Productive-Threshold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$326

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-12 05:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

62% — —

Other

24% — —

Politics

13% 0% $-6

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774778700	4	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	03-29 10:10
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	2	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	03-17 21:56
will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	4	$14	17	17	+0	open	—	03-25 10:46
btc updown 5m 1773859800	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-18 18:54
btc updown 5m 1773825300	2	$13	12	11	+0	open	—	03-18 09:18
btc updown 5m 1781242800	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	06-12 05:45
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$12	162	162	+0	open	—	03-19 15:41
bitcoin above 70k on march 20	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	03-20 15:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-02 06:54
btc updown 5m 1774083300	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-21 09:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	03-18 18:48
Will Bitcoin hit $70,000 or $73,000 first?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-19 10:27
btc updown 5m 1774083000	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-21 08:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 20	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	03-20 14:31
btc updown 5m 1774082400	2	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	03-21 08:44
btc updown 5m 1773832500	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 11:20
btc updown 5m 1773837600	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 12:45
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-08 08:45
btc updown 5m 1774083600	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-21 09:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	3	$6	16	16	+0	open	—	04-08 08:44
btc updown 5m 1773848400	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 15:45
btc updown 5m 1773825600	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 09:25
btc updown 5m 1773848700	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 15:50
btc updown 5m 1773913800	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-19 09:55
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-11 10:29
btc updown 5m 1774779000	1	$5	37	0	+37	open	—	03-29 10:15
btc updown 5m 1773835200	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 12:04
btc updown 5m 1774082700	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-21 08:49
btc updown 5m 1773825000	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 09:13
btc updown 5m 1773824700	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 05:45:25	btc updown 5m 1781242800	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x7d7da2…
06-12 05:44:34	btc updown 5m 1781242800	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9ef96c…
05-16 11:30:08	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x6515ea…
05-14 03:58:59	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x724dda…
05-14 03:57:59	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x999bc9…
05-11 19:54:43	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x677b53…
05-11 10:30:09	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc3e8b6…
05-11 10:29:30	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5894ad…
05-11 10:22:51	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa03117…
05-01 08:07:48	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xa8010a…
04-29 16:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xc49a8d…
04-29 16:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5663db…
04-29 16:00:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6bda47…
04-08 08:45:21	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x567732…
04-08 08:44:59	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0x5a2aca…
04-08 04:56:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6502c2…
04-07 11:45:25	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xacb5b5…
04-05 07:16:35	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x48fa2e…
04-05 07:15:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xefc3a4…
04-05 07:14:29	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x841d53…
04-02 06:54:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1bcb75…
03-29 10:15:02	btc updown 5m 1774779000	Down	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x6b51db…
03-29 10:10:10	btc updown 5m 1774778700	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xb3dd66…
03-29 10:09:56	btc updown 5m 1774778700	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd4a84b…
03-29 10:08:52	btc updown 5m 1774778700	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfd3658…
03-29 10:08:04	btc updown 5m 1774778700	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x4e5825…
03-27 19:09:15	will kanye release bully by march 27	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x5d450e…
03-27 19:07:57	atp lehecka fils 2026 03 27	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xad4e48…
03-25 14:45:41	btc updown 5m 1774449900	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x90625e…
03-25 10:46:43	will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	No	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x251938…
03-22 12:33:47	btc updown 5m 1774182600	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x174268…
03-22 12:32:51	btc updown 5m 1774182600	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1a40cc…
03-22 12:30:57	btc updown 5m 1774182600	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe8d0d5…
03-22 12:23:33	btc updown 5m 1774182000	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0f0390…
03-22 12:22:41	btc updown 5m 1774182000	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa37ddf…
