47	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xf02d6c…
03-19 06:16:19	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc3957d…
03-19 00:10:45	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x9819c7…
03-18 18:07:27	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6b1fec…
03-18 12:00:07	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x108981…
03-18 06:01:41	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x410a6b…
03-16 17:33:13	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x60cfc5…
03-16 11:30:09	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xef207d…
03-15 23:33:29	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x379462…
03-15 17:34:19	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x38a8c5…
03-14 11:52:43	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xf5705c…
03-14 05:59:21	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x4f6e30…
03-14 00:57:21	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x9db2ec…
03-14 00:06:59	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x549166…
03-13 18:17:25	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe2c4e9…
03-13 09:49:43	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x734579…
03-12 21:39:31	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Thunder	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0xedb813…
03-12 14:32:57	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x48902f…
03-12 07:26:39	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x76a840…
03-12 01:37:33	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x2e4acf…
03-11 19:36:29	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf99811…
03-10 17:49:43	nba bos sas 2026 03 10	Celtics	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xfef461…
03-10 17:49:11	nba tor hou 2026 03 10	Raptors	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0x40f3d8…
03-08 20:26:43	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Kings	BUY	50	47¢	$23	0x98d927…
03-07 13:58:25	will ethereum dip to 1400 march 2 8	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x00baaa…
03-06 09:18:57	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x7eb2fc…
03-06 03:07:01	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x274f49…