Untimely-Deduce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$1.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-15 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% $-61

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	8	$222	180	180	+0	Up	+$10	05-07 21:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$210	124	124	+0	open	—	05-01 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$140	108	108	+0	Down	+$30	05-07 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$124	89	89	+0	Down	+$24	05-07 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$106	116	116	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 01:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$100	121	0	+121	open	—	05-01 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$64	54	54	+0	Up	+$14	05-07 01:05
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$55	32	32	+0	open	—	05-01 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$55	89	0	+89	Down	$-5	05-07 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$51	72	0	+72	open	—	05-04 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$50	88	0	+88	Down	$-50	05-07 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$50	98	0	+98	Down	$-50	05-07 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	05-03 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$25	46	0	+46	open	—	05-15 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Up	$-25	05-07 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$16	17	9	+8	Up	+$4	05-04 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$14	109	9	+100	Up	+$2	05-06 00:53
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 21:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	05-03 02:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 01:17
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-04 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$12	35	10	+25	Up	+$0	05-07 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$12	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$12	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 02:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 21:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-03 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 21:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x8b34e1…
05-15 21:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfcb39d…
05-15 20:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x3243ba…
05-15 20:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc192f8…
05-15 20:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x2ac7b9…
05-15 20:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5e75b8…
05-15 02:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x407e57…
05-15 02:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2e7647…
05-14 07:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x5c58be…
05-14 07:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4b99af…
05-14 07:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xbecbd9…
05-14 07:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa7d8c8…
05-14 07:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa7ebbe…
05-14 07:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x9ccf9c…
05-14 07:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6eb98e…
05-12 07:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x88f389…
05-12 07:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5d7dde…
05-12 07:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xddc8b3…
05-12 07:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x10bfc1…
05-11 07:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x54a82e…
05-11 07:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa89154…
05-08 01:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x587cc8…
05-08 01:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x871db8…
05-08 01:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x145d6d…
05-08 01:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x218555…
05-08 00:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfdfddd…
05-08 00:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb93d92…
05-07 22:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x1091f4…
05-07 22:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x371be1…
05-07 21:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x577b76…
05-07 21:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0c036d…
05-07 21:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xb5a61b…
05-07 21:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x0f3c8b…
05-07 21:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xec96b6…
05-07 21:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x95272d…
05-07 21:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x32db30…
05-07 21:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5b676a…
05-07 21:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x38f343…
05-07 21:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	68	82¢	$56	0xf21ae4…
05-07 21:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xa52b12…
05-07 21:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xbecc7f…
05-07 21:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xc34843…
05-07 21:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x768ad8…
05-07 21:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc47959…
05-07 21:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3b1be9…
05-07 21:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0x71a190…
05-07 21:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2973b3…
05-07 21:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xc67099…
05-07 20:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x0149aa…
05-07 20:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x3bb488…
05-07 20:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x61c4e8…
05-07 06:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xba7a79…
05-07 06:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x93a6b1…
05-07 04:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x490362…
05-07 04:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x6a3460…
05-07 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0d671b…
05-07 03:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xa7803c…
05-07 03:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf68ba4…
05-07 02:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	89	83¢	$74	0x2a1e50…
05-07 02:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x47156c…
05-07 02:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0xa8cfc7…
05-07 02:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8379ac…
05-07 01:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x65f2ae…
05-07 01:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x07510d…
05-07 01:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe76e82…
05-07 01:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x652615…
05-07 01:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0xdc15f2…
05-07 01:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd48365…
05-07 01:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3ba56c…
05-07 01:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfd016d…
05-07 01:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	116	48¢	$56	0x1760d6…
05-07 01:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x2ec91c…
05-07 01:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xff984a…
05-07 01:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xefdf9c…
05-07 01:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	37	62¢	$23	0x6f7647…
05-07 01:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x377e90…
05-07 00:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	108	79¢	$85	0xfedf8a…
05-07 00:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xbd2724…
05-07 00:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6f6310…
05-06 20:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x391ed7…
05-06 08:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1f328c…
05-06 03:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x08e5b4…
05-06 02:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0x221979…
05-06 02:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x78837c…
05-06 01:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xbfec1f…
05-06 01:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x13da70…
05-06 01:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x00395c…
05-06 01:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7e1df2…
05-06 01:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdb1644…
05-06 01:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xb3702d…
05-06 00:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x09b792…
05-06 00:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xcfab25…
05-06 00:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x737586…
05-05 22:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x22ad2e…
05-05 22:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc9485b…
05-05 21:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6576c1…
05-05 09:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc63f6d…
05-05 07:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x335526…
05-05 07:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6c99b3…
05-05 06:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf6deb6…