Jagged-Ellipse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$87

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-15 22:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 57% +$4

Politics

24% — —

Other

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	05-12 00:35
will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	2	$15	27	27	+0	open	—	07-15 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-09 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 11:35
will trump say ukraine during speech to the nation 20260714024924416	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	07-15 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	$-5	05-08 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-09 05:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	2	$2	12	12	+0	open	—	05-13 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-08 08:01
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	$-1	05-06 05:08
will trump post ayatollah or khamenei on truth social this week 758	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-22 17:31
ethereum above 2000 on march 23	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-22 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 22:50:29	will trump say ukraine during speech to the nation 20260714024924416	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9f48c2…
07-15 22:44:07	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	Yes	SELL	27	22¢	$6	0xfee7c7…
07-15 00:36:29	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	Yes	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x8357ae…
05-13 09:45:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x538a6f…
05-12 00:35:11	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x507643…
05-09 06:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x471691…
05-09 05:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2ad34f…
05-08 11:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x71eaae…
05-08 11:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xacfba7…
05-08 11:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa551ca…
05-08 11:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xfecbd7…
05-08 11:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1e877b…
05-08 08:18:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfc61cb…
05-08 08:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2e6641…
05-06 05:08:22	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb0007e…
03-22 17:31:37	will trump post ayatollah or khamenei on truth social this week 758	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc29943…
03-22 17:25:03	ethereum above 2000 on march 23	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe1e7d4…