Confused-Stylus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

Trades

565

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-05 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$13

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$77	52	52	+0	Up	+$27	05-13 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2AM ET	2	$55	43	43	+0	open	—	05-01 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1PM ET	2	$54	40	40	+0	open	—	04-30 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	06-03 10:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	05-19 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	2	$28	45	45	+0	open	—	05-03 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	3	$28	17	16	+0	open	—	04-28 06:45
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 2pm et	3	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	Down	$-25	05-13 17:37
btc updown 15m 1775286900	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-04 07:26
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-26 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2AM ET	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10PM ET	3	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	04-27 02:41
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 10pm et	5	$14	14	13	+0	open	—	04-08 02:39
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 12pm et	4	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-02 16:40
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 3am et	4	$13	8	7	+0	open	—	04-04 07:45
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 12pm et	3	$12	12	2	+10	open	—	04-04 16:57
btc updown 5m 1774607700	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-27 10:36
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 12pm et	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-27 17:39
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 9am et	4	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-23 13:52
btc updown 15m 1774618200	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-27 13:36
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 8am et	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	03-25 12:56
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 11am et	4	$10	8	5	+2	open	—	03-27 15:58
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 10am et	4	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	03-28 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	5	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 09:43
will bitcoin dip to 68k on april 7	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 10:53
btc updown 5m 1780560600	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	06-04 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 02:34:00	btc updown 5m 1780626600	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xc3c36b…
06-05 02:29:48	btc updown 5m 1780626600	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x1ee2c9…
06-05 02:28:48	btc updown 5m 1780626300	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe12531…
06-05 02:23:22	btc updown 5m 1780626300	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe79bd5…
06-04 08:15:15	btc updown 5m 1780560900	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x55e45e…
06-04 08:14:13	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x200a8e…
06-04 08:09:24	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfa15cb…
06-03 10:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0x4f2fde…
06-03 10:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x22522a…
06-03 10:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x4eff55…
06-03 10:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x251bea…
06-03 07:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x6f1557…
06-03 07:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x90a46d…
06-03 07:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbb6bc8…
06-03 07:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6c2b81…
06-03 07:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0xd59248…
06-03 07:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x893567…
06-03 07:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xcab473…
06-03 07:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8823c0…
06-03 07:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x59dee7…
06-03 07:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfa207c…
06-03 06:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd4add9…
06-03 06:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x993f63…
06-03 06:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x22ca7e…
06-03 06:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x34e25f…
06-03 06:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x96c268…
06-03 06:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x56eee5…
06-03 06:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xd9fa1f…
06-03 06:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6a0cee…
06-01 15:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdacc43…
05-26 02:42:48	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6d0a21…
05-25 06:53:16	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x6db7ec…
05-25 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x786004…
05-25 06:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2dc44f…
05-25 05:39:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x26aec2…
05-25 05:36:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4d927b…
05-19 02:03:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xd042bf…
05-18 12:49:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x0bb10a…
05-16 17:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x89afe6…
05-16 10:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xc0eb23…
05-16 10:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x325869…
05-16 10:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe73d14…
05-16 10:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcb3b8e…
05-16 10:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0ebd4e…
05-16 07:30:34	hype updown 5m 1778916600	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc7f7cf…
05-16 07:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xac5d95…
05-16 07:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5e8ddb…
05-16 06:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9f1274…
05-16 06:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf3ec15…
05-15 17:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7c946f…
05-15 17:21:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x359688…
05-15 17:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xffdcaf…
05-15 17:17:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xfc4e33…
05-15 17:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x3a40d5…
05-15 17:16:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xba209e…
05-15 17:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5ec868…
05-15 17:12:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc14e91…
05-15 17:06:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1f58e4…
05-15 17:05:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x59de09…
05-15 08:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x20ba78…
05-15 08:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb90799…
05-15 07:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x64ec21…
05-15 07:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf512e6…
05-15 07:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x0d820b…
05-15 07:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xab7fd6…
05-15 07:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfb471c…
05-14 16:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x27cb46…
05-14 16:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x78f97f…
05-14 16:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x97d93c…
05-14 16:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb1adf9…
05-14 16:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa1cb6f…
05-14 16:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x959e8a…
05-14 15:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x3112f6…
05-14 14:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x567368…
05-14 14:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x53a589…
05-14 14:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x54a391…
05-14 14:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x8eb714…
05-14 14:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcd2832…
05-14 13:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x091173…
05-14 13:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcba630…
05-13 19:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbff90f…
05-13 19:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdbab71…
05-13 19:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x211073…
05-13 19:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd83695…
05-13 17:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x51cf7f…
05-13 17:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe1ccee…
05-13 17:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xff8e74…
05-13 17:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xcdda48…
05-13 17:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x1b9152…
05-13 17:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x778b31…
05-13 17:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x09c645…
05-13 16:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2edccc…
05-13 16:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2edf6c…
05-13 16:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xeeb312…
05-13 16:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x659f5c…
05-13 16:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x319f3b…
05-13 16:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x101bad…
05-13 16:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xd69fe4…
05-13 16:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8f0e43…
05-13 16:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x55e74e…