Growling-Promenade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$257

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-18 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

37% 100% +$7

Politics

31% 33% $-2

Tech

15% — —

Sports

13% 0% $-4

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	7	$18	27	27	+0	open	—	05-18 19:19
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	3	$16	15	15	+0	Yes	+$7	04-24 14:54
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	4	$16	45	45	+0	open	—	05-18 07:25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$14	37	37	+0	open	—	04-24 12:56
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$13	22	22	+0	open	—	04-24 12:14
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-28 05:34
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	2	$11	11	11	+0	Yes	+$3	04-24 12:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 12:20
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	2	$9	15	15	+0	open	—	04-24 13:41
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	2	$8	29	29	+0	open	—	05-18 13:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$8	28	28	+0	open	—	04-25 05:31
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	2	$8	16	16	+0	open	—	04-24 13:16
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	2	$7	62	56	+6	open	—	04-24 12:44
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$7	56	56	+0	open	—	04-24 13:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$7	10	9	+0	open	—	04-26 18:28
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$7	12	12	+0	open	—	04-24 17:24
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$7	13	13	+0	open	—	04-24 14:59
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$7	30	30	+0	open	—	04-24 20:46
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	3	$7	16	16	+0	open	—	04-25 05:31
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?	2	$6	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 14:58
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	4	$6	110	90	+20	No	$-2	04-24 12:43
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	2	$6	12	12	+0	open	—	04-24 14:42
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?	4	$6	133	100	+33	No	$-2	04-24 12:22
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	1	$4	19	0	+19	No	$-4	04-24 19:38
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?	2	$4	27	27	+0	open	—	04-24 14:58
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?	2	$3	48	40	+8	open	—	04-24 10:05
Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	2	$3	63	50	+13	open	—	04-24 12:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$3	77	50	+27	open	—	04-24 19:36
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$3	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 00:54
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	5	$3	26	26	+0	open	—	04-24 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 19:19:56	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	SELL	22	30¢	$6	0xc87073…
05-18 19:19:49	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xf707bf…
05-18 19:19:49	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xeecfdb…
05-18 19:19:49	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x1a32a6…
05-18 19:19:49	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x02cb4d…
05-18 16:45:43	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x83ed0c…
05-18 16:45:43	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3e714a…
05-18 13:37:41	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0xffd549…
05-18 13:35:40	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x761ae5…
05-18 07:25:38	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	8¢	$4	0x19e775…
05-18 07:07:21	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb7c7ce…
05-18 07:07:19	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xac390d…
05-18 07:07:19	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x201d70…
04-28 05:34:32	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x3fd464…
04-26 18:28:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x633fb8…
04-26 14:49:42	RC Celta de Vigo leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xed7bf1…
04-25 05:38:44	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x65e76a…
04-25 05:31:46	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xac2392…
04-25 05:31:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x562de2…
04-25 01:02:56	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0xa16eb4…
04-25 00:57:26	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x66e807…
04-25 00:56:56	Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	1¢	$1	0xfd6c84…
04-25 00:55:22	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x12c34c…
04-25 00:54:46	Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	1¢	$2	0xf8a8e6…
04-25 00:54:08	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x68043b…
04-25 00:54:06	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x641fcd…
04-25 00:52:46	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0xb17843…
04-24 20:46:24	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x84bfd9…
04-24 19:38:42	Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	19	24¢	$4	0x88db6d…
04-24 19:36:48	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x0bfb3b…
04-24 19:36:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x49426a…
04-24 19:35:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0x01693c…
04-24 17:24:36	Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x7a0e34…
04-24 14:59:10	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x7828e7…
04-24 14:58:06	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x35fbc4…
04-24 14:58:02	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x4158c5…
04-24 14:54:52	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xc7f934…
04-24 14:42:10	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xdab52c…
04-24 14:28:16	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	12	78¢	$10	0x15b1db…
04-24 13:53:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	11¢	$3	0xc09392…
04-24 13:46:28	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xf89395…
04-24 13:45:00	Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x45a36a…
04-24 13:41:00	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	No	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0xc6c7a5…
04-24 13:21:36	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	56	5¢	$3	0x8311b1…
04-24 13:16:10	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x692d22…
04-24 12:56:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xeccaf2…
04-24 12:56:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xc26fe9…
04-24 12:56:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x929b1d…
04-24 12:53:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xa9632f…
04-24 12:53:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xa6ee22…
04-24 12:44:56	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	56	5¢	$3	0x3b229a…
04-24 12:43:40	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x117613…
04-24 12:32:32	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x50e84f…
04-24 12:22:12	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x556741…
04-24 12:20:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	16¢	$5	0xbb1000…
04-24 12:20:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xee5f36…
04-24 12:20:08	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x0c6c02…
04-24 12:20:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x1921fd…
04-24 12:19:24	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xff865f…
04-24 12:18:50	Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x513f0d…
04-24 12:17:06	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x22ddd5…
04-24 12:15:02	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x3bb458…
04-24 12:15:00	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?	Yes	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0x1583b7…
04-24 12:14:56	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	22	39¢	$9	0xf3c8a2…
04-24 10:58:32	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0x5e81ca…
04-24 10:55:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x38a675…
04-24 10:50:36	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x048eff…
04-24 10:31:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xcc76ba…
04-24 10:30:02	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0xb2e8a5…
04-24 10:29:40	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x88d8b5…
04-24 10:10:30	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	No	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xcf62d0…
04-24 10:05:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x475ff1…
04-24 10:03:24	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xbe15c5…
04-24 10:02:52	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x40e166…
04-24 10:01:34	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x427817…
04-24 10:00:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	37	12¢	$4	0x6c9336…
04-24 09:51:00	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xb51704…
04-24 09:50:52	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	BUY	62	7¢	$4	0xe8d45d…
04-24 09:47:00	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x53ea16…
04-24 09:44:54	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd1e1d2…
04-24 09:43:30	Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x39d203…
04-24 09:43:24	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xa1914a…
04-24 09:39:54	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0x59a2da…
04-24 09:31:38	Will Meta reach $810 in April?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0xa4c880…
04-24 09:29:26	Will Meta reach $810 in April?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xe944bc…
04-24 09:28:18	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x73bb78…
04-24 09:28:16	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x043a47…
04-24 09:28:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xb68770…
04-24 09:28:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x6bf762…
04-24 09:27:28	btc updown 5m 1777022700	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x87ec6b…