Defiant-Plugin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$200

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-12 12:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

72% 67% +$3

Politics

28% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	5	$2.5K	1,293	1,292	+1	No	+$1	03-17 09:50
will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	6	$1.3K	1,186	1,186	+0	open	—	03-17 06:05
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1160 1199	6	$1.3K	1,691	1,691	+0	open	—	03-17 06:38
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$1.3K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	03-17 12:56
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	2	$1.3K	648	648	+0	open	—	03-16 15:00
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	6	$1.3K	716	714	+2	open	—	03-17 12:44
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	2	$1.3K	640	640	+0	open	—	03-16 10:47
will ivn arias win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	3	$1.2K	611	611	+0	open	—	03-17 07:23
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	3	$1.2K	638	638	+0	Yes	+$5	03-17 06:51
spl kha nsr 2026 03 14 spread away 2pt5	2	$184	256	0	+256	open	—	03-14 15:19
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	8	$131	1,166	1,166	+0	open	—	03-17 10:35
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	7	$111	1,319	1,319	+0	open	—	03-17 11:42
chi shp qin 2026 03 15 total 2pt5	1	$102	308	0	+308	open	—	03-14 14:43
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$40	482	482	+0	open	—	03-17 04:25
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$30	831	831	+0	No	+$0	03-16 15:12
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1080 1119	2	$25	475	475	+0	open	—	03-17 09:14
dota2 bb4 ty 2026 03 14	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	03-14 16:06
Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)	1	$17	18	0	+18	ACF Fiorentina	+$1	05-10 06:21
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	05-20 09:28
will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	2	$14	379	379	+0	open	—	03-16 15:32
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 team total away 2pt5	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	06-12 12:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 12:06:24	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xc43205…
05-20 09:28:38	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x953c2a…
05-10 06:21:32	Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x613c58…
03-17 12:56:29	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	649	97¢	$628	0xa95c1e…
03-17 12:50:47	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	649	97¢	$628	0x130500…
03-17 12:44:35	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	Yes	SELL	54	6¢	$3	0x146642…
03-17 12:34:35	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x36aae7…
03-17 12:34:25	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x2902c2…
03-17 11:42:07	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	Yes	SELL	534	4¢	$21	0xc934bf…
03-17 11:42:07	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	Yes	SELL	291	4¢	$12	0x716b39…
03-17 11:33:55	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	Yes	BUY	825	4¢	$36	0xb28982…
03-17 11:09:25	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	Yes	SELL	293	4¢	$12	0xfbb73f…
03-17 11:09:25	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	Yes	SELL	167	4¢	$7	0x24cbfb…
03-17 11:09:23	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x99adeb…
03-17 11:01:09	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	Yes	BUY	494	4¢	$22	0x8b4e1b…
03-17 10:35:45	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	SELL	351	6¢	$22	0x3c0627…
03-17 10:29:51	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	351	7¢	$24	0x7b9394…
03-17 09:50:51	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	625	97¢	$608	0xcede0c…
03-17 09:41:55	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	626	97¢	$608	0xe0e876…
03-17 09:14:41	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1080 1119	Yes	SELL	475	3¢	$12	0x9950f4…
03-17 09:09:19	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1080 1119	Yes	BUY	475	3¢	$12	0x3d6ffd…
03-17 08:24:39	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	SELL	660	96¢	$636	0xee93ab…
03-17 08:18:41	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	BUY	404	96¢	$388	0xfaca9e…
03-17 08:18:41	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	BUY	257	96¢	$247	0xb3215f…
03-17 08:09:43	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	601	3¢	$19	0x7c1935…
03-17 08:02:53	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	601	3¢	$19	0xbe7e8a…
03-17 07:23:27	will ivn arias win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	611	97¢	$591	0x4c4fea…
03-17 07:15:47	will ivn arias win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x32d003…
03-17 07:15:47	will ivn arias win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	607	97¢	$586	0x03b59c…
03-17 06:51:55	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	87	93¢	$81	0xe092ca…
03-17 06:51:55	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	551	93¢	$510	0x0ff4a2…
03-17 06:44:23	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	638	92¢	$586	0xf87a72…
03-17 06:38:19	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1160 1199	No	SELL	642	94¢	$607	0x821349…
03-17 06:27:55	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1160 1199	No	BUY	439	95¢	$417	0xe8340a…
03-17 06:27:55	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1160 1199	No	BUY	203	95¢	$193	0x89ed65…
03-17 06:19:59	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1160 1199	Yes	SELL	1,049	6¢	$61	0x40e8f7…
03-17 06:11:53	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1160 1199	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0xc61f8b…
03-17 06:11:53	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1160 1199	Yes	BUY	1,013	6¢	$60	0x65adcc…
03-17 06:05:13	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$8	0xe97af9…
03-17 06:05:13	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	SELL	211	3¢	$6	0x82824b…
03-17 05:55:37	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	BUY	511	3¢	$14	0x143c4f…
03-17 04:41:57	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	345	98¢	$337	0xb78417…
03-17 04:41:57	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	330	98¢	$322	0x41bf91…
03-17 04:33:55	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	675	98¢	$658	0x88e16a…
03-17 04:25:23	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	482	4¢	$20	0x330d88…
03-17 04:17:05	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	482	4¢	$20	0xf5e4c0…
03-17 03:46:29	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	SELL	148	4¢	$7	0xc6639e…
03-17 03:43:19	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	SELL	667	5¢	$35	0x0a183f…
03-17 03:37:51	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	224	5¢	$12	0x4c182a…
03-17 03:37:35	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	283	5¢	$15	0x18d71b…
03-17 03:37:15	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	191	5¢	$10	0x6e664e…
03-17 03:36:57	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	116	5¢	$6	0xc4d4d9…
03-17 03:28:17	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	667	97¢	$646	0x9388b3…
03-17 03:18:57	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	656	97¢	$634	0xcfa17d…
03-17 03:18:57	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x729314…
03-16 15:32:47	will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	SELL	379	2¢	$6	0xa8b729…
03-16 15:23:03	will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	BUY	379	2¢	$8	0x3f647d…
03-16 15:12:49	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	831	2¢	$15	0xfecba2…
03-16 15:06:57	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	831	2¢	$15	0x04f91d…
03-16 15:00:57	Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	SELL	648	100¢	$645	0xfbd9ba…
03-16 14:51:35	Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	BUY	648	100¢	$645	0xd056f8…
03-16 10:47:15	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	SELL	640	99¢	$631	0x4611fc…
03-16 10:37:53	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	BUY	640	99¢	$632	0x23e428…
03-14 16:06:09	dota2 bb4 ty 2026 03 14	Team Yandex	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x67ea3b…
03-14 15:19:01	spl kha nsr 2026 03 14 spread away 2pt5	Al Khaleej Saudi Club	BUY	226	72¢	$163	0xaa6d80…
03-14 15:18:59	spl kha nsr 2026 03 14 spread away 2pt5	Al Khaleej Saudi Club	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xa70420…
03-14 14:43:11	chi shp qin 2026 03 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	308	33¢	$102	0xb774db…