03-21 11:03:37	will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa0e59a…
03-21 11:00:15	will mrbeast say subscribe during his next video 268	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x503895…
03-21 10:59:25	will mrbeast hit 115 billion views by march 31	No	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x650285…
03-21 10:59:23	will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	No	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x7d7549…
03-21 10:55:25	will mrbeast hit 115 billion views by march 31	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x4e78b6…
03-21 09:06:35	will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x51862d…
03-21 09:02:39	btc updown 5m 1774083600	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x64153f…
03-21 09:00:57	btc updown 5m 1774083600	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x363bfb…
03-21 09:00:41	btc updown 5m 1774083300	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9df77f…
03-21 08:59:45	btc updown 5m 1774083300	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe36d69…
03-21 08:55:11	btc updown 5m 1774083000	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa06ea0…
03-21 08:51:27	btc updown 5m 1774083000	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3ea267…
03-21 08:50:33	btc updown 5m 1774083000	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfac266…
03-21 08:49:05	btc updown 5m 1774082700	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x32353a…
03-21 08:47:19	btc updown 5m 1774082700	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x818cc6…
03-21 08:44:45	btc updown 5m 1774082400	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe7f378…
03-21 08:40:59	btc updown 5m 1774082400	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x43b48f…
03-20 15:10:39	bitcoin above 70k on march 20	No	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x770dc4…
03-20 14:33:09	bitcoin above 70k on march 20	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x2c1ef6…
03-20 14:31:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 20	Yes	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x56e8d7…
03-20 06:17:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xd03e00…
03-19 15:42:11	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x4158ca…
03-19 15:41:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	162	3¢	$6	0xf1af2f…
03-19 10:27:33	Will Bitcoin hit $70,000 or $73,000 first?	$70,000	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7cb6f7…
03-19 10:11:59	btc updown 5m 1773915000	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdd00de…
03-19 09:55:05	btc updown 5m 1773913800	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x333726…
03-19 09:50:39	btc updown 5m 1773913800	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd5f3b2…
03-19 06:20:59	Will Bitcoin hit $70,000 or $73,000 first?	$70,000	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x928115…
03-18 18:54:41	btc updown 5m 1773859800	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xad4c35…
03-18 18:50:59	btc updown 5m 1773859800	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xac05c6…
03-18 18:48:11	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0xa4ec56…
03-18 15:50:13	btc updown 5m 1773848700	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfcad15…
03-18 15:48:01	btc updown 5m 1773848700	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xcd2dde…
03-18 15:45:11	btc updown 5m 1773848400	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1610c2…
03-18 15:43:41	btc updown 5m 1773848400	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa5ffb7…
03-18 15:20:25	btc updown 5m 1773847200	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5e71af…
03-18 12:45:19	btc updown 5m 1773837600	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb0544b…
03-18 12:43:53	btc updown 5m 1773837600	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x2a406d…
03-18 12:04:29	btc updown 5m 1773835200	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x007c3e…
03-18 12:00:57	btc updown 5m 1773835200	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x20b999…
03-18 11:38:25	btc updown 5m 1773833700	Up	BUY	192	1¢	$1	0xb8ca0b…
03-18 11:35:37	btc updown 5m 1773833700	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1226c2…
03-18 11:20:11	btc updown 5m 1773832500	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe776fa…
03-18 11:16:47	btc updown 5m 1773832500	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x028ac3…
03-18 09:25:15	btc updown 5m 1773825600	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb165f2…
03-18 09:24:17	btc updown 5m 1773825600	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xed51fb…
03-18 09:18:59	btc updown 5m 1773825300	Up	SELL	11	68¢	$8	0x1a75eb…
03-18 09:15:25	btc updown 5m 1773825300	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x05ee46…
03-18 09:13:21	btc updown 5m 1773825000	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x44074e…
03-18 09:12:41	btc updown 5m 1773825000	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb1e9fe…
03-18 09:10:59	btc updown 5m 1773824700	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x043e0d…
03-18 09:09:01	btc updown 5m 1773824700	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6557f2…
03-18 08:53:43	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 draw	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x86d536…
03-18 08:42:31	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x090605…
03-17 21:56:23	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe9bafc…
03-17 17:13:17	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1fd48c…
03-17 17:12:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x3342f0…
03-17 13:29:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x1e238c…
03-17 08:06:01	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xe1b4a4…
03-16 20:55:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0xc37f86…